Scientific Calendar Event



Description
The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) and ELSEVIER are jointly organizing the above Workshop (May 8-16) and Conference (May 17-19), to be held on the ICTP campus in Trieste, Italy.

Impacts to health are some of the most important outcomes of a potentially changing climate. Infectious disease outbreaks, which are often associated with climate extremes or a changing environment, heavily affect the most vulnerable; the poorest members of society in low and middle income countries in the south. In addition to major killers such as malaria, recent global health concerns include the ebola crisis and the ongoing pandemic of Zika. Understanding how environmental circumstances and changes in socio-economic factors, such as increasing population mobility, have lead to such outbreaks is key.

This workshop and conference will discuss the impact of current and predicted future environmental changes on infectious disease dynamics in people, wildlife, and livestock across the globe, and what actions need to be taken. The workshop is a continuation and development of a highly successful series of events held, both at ICTP and outside in Brazil (ICTP-SAIFR) and Tanzania, in recent years.

The first five days of the workshop component will include a series of basic and advanced lectures on the theory behind the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases, with a focus on the calibration of these models with health datasets, and, how to account for environmental factors, including climate. Lab classes will introduce the participants to hands-on practicals concerning the development of mathematical models.

On Monday and Tuesday of week 2, lectures will consider policies and mechanisms of intervention to prevent or reduce the spread of infectious diseases related to environmental change and future prospects for tackling emerging and neglected diseases.

On Wednesday to Friday of week 2, participants will have the opportunity to attend the 2nd International Conference on Impact of Environmental Change on Infectious Diseases 2017.

Further details of the IECID conference are available at www.iecid.com.

The workshop is intended specifically for scientists and graduate students working in the areas of Atmospheric Physics and Dynamics, Climatology, Oceanography, Physics and Mathematics, although scientists from all member countries of the United Nations, UNESCO and IAEA may apply. The activity will be conducted in English.

A limited number of grants are available to support the travel and living expenses of selected participants, with priority given to those working in a developing country and who are at the early stages of their career. No registration fee for the workshop is required.
Go to day
  • Monday, 8 May 2017
    • 08:30 - 20:30 Introduction to SEIR
      • 08:30 Registration with Secretary at Adriatico Guesthouse / Finance office for collection of perdiem, reimbursements, etc. 2h0'
      • 10:30 Introductions and overview of the school 30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual, Adrian Tompkins, Andy Dobson
      • 11:00 Introduction to SEIR models 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Nakul Chitnis (Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland)
        Material: Slides
      • 12:00 Seasonally-forced SEIR 30'
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h0'
      • 13:30 OPTIONAL Catch up Lab - Basic Introduction to R language - variables, loops, and simple plotting 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )
        Speaker: Felipe Colon-Gonzalez (University of East Anglia, UK)
      • 14:30 Simple SEIR models in R 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Aaron King (University of Michigan, USA)
      • 15:30 Coffee 30'
      • 16:00 Simple SEIR models in R 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Aaron King
      • 17:30 OPTIONAL Vectri Class - Catch-up session on SEIR compartment models 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Nakul Chitnis (Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland)
      • 18:30 Icebreaker 2h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Terrace )
  • Tuesday, 9 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 18:30 Climate Impacts of VBD and their inclusion in SEIR
      • 09:00 Multi-Host Models, Next Generation Matrices, and Emerging Vector Borne diseases 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Andrew Dobson (Princeton University, NY, USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 Coffee 30'
      • 11:00 Climate forcing and the population dynamics of malaria 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual
        Material: Slides
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h0'
      • 13:30 OPTIONAL Catch up Lab -Introduction to CDO and NC tools 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP)
      • 14:30 Sources of gridded climate information: analysis, and short range forecasts, seasonal forecasts and CMIP 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:30 Coffee 30'
      • 16:00 Working with Climate Information 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP)
        Material: Slides
      • 17:30 OPTIONAL Vectri Class 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland)
  • Wednesday, 10 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 18:30 Advanced issues of disease SEIR modeling
      • 09:00 Bringing data to models and particle filtering 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Aaron King (University of Michigan, USA)
        Material: Slides Tutorial
      • 10:30 Coffee 30'
      • 11:00 Modelling Heterogeneity 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Nakul Chitnis (Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland)
        Material: Slides
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h0'
      • 13:30 OPTIONAL Catch up Lab -Lecture on Gillespie Algorithm 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Aaron King (University of Michigan, USA)
      • 14:30 Model calibration and particle filtering 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Aaron King (University of Michigan, USA)
      • 15:30 Coffee 30'
      • 16:00 Particle filtering 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Aaron King (University of Michigan, USA)
      • 17:30 OPTIONAL Vectri Class 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins
  • Thursday, 11 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 18:30 Explicitly modelled climate impacts on biological cycles
      • 09:00 Climate variability and the transmission dynamics of diarrhoeal diseases 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual (University of Chicago, Ill., USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 Coffee 30'
      • 11:00 - 1h30'
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h0'
      • 13:30 OPTIONAL Catch up Lab - Introduction to NETCDF 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP)
      • 14:30 Bringing climate information into SEIR models 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual - Aaron King - Andrew Dobson (University of Chicago, Ill., USA - University of Michigan, USA - Princeton University, NY, USA)
      • 15:30 Coffee 30'
      • 16:00 Bringing climate information into SEIR models 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Mercedes Pascual - Aaron King - Andrew Dobson (University of Chicago, Ill., USA - University of Michigan, USA - Princeton University, NY, USA)
      • 17:30 OPTIONAL Vectri Class 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins
  • Friday, 12 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 17:30 Projects
      • 09:00 Climate and models for Macro-parasites: Worms in Artic and Scotland 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall )
        Speaker: Andrew Dobson (Princeton University, NY, USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 Coffee 30'
      • 11:00 Projects 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
      • 12:30 Lunch 2h0'
      • 14:30 Projects 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
      • 15:30 Coffee 30'
      • 16:00 Projects 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab )
  • Monday, 15 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 18:00 Linking everything to the real world
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Climate and Public Health Interactions 45'
        Speaker: Gilma Mantilla (Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogota, Colombia)
        Material: Slides
      • 09:45 Using compartmental models for evaluating the performance of syndromic surveillance systems in England 45'
        Speaker: Felipe Colon-Gonzalez
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 Emerging Pathogens and Land Use Change 1h30'
        Speaker: Hamish McCallum (University of Queensland, Australia)
      • 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
      • 14:30 Projects 1h0'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30' ( Adriatico Guest House Terrace )
      • 16:00 Integrating climate information into health decisions, role play with panel and students 1h30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )
        Speaker: Madeleine Thomson (International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, NY, USA)
  • Tuesday, 16 May 2017
    • 09:00 - 17:30 Linking everything to the real world continued
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Prevalence to Vulnerability: Implications of Climate Change on Health Policy in India 45'
        Speaker: Nitish Dogra (Green Fulbrighters Forum, New Delhi, India)
        Material: Slides
      • 09:45 Big data and the rise and spread of infectious diseases 45'
        Speaker: David Taylor (National University of Singapore)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 Model for examining dynamics and control of Schistosomiasis 1h30'
        Speaker: Giulio De Leo (Universita degli studi di Parma, Italy)
      • 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
      • 14:30 Projects 1h0' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30' ( Adriatico Guesthouse Terrace )
      • 16:00 Projects 1h30'