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Conference on Decadal Predictability | (smr 2160)
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  • Monday, 16 August 2010
    • 08:30 - 09:45 Registration & Administrative formalities at the E. Fermi Bldg.
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1)
      • 08:30 Registration & Administrative formalities at the E. Fermi Bldg. 1h15'
    • 09:45 - 10:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 09:45 Coffee Break 45'
    • 10:30 - 10:45 J. SHUKLA, L. FEUDALE, F. KUCHARSKI
    • 10:45 - 12:45 General Assessment Methodologies
      • 10:45 General Assessment Methodologies 2h0'
    • 12:45 - 14:15 Lunch
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 12:45 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 15:00 Short presentations of Posters and interest in Decadal Predictions
      • 14:00 Short presentations of Posters and interest in Decadal Predictions 1h0'
    • 15:00 - 16:00 Poster Session & Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:00 Poster Session & Coffee Break 1h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Statistical decadal predictions and optimal observations
      • 16:00 Statistical decadal predictions and optimal observations 30'
        Speaker: E. HAWKINS ((NCAS, Univ. of Reading, UK))
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:30 - 17:00 Optimal Detection of Multi-year Predictability over Land
      • 16:30 Optimal Detection of Multi-year Predictability over Land 30'
        Speaker: L. JIA ((COLA, USA))
    • 17:00 - 17:30 Potentially Predictable Patterns of the Tropospheric Circulation in the IPCC AR4 Multi-model Ensemble
      • 17:00 Potentially Predictable Patterns of the Tropospheric Circulation in the IPCC AR4 Multi-model Ensemble 30'
        Speaker: D. HANDORF (AWI, Germany)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 20:00 - 20:00 Welcome Reception
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 20:00 Welcome Reception
  • Tuesday, 17 August 2010
    • 09:00 - 12:30 Towards Decadal Predictions
      • 09:00 Towards Decadal Predictions 3h30'
    • 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 17:30 Towards Decadal Predictions (con't)
      • 14:00 Towards Decadal Predictions (con't) 3h30'
    • 17:30 - 18:30 Expectations and limitations of Decadal predictions and available Decadal predictions
      • 17:30 Expectations and limitations of Decadal predictions and available Decadal predictions 1h0'
  • Wednesday, 18 August 2010
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Decadal prediction activities at CMCC
      • 09:00 Decadal prediction activities at CMCC 30'
        Speaker: A. BELLUCCI (CMCC, Italy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:30 - 12:30 Mechanisms for decadal variability and predictability
      • 09:30 Mechanisms for decadal variability and predictability 3h0'
    • 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 15:00 Mechanisms for decadal variability and predictability (con't)
      • 14:00 Mechanisms for decadal variability and predictability (con't) 1h0'
    • 15:00 - 16:00 Predictability in monsoon regions and elsewhere
      • 15:00 Predictability in monsoon regions and elsewhere 1h0'
    • 16:00 - 17:30 Poster Session & Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:00 Poster Session & Coffee Break 1h30'
  • Thursday, 19 August 2010
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Loss of Significance and Multidecadal Variability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
      • 09:00 Loss of Significance and Multidecadal Variability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation 30'
        Speaker: S. ETTAMMAL (IITM, India)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:30 - 10:00 The nature and impacts of the commingled influence of Sahel precipitation and tropical Pacific sea surface temperature variability on Atlantic hurricane activity
      • 09:30 The nature and impacts of the commingled influence of Sahel precipitation and tropical Pacific sea surface temperature variability on Atlantic hurricane activity 30'
        Speaker: B. R. PEARCE (Univ. Maine, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:00 - 10:30 Extratropical atmospheric variability and precipitation over South America in a multidecadal timescale
      • 10:00 Extratropical atmospheric variability and precipitation over South America in a multidecadal timescale 30'
        Speaker: I. F. A. CAVALCANTI (CPTEC/INPE, Brazil)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:00 - 11:30 Why is ENSO influencing northwest India winter precipitation in recent decades?
      • 11:00 Why is ENSO influencing northwest India winter precipitation in recent decades? 30'
        Speaker: R. K. YADAV (IITM, India)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:30 - 12:00 Emerging hydroclimatic regimes in a changing climate: Understanding the nature of decadal variability and secular trends for resource management and decision-making
      • 11:30 Emerging hydroclimatic regimes in a changing climate: Understanding the nature of decadal variability and secular trends for resource management and decision-making 30'
        Speaker: S. JAIN (Univ. of Maine, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 12:30 Impact of the Indian Ocean High Pressure System on Winter Precipitation over Western and Southwestern Australia
      • 12:00 Impact of the Indian Ocean High Pressure System on Winter Precipitation over Western and Southwestern Australia 30'
        Speaker: M. J. IQBAL (Univ. of Karachi, Pakistan)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 14:30 Regional Prediction Programmes
      • 14:00 Regional Prediction Programmes 30'
    • 14:30 - 15:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 14:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 15:00 - 15:20 Radiative Forcing due to the long lived Green house gases considered for Cape point in South Africa
      • 15:00 Radiative Forcing due to the long lived Green house gases considered for Cape point in South Africa 20'
        Speaker: T. N. Obiekezie (Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Nigeria)
        Material: abstract lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 17:00 Mechanisms for Decadal predictability and predictability in monsoon regions
      • 15:20 Mechanisms for Decadal predictability and predictability in monsoon regions 1h40'
        Material: Presentations
    • 17:00 - 17:45 Concluding Remarks & Diplomas of Attendance
      • 17:00 Concluding Remarks & Diplomas of Attendance 45'
  • Friday, 20 August 2010
    • 08:30 - 08:30 Visit of groups to ICTP and Trieste
      • 08:30 Visit of groups to ICTP and Trieste
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