12th Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models | (smr 4096) (25 August 2025

Administration

Description

An ICTP Hybrid meeting

Within the CORDEX international program’s mission, this workshop aims to enhance the capacity of scientists in developing nations to engage in advanced climate modeling research. By aligning with the IPCC’s initiative, it seeks to increase awareness among young climate scientists from these regions about opportunities to participate in global climate research and contribute to IPCC assessments.

The initiative’s significance lies in its focus on climate change readiness, addressing the heightened vulnerabilities of developing nations to challenges such as water scarcity, extreme weather events, and rising sea levels. It emphasizes the integration of climate change adaptation strategies into resource management frameworks to strengthen regional resilience against climate-related adversities.

The workshop will offer a blend of theoretical lectures and practical sessions covering the principles of regional climate modeling and the utilization of regional climate models (RCMs), with a focus on the ICTP RegCM5 system—a widely employed tool worldwide, particularly among scientists indeveloping nations. Additionally, this edition will introduce the emerging concept of AI-based climate emulators, which is increasingly gaining attention as a research topic within the climate science community.

Topics of the workshop include:

The theory of regional climate Earth system modeling
Regional modeling at the kilometer scale resolution (convection permitting)
Regional Earth system climate change simulations
Climate impact on hazards and extreme
Regional climate change attribution
The RegCM5 system
AI based regional climate emulator

Speakers:
Moetasim ASHFAQ, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA

Teresa CAVAZOS, CICESE, Mexico

Tapajyoti CHAKRABORTY, ICTP, Italy

James CIARLO, University of Malta, Malta

Erika COPPOLA, ICTP, Italy

Johannes DE LEEUW, OGS, Italy

Serafina DI GIOIA, ICTP, Italy

Xuejie GAO, IAP - CAS, China

Graziano GIULIANI, ICTP, Italy

Eun-Soon IM, UST, Hong Kong

Chen LU, ICTP, Italy

Rita NOGHEROTTO, CNR/ICTP, Italy

Emanuela PICHELLI, ENEA, Italy

Rosmeri PORFIRIO DA ROCHA, USP, Brazil

Francesca RAFFAELE, OGS/ICTP, Italy

Marco REALE, OGS, Italy

Michelle REBOITA SIMOES, IRN - UNIFEI, Itajuba, Brazil

Leidinice SILVA, ICTP, Italy

Luiza VARGAS HEINZ, ICTP, Italy

Natalia ZAZULIE, ICTP, Italy

Graziela LUZIA, ICTP, Italy

Research abstracts: In the application form, all applicants are requested to submit a brief research abstract for a poster presentation and/or contributed talk. A limited number of abstracts will be selected for the poster session or to give a talk. Please use ICTP templates available for download here and below under 'Material'.

Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee.

Material

AbstractTemplate Booklet Contr.Talks Booklet post.session Poster Preliminary list of Participants

12th Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models | (smr 4096)

Go to day

Monday, 25 August 2025
- 08:30 - 09:00 Registration and administrative formalities
- 09:00 - 17:00
  - 09:00 Participants introduction 30'
  - 09:30 Introduction to Regional Climate Modelling 1h0'
    
    Speaker: Erika Coppola (ICTP, Italy)
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 RegCM5 parametrizations 30'
    
    Speaker: Rita Nogherotto (CNR/ICTP, Italy)
  - 11:30 Regional Earth System Model 1h0'
    
    Speaker: Graziano Giuliani (ICTP, Italy)
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Laboratory activities 3h0'
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Tuesday, 26 August 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00 Evaluation & Climate Projection section
  - 09:00 Evaluation and Selection of GCMs for CORDEX-CORE Phase 2 Focuses on a model evaluation framework 30'
    
    Speaker: Moetasim Ashfaq (Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA)
  - 09:30 Projections over Mid-high Latitudes Northern Asia Using an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model (RegCM5) Simulations 30'
    
    Speaker: Xuejie Gao (IAP - CAS, China)
  - 10:00 Description and evaluation of individual components of the RegionalClimate Model-Earth System (RegCM-ES) model over the CORDEX-CAM 15'
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Participant's talk (remote)
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    Speaker: Luisa Andrade-Gómez
  - 10:15 Regional Climate Simulations for the Middle East using WRF v4.5 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Christos Fountoukis
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 CMIP6 model evaluation of extreme climatic indices at regional scale in CORDEX-CAM 30'
    
    Speaker: Ernesto Ramos Esteban, Tereza Cavazos (CICESE, Mexico), and Gabriela Colorado Ruiz
  - 11:30 Projected climate changes over Croatia by the middle of the 21st century 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Lidija Srnec
  - 11:45 Evaluating the Performance of Climate Model Projections and Scenarios in Africa Over the Past Two Decades 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Aissatou Faye
  - 12:00 Projected Changes in the Timing of Autumn Rain and Wind Onset Over western North America using Regional Climate Models 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Graham P. Taylor
  - 12:15 Regional climate simulations of near surface energy flux: Amazon and São Paulo seasonal patterns 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Caroline Segura
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Laboratory activities 3h0'
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Wednesday, 27 August 2025
- 09:00 - 11:00 CP section
  - 09:00 Introduction to Convection-Permitting Focuses on a model evaluation framework 30'
    
    Speaker: Johannes de Leeuw (OGS, Italy)
  - 09:30 Extreme precipitation simulations from Convection-Permitting climate Models. An analysis based on the Metastatistical Extreme Value distribution framework Northern Asia Using an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model (RegCM5) Simulations 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Pietro Devo
  - 09:45 Heavy Rainfall in São Sebastião 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Martins Ribeiro João Gabriel
  - 10:00 Advancing Precipitation Modeling in the Yucatán Península: Integrating Ice-Nucleating Particle 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Salvador Castillo-Liñan
  - 10:15 Convection-Permitting Simulations with the Regional Earth System Model RegCM-ES 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Marco Reale
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
- 11:00 - 17:00 Cyclones section
  - 11:00 How convection-permitting simulation improve the representation of synoptic-scale cyclones 30'
    
    Speaker: Michelle Reboita (IRN - UNIFEI, Itajuba, Brazil)
  - 11:30 The role of convection-permitting simulations in representing synoptic-scale cyclones over southwestern South Atlantic 30'
    
    Speaker: Leidinice Silva
  - 12:00 Insetropic analysis of convective motions in regional climate models - results from a case study on the Indian summer Monsoon 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Olvier Pauluis
  - 12:15 Evaluation of RegCM5 in Simulating Intraseasonal Variability During the Indian Summer Monsoon 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Alok Kumar Mishra
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Laboratory activities: How can we perform a cyclone’s study case? 3h0'
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    Speaker: Michelle Reboita (IRN - UNIFEI, Itajuba, Brazil)
Thursday, 28 August 2025
- 09:00 - 19:00 Urban Climate section
  - 09:00 INTRO and IPCC Special Report on Cities 30'
    
    Speaker: Rita Nogherotto (CNR/ICTP, Italy)
  - 09:30 Study on the southeast Brazil larger metropolitan areas 30'
    
    Speaker: Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha (USP, Brazil)
  - 10:00 Urban Climate Trends and Model Accuracy: Implications for Sustainable Development in Indonesia 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Radyan Putra Pradana
  - 10:15 Exploring the Value of High Resolution Climate Model Simulations for Urban Heat Information within an African city 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Sabina Omar
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Assessing Climate Change Hazards in Urban and Rural Areas from Euro-CORDEX ensemble 15'
    
    Speaker: Natalia Zazulie (ICTP, Italy)
  - 11:15 TBD 15'
    
    Speaker: Natalia Zazulie (ICTP, Italy), Johannes de Leeuw (OGS, Italy)
  - 11:30 European cities and their climate interactions: Using CPRCM simulations to explore the impact of urbanisation on the diurnal temperature and precipitation cycle 15'
    
    Speaker: Johannes de Leeuw (OGS, Italy)
  - 11:45 Bias correction in defining and predicting heatwaves over Croatia 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Sara Ivasić
  - 12:00 Simulating the Urban Heat Island Augmented with a Heat Wave EpisodeUsing RegCM4.7 in a Mega-Urban City of Karachi, Pakistan 15'
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Participant's talk (remote)
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    Speaker: S.A.A. Bukhari
  - 12:15 Outdoor thermal stress in the Middle East and South Asia: Past trends, future projections and a comparison across multiple thermal Indices 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Basit Khan
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Urban LAB 3h0'
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  - 17:00 Poster session 2h0'
    
    Material: Booklet
Friday, 29 August 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00 Water Cycle section
  - 09:00 Regional Climate Modeling of Anthropogenic Water Cycle Perturbations: Focus on Irrigation 30'
    
    Speaker: Fan Yuwen, Eun-Soon IM (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong)
  - 09:30 Assessing Future Livability in Southeast Asia Based on Dynamically- Downscaled Climate Projections Using RegCM5 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Han Liao
  - 09:45 Engineering Options and Pathways for Mitigating FutureCompound Flooding Risks in Shanghai 15'
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Participant's talk (remote)
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    Speaker: Zhan Tian
  - 10:00 Projections of Compounded Extreme Rainfall Events under SSP5-8.5 from CMIP6 Models for Flood Risk Assessment in Kelantan and Terengganu, Malaysia 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Z. Sa'adi
  - 10:15 Assessment of Simulation Capability and Projection of Drought over China Based on CMIP6 Global Climate Models 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Ying Xu
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Assessment of the climate change impact on the discharge of the Italian river network using Convection Permitting climate models 30'
    
    Speaker: Luiza Vargas (ICTP, Italy)
  - 11:30 Enhancing the Representation of Irrigation Systems in RegCM5 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Yuwen Fan
  - 11:45 Integrating Dynamic Land Use Data into Regional Climate Models for RegCM4 in Iran 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Lobat Kosari Moghaddam
  - 12:00 Assessing RegCM’s Performance in Simulating Drought: A Case Study for Hungary 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Tímea Kalmár
  - 12:15 Linking extreme wet and dry events over the humid tropics to the tropical basins 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Ismaila Diallo
  - 12:30 Lunch break 1h30'
  - 14:00 LAB: The multiplicity problem for independent tests in geophysical fields and what we can do about it 3h0'
    
    Speaker: Chen Lu (ICTP, Italy)
Monday, 1 September 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00 Climate extremes and impacts section
  - 09:00 Unprecedented atmospheric heatwaves in Mexico City in 2024 30'
    
    Speaker: Tereza Cavazos (CICESE, Mexico)
  - 09:30 Potential changes applying the pseudo-global warming (PGW) approach in the interaction between tropical cyclones (TC) and the Caribbean Low-Level Jet (CLLJ) 15'
    
    Speaker: Antonio Salinas
  - 09:45 Northeast monsoon analysis 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Tapajyoti Chakraborty
  - 10:00 CPM applications to characterize and detect extreme rainfall 30'
    
    Speaker: Emanuela Pichelli (ENEA, Italy)
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 A climate suitability index for ecological habitats applied to terrestrial arthropods in the Mediterranean Region 30'
    
    Speaker: James M. Ciarlò (University of Malta, Malta)
  - 11:30 Future projections of physiological heat: Implications for liveability and survivability in Southeast Asia 15'
    
    Speaker: Han Liao
  - 11:45 Characterization of temperature and humidity effects on extreme heat stress under global warming and urban growth 15'
    
    Speaker: Im Eun-Soon
  - 12:00 SSASE: A Regional Index for Assessing Severe Storm Environments in Subtropical South America 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Victoria A. Oruezabal
  - 12:15 Future Changes in Precipitation Patterns and Extremes in Major Coastal Cities of Bangladesh Using CMIP6 Multi-Model Ensemble 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: A.K.M. Saiful Islam
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 LAB: Computing extreme indices for GWLs projections 3h0'
    
    Speaker: Francesca Raffaele (OGS/ICTP, Italy)
Tuesday, 2 September 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00 Attribution section
  - 09:00 Extreme event attribution: methods and applications using RCM data 30'
    
    Speaker: Chen Lu (ICTP, Italy)
  - 09:30 Translating Downscaled Climate Data into Actionable Insights Highlights the development of an online interactive atlas for the U.S. Southeast using downscaled data 30'
    
    Speaker: Moetasim Ashfaq (Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA)
  - 10:00 Half-day (daytime and nighttime) precipitation extremes in China: Changes and attribution from 1981 to 2022 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Shibo Fang
  - 10:15 Tests of RegCM5 performances over Mid-high Latitudes Northern Asia 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Xianbing Tang
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Advancing wind and solar energy assessments with RegCM and CORDEX simulations 30'
    
    Speaker: Graziela Luzia
  - 11:30 Projected Climate changes over the Tibetan Plateau based on a set of RegCM4 simulations 15'
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Participant's talk
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    Speaker: Fu Yuanhai
  - 11:45 AI Introduction 30'
    
    Speaker: Serafina Di Gioia (ICTP, SISSA, Italy)
  - 12:15 AI Application 15'
    
    Speaker: Serafina Di Gioia (ICTP, SISSA, Italy), Erika Coppola (ICTP, Italy)
  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Impact of Dust Mineralogy Representation on Modeled Optical Properties and Radiative Effects Using MONARCH 30'
    
    Speaker: Luka Ilic
  - 14:30 Laboratory activities 2h30'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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Wednesday, 3 September 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00
  - 09:00 Laboratory activities 1h30'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Laboratory activities 1h30'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Laboratory activities 3h0'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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Thursday, 4 September 2025
- 09:00 - 17:00
  - 09:00 Laboratory activities 1h30'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Laboratory activities 1h30'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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  - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
  - 14:00 Laboratory activities 3h0'
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Only for participants 'in person'
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Friday, 5 September 2025
- 09:00 - 12:45
  - 09:00 Group talks 1h30'
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
  - 11:00 Group talks 1h30'
  - 12:30 Closing remarks 15'