Description
An ICTP Hybrid Meeting.

During the last 5-10 years, a large number of extreme weather and climate events in Europe and worldwide have occurred, causing damage to infrastructure and casualties especially in developing countries. This has raised the question about the role of climate change in altering the odds or the magnitude of a number of such events and the new "science of attribution" has began with several attribution published all around the world. The aim of the school is to define techniques to tackle the problem of attributing meteorological extreme events to climate change by mean of  machine learning technologies. Lectures will also focus on determining causal links of extreme events with the underlying climate dynamics as the atmospheric circulation. The school will also discuss and provide the bases for communicating attribution results to the general public, stakeholders and other scientists in an exact although non specialist language.

Topics:
  • Dynamics and thermodynamics of extreme events (including heatwaves, cold spells, severe convective events, tropical and extra-tropical cyclones, compound extremes at  different scales)
  • Statistical tools for extreme event attribution (including rare events algorithms, compound climate extremes, storylines, casual inference, downscaling and bias correction)
  • Machine Learning for extreme event attribution (including phyisics-aware machine learning, explainable artificial intelligence for climate sciences, casual discovery algorithms for extreme events)
  • Outreach and communication training (including a creative writing workshop, communication of extreme event attribution to the general public, school outreach activities and outreach videogames)
 
Speakers:
E. BARNES, Colorado State U, USA
E. BEVACQUA, UFZ Leipzig, Germany
G. CAMPS-VALLS, ISP-UVEG, Spain
E. COPPOLA, ICTP, Italy
E. COUGHLAN DE PEREZ, RCCC, Netherlands
D. COUMOU, VU Amsterdam, Netherlands
D. FARANDA, LSCE CNRS, France
M.A. FERNÁNDEZ-TORRES, ISP-UVEG, Spain
E. FISCHER, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
L. FRASER, Met Office, UK
A. JEZEQUEL, IPSL-LMD, France
S. KLEIN, OCE, France
G. MESSORI, Uppsala U, Sweden
F. OTTO, Imperial College, UK
J. RUNGE, DLR, Germany
T. SHEPHERD, U Reading, UK
R. SINGH, RCCC, Netherlands
S. SIPPEL, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
P. SUAREZ, RCCC, Netherlands
R. VAUTARD, IPSL CNRS, France
M. VRAC, LSCE, France
P. YIOU, LSCE, France

Participants are encouraged to submit abstracts for contributed talk. A number of short oral presentation slots will be available for some of them upon selection. During the application please make sure to use our templates to format your abstract in PDFs. Templates are available below for download.

Accepted participants will be able to attend in remote or strictly following Italian sanitary rules as they will be applicable at the time of the conference, and depending on the very limited number of available places in person. As regards the COVID-19 policy, we advise to follow the updated rules available on the ICTP page ICTP Access Guidelines for Visitors.

Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee.
Go to day
  • Monday, 20 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Registration
      REGISTRATION: Upon arrival, Visitors not staying in the ICTP Guest Houses, are kindly requested to complete registration formalities at the Adriatico Guesthouse. The Registration Desk will be open at the Lower level from 9.00 to 9.30.
      
      Time zone: You can choose your time zone (in place of Europe/Rome) on the top right of the page and the programme time will be modified accordingly.
      Location: Adriatico Guest House ( Registration Desk (Lower Level) )
    • 09:30 - 10:30
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:30 Introduction 30'
        Speakers: Erika COPPOLA (ICTP, Italy), Emanuele BEVACQUA (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Germany), Dim COUMOU (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands), Davide FARANDA (IPSL, CNRS, CEA, Université Paris Saclay, UVSQ, France), Aglaé JEZEQUEL (IPSL-LMD, France), Robert VAUTARD (IPSL CNRS, France), Mathieu VRAC (LSCE, France), Pascal YIOU (LSCE, France)
        Material: Video
      • 10:00 Welcoming Coffee 30'
    • 10:30 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 10:30 Physics Learning for the attribution of Atmospheric Extreme Events 1h0'
        Speaker: Davide FARANDA (IPSL, CNRS, CEA, Université Paris Saclay, UVSQ, France)
        Material: Video
      • 11:30 Machine Learning in a Nutshell 1h0'
        Speaker: Luca BORTOLUSSI (University of Trieste, Italy)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 1 Statistical Methods for Extreme Event Analysis: Hands on 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Aglaé JEZEQUEL (LMD, ENS Paris, France), Davide FARANDA (IPSL, CNRS, CEA, Université Paris Saclay, UVSQ, France)
  • Tuesday, 21 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Spatio-Temporal DNNs for Extreme Event Detection 1h0'
        Speaker: Miguel-Ángel FERNÁNDEZ-TORRES (ISP-UVEG, Spain)
        Material: Video
      • 10:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 10:30 Quantifying and Understanding Very Rare Extremes 1h0'
        Speaker: Erich FISCHER (ETH Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: Video
      • 11:30 Compound Weather and Climate Extreme Events 1h0'
        Speaker: Emanuele BEVACQUA (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Germany)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 2 Deep Learning for Spatio-Temporal Detection: Demos and Exampleson Drought Detection 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Miguel-Ángel FERNÁNDEZ-TORRES (ISP-UVEG, Spain)
    • 18:30 - 19:30 Welcome Reception
      Location: Terrace - Adriatico Guest House
  • Wednesday, 22 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction 1h0'
        Speaker: Mathieu VRAC (LSCE, France)
        Material: Video
      • 10:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 10:30 Causality-Inspired Distributional Robustness for D&A 1h0'
        Speaker: Sebastian SIPPEL (ETH Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: Video
      • 11:30 Causal Inference for Climate Science 1h0'
        Speaker: Jakob RUNGE (DLR, Germany)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 3 Precipitation Downscaling using Deep Neural Networks 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Miguel-Ángel FERNÁNDEZ-TORRES (ISP-UVEG, Spain)
  • Thursday, 23 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Communication of & message development in EEA 1h0'
        Speaker: Fredi OTTO (Imperial College, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 10:00 Group photo 'in person' 5'
      • 10:05 Coffee Break 23'
      • 10:28 Group photo 'online' 2'
      • 10:30 Communication of & Message Development in EEA 1h0'
        Speaker: Fredi OTTO (Imperial College, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 11:30 Physics-aware Machine Learning 1h0'
        Speaker: Gustau CAMPS-VALLS (ISP-UVEG, Spain)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 4 Creative Writing Workshop 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Aglaé JEZEQUEL (IPSL-LMD, France)
    • 17:00 - 18:30 ICTP Colloquium
      • 17:00 Artificial Intelligence for Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes 1h30'
        All participants are welcome to attend. 
        More information can be found here:  Colloquium details
        Speakers: Robert VAUTARD (Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace, Paris, France), Dim COUMOU (Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, Netherlands)
        Material: LINK to follow the streaming on Youtube ICTP
  • Friday, 24 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Spatially Compounding Summer Extremes 1h0'
        Speaker: Dim COUMOU (VU Amsterdam, Netherlands)
        Material: Video
      • 10:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 10:30 Event Definitions and Event Impacts 1h0'
        Speaker: Lott FRASER (Met Office, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 11:30 Climate Change Education - Co-Working on School Activities and Projects 1h0'
        Speaker: Simon KLEIN (OCE, France)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 5 Define Your Own Event 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Lott FRASER (Met Office, UK)
  • Monday, 27 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Challenges in Detection & Attribution of Tropical Cyclones 1h30'
        Speaker: Davide FARRANDA (IPSL, CNRS, CEA, Université Paris Saclay, UVSQ, France)
        Material: Video
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Outreach Game ClimarisQ 1h30'
        Speaker: Davide FARRANDA (IPSL, CNRS, CEA, Université Paris Saclay, UVSQ, France)
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 6 Open Discussion About Humanitarian Work, Interests, Needs 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speakers: Erin COUGHLAN DE PEREZ (RCCC, Netherlands), Room SINGH (RCCC, Netherlands), Pablo SUAREZ (RCCC, Netherlands)
  • Tuesday, 28 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Bridging Physical Hypotheses and their Statistical Analysis through Causal Networks 1h30'
        Speaker: Ted SHEPHERD (U Reading, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Statistical Practice in Extreme Event Attribution 1h30'
        Speaker: Robert VAUTARD (IPSL CNRS, France)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 7 Advanced Methods for Attribution, Including Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Robert VAUTARD (IPSL CNRS, France)
  • Wednesday, 29 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Storylines 1h30'
        Speaker: Ted SHEPHERD (U Reading, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Heavy Precipitation Events and Convection Permitting Modelling 1h30'
        Speaker: Erika COPPOLA (ICTP, Italy)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 8 Convection Permitting Climate Modelling Data Analysis 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Emanuela PICHELLI (ICTP, Trieste)
  • Thursday, 30 June 2022
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Simulation of Rare Climate Events 1h30'
        Speaker: Pascal YIOU (LSCE, France)
        Material: Video
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Linking Large-Scale Dynamics to Regional Extremes 1h30'
        Speaker: Gabriele MESSORI (Uppsala University, Sweden)
        Material: Video
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
      • 14:00 HACKATHON 9 Simulating the Most Extreme Events 3h0'
        Note: only for Participants 'in presence'
        Speaker: Pascal YIOU (LSCE, France)
  • Friday, 1 July 2022
    • 09:00 - 12:35
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Students Presentations 1h30'
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Students Presentations 1h30'
      • 12:30 Closing Remarks 5'
        Speaker: Erika COPPOLA (ICTP, Italy)