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Description An ICTP Hybrid Meeting

The El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a strong driver of significant weather and climate anomalies across the globe. ENSO is probably one of the most studied phenomena in climate research, but there are still many open research questions, which will be discussed in this school.
 
ENSO teleconnections continue to be an area of very active research. They include not only effects on the circulation over the mid-latitudes (Europe, Asia, North America, South America), but also a strong influence on the Asian Monsoon. The Monsoon also has its own set of teleconnections not all of which are related to ENSO. It will be very helpful for researchers and students alike to learn the latest advances in the understanding of ENSO dynamics and its broad range of teleconnections. One emphasis of this workshop will be the Asian Monsoon, which is a complex phenomenon of great importance to the regional agriculture and hence to the well-being of a very significant population. In recent years there has been an advance in understanding of how the Monsoon is affected by, and interacts with, the tropical ocean basins, the adjoining land masses, mid-latitudes and the stratosphere.
 
Topics:
  • Tropical ocean (ENSO) dynamics, including phenomenology
  • ENSO theory, modeling, prediction
  • Decadal Variability and long term trends
  • ENSO teleconnections
  • Decadal variations of interannual teleconnections
  • Inter-basin connections
  • Tropical-extratropical teleconnections
 
Lecturers include:
M.A. ABID, ICTP, Italy
S. BORDONI, University of Trento, Italy
A. CAPOTONDI, University of Colorado and NOAA/PSL, USA
A. CHERCHI, INGV, Italy
A. FEDOROV, Yale University, USA
E. GUILYARDI, LOCEAN/IPSL, France
F.-F. JIN, University of Hawaii, USA
I.-S. KANG, Second Institute of Oceanography, China
B. KIRTMAN, University of Miami, USA
V. KRISHNAMURTHY, George Mason University, USA
M. L'HEUREUX, NOAA/CPC, USA
J. MARSHALL, MIT, USA
M. MCPHADEN, NOAA/PMEL, USA
F. MOLTENI, ECMWF, UK
Y. PLANTON, NOAA/PMEL, USA
A.M. RAVINDRAN, Center for Prototype Climate Modelling, UAE
A. ROBERTSON, Columbia University
A. SANTOSO, University of New South Wales and CSIRO, Australia
J. SHUKLA, George Mason University, USA
E. SWENSON, GMU, USA
C. WANG, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
A. WITTENBERG, NOAA/GFDL, USA
S.-P. XIE, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, USA


Applicants are required to submit 'Research Abstract'. A number of abstracts will be selected for a contributed talk or for a poster session. During the application please make sure to use our templates to format your abstract in PDFs. Templates are available below for download.
 
Accepted participants will be able to attend in remote or — strictly following Italian sanitary rules as they will be applicable at the time of the school, and depending on the very limited number of available places — in person. 
 
Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee.

Material

3rd Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modeling of Climate Dynamics: Tropical Oceans, ENSO and their teleconnections | (smr 3727)
Go to day
  • Monday, 18 July 2022
    • 08:30 - 09:00
      • 08:30 Registration formalities (in person participants) 30' ( Adriatico Guest House - Registration desk (Lower Level 1) ) 
        REGISTRATION: Upon arrival, Visitors not staying in the ICTP Guest Houses, are kindly requested to complete registration formalities at the Adriatico Guesthouse. The Registration Desk will be open at the Lower level from 8.30  to 9.00.

Time zone: You can choose your time zone (in place of Europe/Rome) on the top right of the page and the programme time will be modified accordingly.
    • 09:00 - 13:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Welcome remarks and Introduction 30'
        Speaker: Fred KUCHARSKI (ICTP, Italy), Antonietta CAPOTONDI (University of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, USA), Jagadish SHUKLA (George Mason University, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:30 ENSO Observations and Dynamics 45'
        Speaker: Mike MCPHADEN (NOAA/PMEL, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:15 ENSO Observations and Dynamics 45'
        Speaker: Mike MCPHADEN (NOAA/PMEL, USA)
      • 11:00 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:30 ENSO-mean state interaction 45'
        Speaker: Alexey FEDOROV (Yale University, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 12:15 ENSO-mean state interaction 45'
        Speaker: Alexey FEDOROV (Yale University, USA)
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 14:00 Students presentations 1h30' 
        Presentations 15 minutes each plus questions

1. Isma ABDELKADER DI CARLO, IPSL, France (In person, 15 minutes)
'El Nino diversity during the Holocene in relation to mean state changes'

2. Colin EVANS, Cornell University, USA (In person, 15 minutes)
'Intrinsic Century-Scale Variability in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and their Influence on Western US Hydroclimate'

3. Yiyu ZHENG , University of Colorado, USA (Remote, 15 minutes)
'Insignificant but robust decrease of ENSO predictability in an equilibrium warmer climate'
        Material: Slides Video
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Introduction to ENSO metrics and Lab work 30'
        Speaker: Yann PLANTON (NOAA/PMEL, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 16:30 Posters viewing 30'
    • 18:00 - 20:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Terrace
      • 18:00 Get-together drink 2h0' 
        All participants are cordially invited to the Get-together drink.
  • Tuesday, 19 July 2022
    • 09:00 - 12:00
      • 09:00 ENSO Theory 45'
        Speaker: Fei-Fei JIN (University of Hawaii, Hawaii)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:45 ENSO Theory 45'
        Speaker: Fei-Fei JIN (University of Hawaii, Hawaii)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:30 Group Photo (in presence participants) 5'
      • 10:35 Coffee break 20'
      • 10:55 Group Photo (online Participants) 5'
      • 11:00 The role of spatial shifting in ENSO complexity 30'
        Speaker: Sulian THUAL (CECI - CERFACS/CNRS,France)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:30 Students presentations 30' 
        Presentations 15 minutes each plus questions

1. Jakob SCHLOER, University of Tuebingen, Germany (In person, 15 minutes)
'A multi-modal representation of El Nino Southern Oscillation Diversity'
        Material: Slides
    • 14:00 - 18:30
      • 14:00 ENSO Predictability 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Ben KIRTMAN (University of Miami, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 14:45 ENSO Predictability 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Ben KIRTMAN (University of Miami, USA)
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Students Presentations 2h0' 
        Presentations 15 minutes each plus questions

1. Xinjia HU, MPI Dresden, Germany (In person, 15 minutes)
'Benchmarking prediction skill in binary El Nino forecasts'

2. Xian WU, NCAR, USA (remote, 15 minutes)
'Duration of El Nino and La Nina Events: Dynamics and Multiyear Predictability'

3. Paloma TRASCASA CASTRO, Unoversity of Leeds, UK (In person, 15 minutes)
'Warm Phase AMV Damps ENSO Through Weakened Thermocline Feedback'

4. Veronica MARTIN GOMEZ, BSC, Spain (In person, 15 minutes)
'The role of ENSO in the interannual variability of the global CO2 fluxes based on CMIP6 Earth 

5. Allison LAWMAN, NOAA, USA (In person, 15 minutes)
'Detecting Increases in Extreme El Nino over Holocene'

6. Nicola MAHER, University of Colorado, USA (In person, 15 minutes)
'The future of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences'
        Material: Slides Video
      • 18:00 Posters viewing 30'
  • Wednesday, 20 July 2022
    • 09:00 - 12:30
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 ENSO Diversity Dynamics 45'
        Speaker: Antonietta CAPOTONDI (University of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:45 ENSO Precursors 45'
        Speaker: Antonietta CAPOTONDI (University of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, USA)
      • 10:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 ENSO modeling in GCMs 45'
        Speaker: Eric GUILYARDI (LOCEAN/IPSL, France)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:45 ENSO modeling in GCMs 45'
        Speaker: Eric GUILYARDI (LOCEAN/IPSL, France)
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab
      • 14:00 Lab work 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Lab work and Posters viewing 1h0'
    • 18:00 - 19:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 18:00 Discussion on “Ethics of advocacy/engagement of climate scientists in society” 1h0'
        Speaker: Eric GUILYARDI (LOCEAN/IPSL, France)
        Material: Slides
    • 19:00 - 21:00
      • 19:00 Reception 2h0' 
        All participants are cordially invited to the Reception.
  • Thursday, 21 July 2022
    • 09:00 - 12:30
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 ENSO Prediction 45'
        Speaker: Michelle L'HEUREUX (NOAA, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:45 ENSO Prediction 45'
        Speaker: Michelle L'HEUREUX (NOAA, USA)
      • 10:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 ENSO Prediction and Application to Society 45'
        Speaker: Andy ROBERTSON (IRI, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:45 ENSO Prediction and Application to Society 45'
        Speaker: Andy ROBERTSON (IRI, USA)
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab
      • 14:00 Lab work 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Lab work and Posters viewing 1h0'
  • Friday, 22 July 2022
    • 09:00 - 12:30
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 ENSO decadal modulation 45'
        Speaker: Andrew WITTENBERG (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:45 ENSO decadal modulation 45'
        Speaker: Andrew WITTENBERG (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, USA)
      • 10:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 ENSO in a changing climate 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Agus SANTOSO (CSIRO, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:45 ENSO in a changing climate 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Agus SANTOSO (CSIRO, USA)
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      • 14:00 Student projects/General discussion 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Student projects/General discussion 1h0'
  • Monday, 25 July 2022
    • 09:30 - 12:35
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:30 An Introduction to Week 2 of the School 15'
        Speaker: David STRAUS (George Mason University, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 09:45 Invited lecture: An Overview of pathways of ENSO influence on the extra-tropics 45'
        Speaker: In-Sik KANG (Second Institute of Oceanography, China)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:30 Invited lecture: A Review of Three-Ocean Interactions and Climate Variability 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Chunzai WANG (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:15 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:45 High-Frequency ENSO during the AMOC slowdown in the North Atlantic freshwater hosing experiment using atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model CCSM3 20'
        Speaker: Siswanto SISWANTO (The Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics (BMKG), Indonesia)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 12:15 Impact of tropical SSTs on the predictable components of the late-winter atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic-European region 20'
        Speaker: Sara IVASIC (Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Croatia)
        Material: Slides Video
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 14:00 Introduction to SPEEDY model and experimentation 1h30'
        Speaker: Fred KUCHARSKI (ICTP, Italy)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
      • 16:00 Introduction to SPEEDY model and experimentation 1h0'
        Speaker: Fred KUCHARSKI (ICTP, Italy)
  • Tuesday, 26 July 2022
    • 09:30 - 12:10
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:30 Invited lecture: Monsoons, ITCZs and the concept of the global monsoon 45'
        Speaker: Simona BORDONI (University of Trento, Italy)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:15 Invited lecture: A review of the influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Indian summer monsoon and ENSO 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Annalisa CHERCHI (INGV, Italy)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:00 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:30 Modelling-robustness of the past and future forced changes of the ENSO-Indian summer monsoon teleconnection 20'
        Speaker: Aneesh SUNDARESAN (IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, South Korea)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:50 A web of Teleconnections: Methods for Isolating Climate-Driver Signals and Understanding Their Societal Impacts 20' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Anne Laurel DISERA (International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Climate School, Columbia University, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
    • 14:00 - 17:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab
      • 14:00 Lab work 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 45'
      • 16:15 Invited lecture: Teleconnection of ENSO in South Asian monsoon and relative influence of the Indian Ocean 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Venkataramanaiah KRISHNAMURTHY (GMU, USA), Jagadish SHUKLA (George Mason University, USA)
    • 19:00 - 21:00
      • 19:00 Reception 2h0' 
        All participants are cordially invited to the Reception.
  • Wednesday, 27 July 2022
    • 09:30 - 12:35
      • 09:30 Invited lecture: Results of ENSO & Indian Ocean influence on South Asian Monsoon from 50 years of simulations with a large ensemble 45'
        Speaker: Erik SWENSON (GMU, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:15 Nonstationarity and Potential Multi-Decadal Variability in Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Southern Annular Mode Teleconnection 20' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Pushpa PANDEY (K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies (KBCAOS), India)
        Material: Video
      • 10:35 Group Photo (in presence Participants) 5'
      • 10:40 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:10 Group Photo (online Participants) 5'
      • 11:15 Information Entropy as Quantifier of Potential Predictability in the Tropical Indo-Pacific Basin 20'
        Speaker: James Olawale IKUYAJOLU (Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:35 Dominant controls of Cold-season precipitation variability over the high mountains of Asia 20'
        Speaker: Moetasim ASHFAQ (Oak Ridge Climate Change Science Institute, USA)
        Material: Video
      • 11:55 Impact of Monsoon on the atmospheric composition 20'
        Speaker: Narendra OJHA (Physical Research Laboratory, Space and Atmospheric Division, India)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 12:15 Early summer surface air temperature variability over Pakistan and the role of El Nino-Southern Oscillation teleconnections 20'
        Speaker: Irfan Ur RASHID (Pakistan Meteorological Department, Pakistan)
        Material: Slides Video
    • 15:00 - 17:00
      Location: Leonardo Building - Budinich Lecture Hall
      • 15:00 2021 ICTP Prize Ceremony 2h0' 
         2021 ICTP Prize Ceremony

Further information about the Prize winners research is in the feature article available at: https://www.ictp.it/about-ictp/media-centre/news/2021/12/ictp_prize_2021.aspx

Rondrotiana Barimalala of the University of Cape Town, South Africa, and Narendra Ojha of the Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, India, were awarded the 2021 ICTP Prize for their important work on diverse aspects of climate change in Africa and Asia.
  • Thursday, 28 July 2022
    • 09:30 - 12:10
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:30 Invited lecture: Atlantic Zonal Mode: An Emerging Source of Indian Summer Monsoon Predictability in a Warming World 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Ajaya Mohan RAVINDRAN (Center for Prototype Climate Modelling, UAE)
        Material: Video
      • 10:15 Invited lecture: ENSO teleconnections and Predictability of the Euro-Atlantic region during winter in the inter-basin framework 45'
        Speaker: Mohammad Adnan ABID (ICTP, Italy)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:00 Coffee break 30'
      • 11:30 On the characteristic tilt of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation 20'
        Speaker: Sambrita GHATAK (Indian Institute of Science, India)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:50 An observational study of the variability of East African rainfall with respect to sea surface temperature and soil moisture 20' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Claudine WENHAJI NDOMENI (CNRS - LMD, France)
        Material: Video
    • 14:00 - 16:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Lab
      • 14:00 Lab work 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee break 30'
    • 16:15 - 17:00
      • 16:15 Invited lecture: Indo-western Pacific ocean capacitor: ENSO forcing, coupled feedback and impact on 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Shang-Ping XIE (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
  • Friday, 29 July 2022
    • 09:30 - 12:00
      Location: Adriatico Guest House - Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 09:30 Invited lecture: Early- and late-winter ENSO teleconnections to the Euro-Atlantic region in state-of-the-art seasonal forecasting systems 45' 
        virtual talk
        Speaker: Franco MOLTENI (ECMWF, UK)
        Material: Video
      • 10:15 Indian Monsoon Precipitation and Circulation Teleconnections with Tropical Indian Ocean heating in the Community Earth System Model (CESM) 15'
        Speaker: Debanjana DAS (Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:30 Connections between Subtropical High Pressure, the Hadley Circulation and Baroclinic Instability 15'
        Speaker: Weiteng QIU (University of Exeter, UK)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 10:45 Coffee break 45'
      • 11:30 The MSE seasonal cycle and the Horn of Africa long and short rains 15'
        Speaker: Kevin SCHWARZWALD (Columbia University, USA)
        Material: Slides Video
      • 11:45 Near-inertial wave amplitude in the tropics as a diagnostic for validating mixed layer dynamics in general circulation models 15'
        Speaker: Marta MROZOWSKA (University of Copenhagen, Denmark)
        Material: Video
    • 13:30 - 15:30
      • 13:30 Presentation of Student Projects and Awarding of Certificates 2h0'