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8-16 April (Workshop); 17-19 April (Conference) SPRING COLLOQUIUM ON THE PHYSICS OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE: REGIONAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODELING AND PREDICTABILITY | (smr 1403)
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  • Monday, 8 April 2002
    • 08:30 - 10:00 REGISTRATION
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 08:30 REGISTRATION 1h30'
    • 10:00 - 10:30 Welcome & Introduction to the Colloquium
      • 10:00 Welcome & Introduction to the Colloquium 30'
    • 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:00 - 12:00 Free time for administrative / financial matters
      • 11:00 Free time for administrative / financial matters 1h0'
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Main Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:15 The Eta model and a decade+ of its use at NCEP: Challenges overcome and lessons learned, Part 1
      • 14:00 The Eta model and a decade+ of its use at NCEP: Challenges overcome and lessons learned, Part 1 1h15'
        Speaker: F. Mesinger (NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:15 - 15:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 15:45 - 17:00 The Eta model at CPTEC
      • 15:45 The Eta model at CPTEC 1h15'
        Speaker: S.C. Chou (INPE/CPTEC, Sao Paulo, Brazil)
  • Tuesday, 9 April 2002
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Chaos and ensemble forecasting
      • 09:00 Chaos and ensemble forecasting 1h15'
        Speaker: A. Montani (Regional Meteorological Service, Bologna, Italy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Estimation theory and data assimilation: Theoretical foundation
      • 10:45 Estimation theory and data assimilation: Theoretical foundation 1h15'
        Speaker: M. Zupanski (Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      Location: Main Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch Break 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:20 Infolab - Familiarization with computing environment in ICTP lab
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 14:00 Infolab - Familiarization with computing environment in ICTP lab 1h20'
    • 15:20 - 15:40 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:20 Coffee Break 20'
    • 15:40 - 17:00 Infolab - Formation of working groups and start-up session on data handling and visualization
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:40 Infolab - Formation of working groups and start-up session on data handling and visualization 1h20'
    • 18:00 - 18:00 RECEPTION
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 18:00 RECEPTION
  • Wednesday, 17 April 2002
    • 16:00 - 16:40 Cloud microphysical retrieval with the aid of limited area model
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:00 Cloud microphysical retrieval with the aid of limited area model 40'
        Speaker: G. Kallos (University of Athens, Greece)
    • 16:40 - 17:00 Tests with convective scheme parameters to reduce systematic errors of the Eta model over South America
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:40 Tests with convective scheme parameters to reduce systematic errors of the Eta model over South America 20'
        Speaker: J.L. Gomes (Instituto de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Paulo, Brazil)
  • Thursday, 18 April 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:40 Early results from the 12-km Eta during winter 2001-2002 over the continental US
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Early results from the 12-km Eta during winter 2001-2002 over the continental US 40'
        Speaker: B. Ferrier (NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, USA)
    • 09:40 - 10:00 Numerical Simulations of tropical cyclones over bay of Bengal using Betts-Miller cumulus parameterization scheme and other schemes
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:40 Numerical Simulations of tropical cyclones over bay of Bengal using Betts-Miller cumulus parameterization scheme and other schemes 20'
        Speaker: N.R. Kopparthi (Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, India)
    • 10:00 - 10:20 Estimation of sensible heat flux from radiometric surface and air temperature
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 10:00 Estimation of sensible heat flux from radiometric surface and air temperature 20'
        Speaker: A.A. Balogun (Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria)
    • 10:20 - 10:40 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:20 Coffee Break 20'
    • 10:40 - 11:20 The regional BOLAM model: some results from MAP and other projects
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 10:40 The regional BOLAM model: some results from MAP and other projects 40'
        Speaker: A. Buzzi (Institute for the Study of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences (ISAO),CNR, Bologna, Italy)
    • 11:20 - 11:40 Air-sea interaction in the Mediterranean area
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 11:20 Air-sea interaction in the Mediterranean area 20'
        Speaker: V. Djurdjevic (University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia)
    • 11:40 - 12:00 The influence of the European scale atmospheric circulation upon the daily precipitation field over Romania
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 11:40 The influence of the European scale atmospheric circulation upon the daily precipitation field over Romania 20'
        Speaker: E.-C. Cipu (University Polytehnica of Bucharest, Romania)
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 12:00 Lunch Break 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 14:40 Mountain effects caused by the Andes
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 14:00 Mountain effects caused by the Andes 40'
        Speaker: S.C. Chou (Instituto de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Paulo, Brazil)
    • 14:40 - 15:00 What is the role of the low-level jet east of the Andes in the development of the South American monsoon?
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 14:40 What is the role of the low-level jet east of the Andes in the development of the South American monsoon? 20'
        Speaker: E. Collini (Servicio Meteorologico de la Armada, Buenos Aires, Argentina)
    • 15:00 - 15:20 Domain size sensitivities in a regional climate simulation for South America
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 15:00 Domain size sensitivities in a regional climate simulation for South America 20'
        Speaker: M.H. Rojas Corradi (Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile)
    • 15:20 - 15:40 Resolution tests with the regional Eta model over South Brazil
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 15:20 Resolution tests with the regional Eta model over South Brazil 20'
        Speaker: S.C. Chou (Instituto de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Paulo, Brazil)
    • 15:40 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:40 Coffee Break 20'
    • 16:00 - 16:40 The HIRLAM strategy for development of LAM forecasting
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:00 The HIRLAM strategy for development of LAM forecasting 40'
        Speaker: P. Unden (Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, Norrkoping, Sweden)
    • 16:40 - 17:00 Short-term rainfall prediction over Nile basin using Eta model
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:40 Short-term rainfall prediction over Nile basin using Eta model 20'
        Speaker: B.A.A.M. Badawy (Ministry of Water Resources & Irrigation Planning, Cairo, Egypt)
    • 17:00 - 17:20 The current status of NWP model application in forecasting at Regional Meteorological Centre, Nairobi
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 17:00 The current status of NWP model application in forecasting at Regional Meteorological Centre, Nairobi 20'
        Speaker: J.G. Mungai (Kenya Meteorological Department, Nairobi, Kenya)
    • 17:20 - 17:40 The impact of the Tibetan plateau surface heating field intensity on the Northern hemispherical general circulations and weather and the climate of China
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 17:20 The impact of the Tibetan plateau surface heating field intensity on the Northern hemispherical general circulations and weather and the climate of China 20'
        Speaker: D. Li (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental & Engineering Research Inst., Lanzhou, China)
  • Friday, 19 April 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:40 Planetary Boundary Layers (PBLs): classical theory, recent developments and improved parameterisation
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Planetary Boundary Layers (PBLs): classical theory, recent developments and improved parameterisation 40'
        Speaker: S. Zilitinkevich (University of Uppsala, Sweden)
    • 09:40 - 10:20 The limited area ensemble prediction system of ARPA-SMR
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 09:40 The limited area ensemble prediction system of ARPA-SMR 40'
        Speaker: S. Tibaldi (Regional Meteorological Service, Bologna, Italy)
    • 10:20 - 10:40 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:20 Coffee Break 20'
    • 10:40 - 11:20 Data assimilation and model error optimization
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 10:40 Data assimilation and model error optimization 40'
        Speaker: D. Zupanski (Colorado State University, Fort Collins, USA)
    • 11:20 - 12:00 "Initialization" using an iterative Matsuno style scheme in the Eta model adjustment stage
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 11:20 "Initialization" using an iterative Matsuno style scheme in the Eta model adjustment stage 40'
        Speaker: L. Lazic (University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia)
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 12:00 Lunch Break 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 14:40 Limited area predictability: What skill additional to that of the global model can be achieved, why, and for how long?
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 14:00 Limited area predictability: What skill additional to that of the global model can be achieved, why, and for how long? 40'
        Speaker: F. Mesinger (NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, USA)
    • 14:40 - 15:00 The performances of the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) over Central Italy
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 14:40 The performances of the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) over Central Italy 20'
        Speaker: M. Pasqui (Meteorology and Environmental Modeling Lab, Florence, Italy)
    • 15:00 - 15:40 Dynamics and predictability of the Eta regiona model: the role of the domain size
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 15:00 Dynamics and predictability of the Eta regiona model: the role of the domain size 40'
        Speaker: S. Vannitsem (Royal Meteorological Institute, Brussels, Belgium)
    • 15:40 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:40 Coffee Break 20'
    • 16:00 - 16:20 Predictability of the regional Eta model weather forecasts over South America
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:00 Predictability of the regional Eta model weather forecasts over South America 20'
        Speaker: J. Fonseca Bustamante (Instituto de Pesquisas Espaciais, Sao Paulo, Brazil)
    • 16:20 - 17:00 Model error in weather forecasting
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 16:20 Model error in weather forecasting 40'
        Speaker: D. Orrell (University College London, U.K.)
    • 17:00 - 17:00 Closing remarks
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall
      • 17:00 Closing remarks
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