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SECOND ICTP CONFERENCE ON DETECTION AND MODELING OF REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE | (smr 1428)
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  • Monday, 30 September 2002
    • 08:30 - 09:30 Registration 
      Subsequently, participants may register in room 136, Main Building 1st floor
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 08:30 Registration 1h0'
    • 09:30 - 10:00 Attribution of regional climate change and constraints on future climate change
      • 09:30 Attribution of regional climate change and constraints on future climate change 30'
        Speaker: P. STOTT (Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, U.K.)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:00 - 10:15 Causes of climate change: an information-theoretical approach
      • 10:00 Causes of climate change: an information-theoretical approach 15'
        Speaker: P.F. Verdes (Universidad Nacional de Rosario, Rosario, Argentina)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:15 - 10:30 Signals of climate change in Central America during the last decades
      • 10:15 Signals of climate change in Central America during the last decades 15'
        Speaker: J.A. Amador Astua (University of Costa Rica, San Jose, Costa Rica)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:30 - 10:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 10:50 - 11:05 Long-term variability of precipitation in the region of the European Alps during the 20th century
      • 10:50 Long-term variability of precipitation in the region of the European Alps during the 20th century 15'
        Speaker: J. Schmidli (ETH, Institute for Atmospheric & Climate Sciences, Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:05 - 11:20 Detection and attribution of climatic trends in the regional wave climate at the German North sea coast
      • 11:05 Detection and attribution of climatic trends in the regional wave climate at the German North sea coast 15'
        Speaker: A. Pfizenmayer (GKSS Forshungszentrum, Geesthacht, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:20 - 11:35 Fluctuations of surface air temperature in the Eastern Mediterranean
      • 11:20 Fluctuations of surface air temperature in the Eastern Mediterranean 15'
        Speaker: H.M.S. Hasanean (Cairo University, Giza, Egypt)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:35 - 11:50 Climate change and hydrology with special emphasis on the Sebou basin in Morocco
      • 11:35 Climate change and hydrology with special emphasis on the Sebou basin in Morocco 15'
        Speaker: S. Haida (Universite' Ibn Tofail, Kenitra, Morocco)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:50 - 12:05 Implications of teleconnection indices for the temperature and precipitation variations over the Iberian peninsula in Spring
      • 11:50 Implications of teleconnection indices for the temperature and precipitation variations over the Iberian peninsula in Spring 15'
        Speaker: C. Rodriguez-Puebla (University of Salamanca, Spain)
        Material: abstract
    • 12:05 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      • 12:05 Lunch Break 1h55'
    • 14:00 - 14:30 Climate change during historical times: lessons from the past and relevance to regional-scale climate change
      • 14:00 Climate change during historical times: lessons from the past and relevance to regional-scale climate change 30'
        Speaker: T. CROWLEY (Nicholas School of the Environment & Earth Science, Duke University, Durham NC, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 14:30 - 14:45 Cancelled
      • 14:30 Cancelled 15'
        Speaker: N.R. Phadtare (Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehra Dun, India)
        Material: abstract
    • 14:45 - 15:00 Detection and projection of climate change over East Asia and China for the 20th and 21st centuries
      • 14:45 Detection and projection of climate change over East Asia and China for the 20th and 21st centuries 15'
        Speaker: Z. Zhao (Research Center for Numerical Meteorological Prediction)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:00 - 15:20 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 15:00 Coffee Break 20'
    • 15:20 - 15:50 GCM-simulated and observed regional climate change: the case of rainfall in Southwest Western Australia
      • 15:20 GCM-simulated and observed regional climate change: the case of rainfall in Southwest Western Australia 30'
        Speaker: P. WHETTON (CSIRO - Division of Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Australia)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:50 - 16:05 Global climate change impacts on North Africa
      • 15:50 Global climate change impacts on North Africa 15'
        Speaker: M.M. Abdel-Wahab (Cairo University, Giza, Egypt)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:05 - 16:20 Southern African climate under increased greenhouse gases conditions as simulated from ARPEGE/OPAICE coupled model
      • 16:05 Southern African climate under increased greenhouse gases conditions as simulated from ARPEGE/OPAICE coupled model 15'
        Speaker: Y. Zhao (Universite' de Bourgogne, Dijon, France)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:20 - 16:35 Climate change in the Atlantic European region due to increased concentration of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols in the HadCM2 experiments
      • 16:20 Climate change in the Atlantic European region due to increased concentration of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols in the HadCM2 experiments 15'
        Speaker: C. Boroneant (National Institute of Meteorology & Hydrology, Bucharest, Romania)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:35 - 16:50 Simulated present-day and future climatic zones in Europe
      • 16:35 Simulated present-day and future climatic zones in Europe 15'
        Speaker: K. Jylha (Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:50 - 17:20 Regional climate response to increasing CO2: comparison of the CMIP2 experiments
      • 16:50 Regional climate response to increasing CO2: comparison of the CMIP2 experiments 30'
        Speaker: J.A. RAISANEN (Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, Norrkoping, Sweden)
        Material: abstract
    • 17:20 - 17:50 Inferring regional climate change information from ensembles of different model simulations: The "Reliability Ensemble Averaging" (REA) method
      • 17:20 Inferring regional climate change information from ensembles of different model simulations: The "Reliability Ensemble Averaging" (REA) method 30'
        Speaker: F. GIORGI (ICTP, Trieste, Italy)
        Material: abstract
  • Tuesday, 1 October 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Obtaining regional scenarios from global models: climate change over Southern Africa
      • 09:00 Obtaining regional scenarios from global models: climate change over Southern Africa 30'
        Speaker: D. HUDSON (U.K. Met office, Bracknell, U.K.)
        Material: abstract
    • 09:30 - 10:00 Formulating and applying high resolution AGCMs for climate prediction
      • 09:30 Formulating and applying high resolution AGCMs for climate prediction 30'
        Speaker: R. JONES (U.K. Meteorological Office, Bracknell, U.K.)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:00 - 10:15 Mechanisms of Future Summer Drying over Central Europe
      • 10:00 Mechanisms of Future Summer Drying over Central Europe 15'
        Speaker: D. Rowell (Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, U.K.)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:15 - 10:30 Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: the present and the doubled CO2 climate scenarios
      • 10:15 Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: the present and the doubled CO2 climate scenarios 15'
        Speaker: P. Lionello (INFN, University of Lecce, Italy)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:30 - 10:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 10:50 - 11:20 High resolution and variable resolution AGCMs
      • 10:50 High resolution and variable resolution AGCMs 30'
        Speaker: M. DEQUE (METEO-FRANCE, Toulouse, France)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:20 - 11:50 Regional climate simulations with a variable resolution global model
      • 11:20 Regional climate simulations with a variable resolution global model 30'
        Speaker: J.L. McGREGOR (CSIRO - Division of Atmospheric Research)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:50 - 12:05 Continuous dynamic grid adaptation for regional simulation in a global atmospheric model
      • 11:50 Continuous dynamic grid adaptation for regional simulation in a global atmospheric model 15'
        Speaker: W. Gutowski (Iowa State University, Ames Iowa, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 12:05 - 14:00 Lunch break
      • 12:05 Lunch break 1h55'
    • 14:00 - 14:30 Estimating the downscaling ability of nested RCMs with the Big-Brother experimental protocol
      • 14:00 Estimating the downscaling ability of nested RCMs with the Big-Brother experimental protocol 30'
        Speaker: R. LAPRISE (Universite' de Quebec a Montreal, Canada)
        Material: abstract
    • 14:30 - 14:45 Dynamic influence of wetlands on Arctic climate revealed by ensemble RCM simulations
      • 14:30 Dynamic influence of wetlands on Arctic climate revealed by ensemble RCM simulations 15'
        Speaker: W. Gutowski (Iowa State University, Ames Ioza, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 14:45 - 15:00 Comparison of ensemble methods in a nested regional climate model
      • 14:45 Comparison of ensemble methods in a nested regional climate model 15'
        Speaker: R. Arritt (Iowa State University, Ames Iowa, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:00 - 15:15 Climate responses to a carbon dioxide doubling for California
      • 15:00 Climate responses to a carbon dioxide doubling for California 15'
        Speaker: L. Sloan (University of California at Santa Cruz, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:15 - 15:30 Regional changes in extreme climatic events with doubled CO2
      • 15:15 Regional changes in extreme climatic events with doubled CO2 15'
        Speaker: J. Bell (University of California at Santa Cruz, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:30 - 15:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 15:50 - 16:20 Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States
      • 15:50 Mid-century ensemble regional climate change scenarios for the Western United States 30'
        Speaker: R. LEUNG (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland WA, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:20 - 16:35 Lateral boundary conditions in RCMs: study of the usual relaxation scheme
      • 16:20 Lateral boundary conditions in RCMs: study of the usual relaxation scheme 15'
        Speaker: P. Marbaix (Institut d'Astronomie et de Geophysique Georges Lemaitre, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:35 - 16:50 A regional model intercomparison over Brazil
      • 16:35 A regional model intercomparison over Brazil 15'
        Speaker: J. Roads (Scripps Institute of Oceanography, Univ. California at San Diego, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:50 - 17:05 Preliminary experiments using a sub-grid land surface and precipitation scheme within a regional climate model
      • 16:50 Preliminary experiments using a sub-grid land surface and precipitation scheme within a regional climate model 15'
        Speaker: J. Pal (ICTP, Trieste, Italy)
        Material: abstract
    • 17:05 - 18:30 POSTER SESSION
      Location: Main Building Terrace
      • 17:05 POSTER SESSION 1h25'
    • 18:30 - 18:30 RECEPTION
      Location: Main Building Cafeteria
      • 18:30 RECEPTION
  • Wednesday, 2 October 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Changes in severe precipitation events over Europe under Global warming
      • 09:00 Changes in severe precipitation events over Europe under Global warming 30'
        Speaker: J. CHRISTENSEN (Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark)
        Material: abstract
    • 09:30 - 09:45 Scaling of regional climate signals investigated with regional model quasi-ensembles
      • 09:30 Scaling of regional climate signals investigated with regional model quasi-ensembles 15'
        Speaker: O. Christensen (Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark)
        Material: abstract
    • 09:45 - 10:00 Climate change simulation over Europe using the regional climate model REMO
      • 09:45 Climate change simulation over Europe using the regional climate model REMO 15'
        Speaker: T. Semmler (Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:00 - 10:30 Internal climate variability of the Arctic in global and regional climate models
      • 10:00 Internal climate variability of the Arctic in global and regional climate models 30'
        Speaker: K. DETHLOFF (Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar & Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:30 - 10:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 10:50 - 11:20 Regional climate system modeling
      • 10:50 Regional climate system modeling 30'
        Speaker: M. RUMMUKAINEN (Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute, Norrkoping, Sweden)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:20 - 11:35 An evaluation of precipitation statistics in RCMs using daily gridded rain-gauge data for the Alpine region
      • 11:20 An evaluation of precipitation statistics in RCMs using daily gridded rain-gauge data for the Alpine region 15'
        Speaker: C. Frei (ETH - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:35 - 11:50 Climate change and runoff statistics: a process study for the Rhine basin using a coupled climat-runoff model
      • 11:35 Climate change and runoff statistics: a process study for the Rhine basin using a coupled climat-runoff model 15'
        Speaker: J. Kleinn (ETH - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: abstract
    • 11:50 - 12:05 Will greenhouse warming lead to an enhanced occurrence of summer droughts in mid-latitudes?
      • 11:50 Will greenhouse warming lead to an enhanced occurrence of summer droughts in mid-latitudes? 15'
        Speaker: S. Seneviratne (ETH - Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland)
        Material: abstract
    • 12:05 - 12:20 High resolution dynamical downscaling of global NCEP/NCAR atmospheric reanalyses
      • 12:05 High resolution dynamical downscaling of global NCEP/NCAR atmospheric reanalyses 15'
        Speaker: F. Meneguzzo (CNR - Institute for Biometeorology, Florence, Italy)
        Material: abstract
    • 12:20 - 12:35 Evaluation of limited area coupled ocean-atmosphere model simulation for the Adriatic Sea
      • 12:20 Evaluation of limited area coupled ocean-atmosphere model simulation for the Adriatic Sea 15'
        Speaker: S. Dobricic (Joint Research Institute, Ispra, Italy)
        Material: abstract
    • 12:35 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      • 12:35 Lunch Break 1h25'
    • 14:00 - 14:30 Quantitative assessment of ecosystem service vulnerability to climate change
      • 14:00 Quantitative assessment of ecosystem service vulnerability to climate change 30'
        Speaker: W. CRAMER (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 14:30 - 15:00 Climatic change, extreme events, and their impacts
      • 14:30 Climatic change, extreme events, and their impacts 30'
        Speaker: M. BENISTON (University of Fribourg, Switzerland)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:00 - 15:15 Uncertainties in developing site-specific climate change scenario
      • 15:00 Uncertainties in developing site-specific climate change scenario 15'
        Speaker: M. Dubrovsky (Institute of the Physics of the Atmosphere, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:15 - 15:30 Impacts assessment confidence based on uncertainty propagation from a regional climate model to a crop yield model
      • 15:15 Impacts assessment confidence based on uncertainty propagation from a regional climate model to a crop yield model 15'
        Speaker: E. Takle (Iowa State University, Dept. of Agronomy, Ames Iowa, U.S.A.)
        Material: abstract
    • 15:30 - 15:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 15:50 - 16:20 The concept of downscaling and the rationale of large-scale control in regional climate modeling
      • 15:50 The concept of downscaling and the rationale of large-scale control in regional climate modeling 30'
        Speaker: H. VON STORCH (GKSS Forshungszentrum Geesthacht, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:20 - 16:35 Estimates of local temperature change by statistical downscaling: Sensitivity to the method and selection of predictors
      • 16:20 Estimates of local temperature change by statistical downscaling: Sensitivity to the method and selection of predictors 15'
        Speaker: R. Huth (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:35 - 16:50 Assessments of regional precipitation changes in Namibia due to man-made enhanced greenhouse warming
      • 16:35 Assessments of regional precipitation changes in Namibia due to man-made enhanced greenhouse warming 15'
        Speaker: J. Jacobeit (University of Wurzburg, Germany)
        Material: abstract
    • 16:50 - 17:05 Application of artificial neural networks in climatic zonation of Pakistan
      • 16:50 Application of artificial neural networks in climatic zonation of Pakistan 15'
        Speaker: M. Iqbal (University of Karachi, Pakistan)
        Material: abstract
    • 17:05 - 17:35 Impacts of climate change: is too much attention paid to climate scenarios?
      • 17:05 Impacts of climate change: is too much attention paid to climate scenarios? 30'
        Speaker: T.R. CARTER (Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland)
        Material: abstract
  • Thursday, 3 October 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:10 Welcome and opening of PRUDENCE meeting
      • 09:00 Welcome and opening of PRUDENCE meeting 10'
        Speaker: J. Christensen, F. Giorgi
    • 09:10 - 09:35 PRUDENCE
      • 09:10 PRUDENCE 25'
        Speaker: J. Christensen
    • 09:35 - 10:00 STARDEX
      • 09:35 STARDEX 25'
        Speaker: C. Goodess
    • 10:00 - 10:40 MICE & Cluster of projects
      • 10:00 MICE & Cluster of projects 40'
        Speaker: J. Palutikof
    • 10:40 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 20'
    • 11:00 - 11:30 The Hadley Centre suite of models
      • 11:00 The Hadley Centre suite of models 30'
        Speaker: R. Jones
    • 11:30 - 12:00 Experience with an RCM model at SHMI
      • 11:30 Experience with an RCM model at SHMI 30'
        Speaker: J. Raisannen
    • 12:00 - 12:30 Climate and physical information needed for economic and policy analysis
      • 12:00 Climate and physical information needed for economic and policy analysis 30'
        Speaker: J.-C. Hourcade
    • 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch Break
      • 12:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 17:00 Starting 1st PRUDENCE business meetings
      • 14:00 Starting 1st PRUDENCE business meetings 3h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:20 Coffee Break
      Location: Main Building, Lobby
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 20'
    • 16:20 - 18:00 Break out sessions continue
      • 16:20 Break out sessions continue 1h40'
  • Friday, 4 October 2002
    • 09:00 - 09:30 The next IPCC Report
      Location: Main Building Lecture Room C
      • 09:00 The next IPCC Report 30'
        Speaker: F. Giorgi
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