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Ninth Workshop on Non-linear Dynamics and Earthquake Predictions | (smr 1864)
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  • Monday, 1 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:30 OPENING
      • 09:00 OPENING 30'
    • 09:30 - 09:45 Break
      • 09:30 Break 15'
    • 09:45 - 10:30 Prediction of Critical Phenomena: Four Paradigms
      • 09:45 Prediction of Critical Phenomena: Four Paradigms 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:30 - 12:00 REGISTRATION
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:30 REGISTRATION 1h30'
    • 10:30 - 12:00 Registration Formalities (Fermi Building)
      • 10:30 Registration Formalities (Fermi Building) 1h30'
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 A Perspective Electric Earthquake Precursor
      • 13:30 A Perspective Electric Earthquake Precursor 45'
        Speaker: Prof. M. Caputo (Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Fault Populations Across the Brittle-plastic Transition
      • 14:25 Fault Populations Across the Brittle-plastic Transition 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 What Do We Know about Earthquakes and Their Sequences?
      • 15:20 What Do We Know about Earthquakes and Their Sequences? 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 18:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 16:30 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
        Material: exercises
    • 18:00 - 19:30 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 18:00 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 2 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Synchronization in Coupled Complex Systems from a Few Coupled Ones to Networks with Complex Topology. Part I
      • 09:00 Synchronization in Coupled Complex Systems from a Few Coupled Ones to Networks with Complex Topology. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. J. Kurths (Interdisciplinary Center for Dynamics of Complex Systems, Universitaet Potsdam)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Synchronization in Coupled Complex Systems from a Few Coupled Ones to Networks with Complex Topology. Part II
      • 09:55 Synchronization in Coupled Complex Systems from a Few Coupled Ones to Networks with Complex Topology. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. J. Kurths (Interdisciplinary Center for Dynamics of Complex Systems, Universitaet Potsdam)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Measuring Variability of an Earthquake Sequence
      • 11:10 Measuring Variability of an Earthquake Sequence 50'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 15:45 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 13:30 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 2h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 15:45 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:45 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:15 - 17:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 16:15 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 45'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 17:00 - 18:30 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:00 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 18:30 - 19:00 Break
      • 18:30 Break 30'
    • 19:00 - 21:00 Get Together
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace)
      • 19:00 Get Together 2h0'
  • Wednesday, 3 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part I
      • 09:00 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part II
      • 09:55 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Modeling of Block and Fault Systems of the Geodynamic Active Vrancea Zone
      • 11:10 Modeling of Block and Fault Systems of the Geodynamic Active Vrancea Zone 50'
        Speaker: Prof. D. Stanica (Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy of Sciences)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Complex Systems: An overview. Part I
      • 13:30 Complex Systems: An overview. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:30 Break
      • 14:15 Break 15'
    • 14:30 - 15:15 Complex Systems: An overview. Part II
      • 14:30 Complex Systems: An overview. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
    • 15:15 - 15:45 Coffee Break
      • 15:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 15:45 - 17:30 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:45 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h45'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, I.Vorobieva
    • 17:30 - 17:45 Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 17:30 Break 15'
    • 17:45 - 19:30 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:45 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h45'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Thursday, 4 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Specific Electromagnetic Approaches Related to the Short-term Precursors of the Intermediate Depth Earthquakes
      • 09:00 Specific Electromagnetic Approaches Related to the Short-term Precursors of the Intermediate Depth Earthquakes 45'
        Speaker: Prof. D. Stanica (Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy of Sciences)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Entering Prediction Research: Learning by Doing
      • 09:55 Entering Prediction Research: Learning by Doing 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 The Lithosphere as a Complex System
      • 11:10 The Lithosphere as a Complex System 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Seismic Melts and Earthquake Mechanics. Part I
      • 13:30 Seismic Melts and Earthquake Mechanics. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G. Di Toro (Università di Padova)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Seismic Melts and Earthquake Mechanics. Part II
      • 14:25 Seismic Melts and Earthquake Mechanics. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G. Di Toro (Università di Padova)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Real Time Ground-base Monitoring System for Earthquakes and Associated Natural Hazards Assessment and Risk Mitigation
      • 15:20 Real Time Ground-base Monitoring System for Earthquakes and Associated Natural Hazards Assessment and Risk Mitigation 45'
        Speaker: Prof. D. Stanica (Institute of Geodynamics, Romanian Academy of Sciences)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:35 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:35 - 17:20 Pattern Recognition Methods and Algorithms
      • 16:35 Pattern Recognition Methods and Algorithms 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 17:20 - 17:30 Break
      • 17:20 Break 10'
    • 17:30 - 19:30 Pattern Recognition - Exercises
      • 17:30 Pattern Recognition - Exercises 2h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
    • 20:30 - 21:45 Pattern Recognition - Exercises
      • 20:30 Pattern Recognition - Exercises 1h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
  • Friday, 5 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Long Memory Process. Part I
      • 09:00 Long Memory Process. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Dr. F. Petroni (University of Liege)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Long Memory Process. Part II
      • 09:55 Long Memory Process. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Dr. F. Petroni (University of Liege)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Inverse Problems and Data Assimilation in Non-linear Earth Sciences
      • 11:10 Inverse Problems and Data Assimilation in Non-linear Earth Sciences 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:30 - 12:30 Dirac Medal Ceremony in honour of Peter Zoller
      • 11:30 Dirac Medal Ceremony in honour of Peter Zoller 1h0'
        Speaker: To be held (Main Building Main Lecture Hall)
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Precursory Activity. A Physical Approach
      • 13:30 Precursory Activity. A Physical Approach 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:25 On Oscillations and Oscillators: Equilibrium Fluctuations and Volcanic Tremors
      • 14:25 On Oscillations and Oscillators: Equilibrium Fluctuations and Volcanic Tremors 1h0'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:25 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:25 Coffee Break 35'
    • 16:00 - 18:15 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:00 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises 2h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 18:15 - 19:30 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 18:15 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises 1h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
    • 20:30 - 21:30 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 20:30 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises 1h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
  • Saturday, 6 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Variational Data Assimilation. Part I
      • 09:00 Variational Data Assimilation. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Variational Data Assimilation. Part II
      • 09:55 Variational Data Assimilation. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 10:40 - 10:50 Break
      • 10:40 Break 10'
    • 10:50 - 11:40 Modeling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity
      • 10:50 Modeling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:40 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 11:40 LUNCH 1h50'
    • 13:30 - 18:00 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises
      • 13:30 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises 4h30'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
  • Monday, 8 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Quasi-reversibility Method for Data Assimilation. Part I
      • 09:00 Quasi-reversibility Method for Data Assimilation. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Quasi-reversibility Method for Data Assimilation. Part II
      • 09:55 Quasi-reversibility Method for Data Assimilation. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Premonitory Transformation of Scaling in Complex Processes
      • 11:10 Premonitory Transformation of Scaling in Complex Processes 50'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Earthquake Prediction: Problem and Practical Solutions
      • 13:30 Earthquake Prediction: Problem and Practical Solutions 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Block Structure Modeling of Seismisity and Geodynamics in Italian Seismoactive Region: Application in Different Space Scale
      • 14:25 Block Structure Modeling of Seismisity and Geodynamics in Italian Seismoactive Region: Application in Different Space Scale 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Block Structure Modeling of Vrancea: Study of Seismic Regime
      • 15:20 Block Structure Modeling of Vrancea: Study of Seismic Regime 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 9 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Application of the Pattern Recognition Techniques to Earthquake-prone Areas Determination
      • 09:00 Application of the Pattern Recognition Techniques to Earthquake-prone Areas Determination 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Applications of the Data Assimilation Methods in Geodynamics. Part I
      • 09:55 Applications of the Data Assimilation Methods in Geodynamics. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Applications of the Data Assimilation Methods in Geodynamics. Part II
      • 11:10 Applications of the Data Assimilation Methods in Geodynamics. Part II 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 12:00 - 14:00 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 2h0'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Prediction of a Subsequent Strong Earthquake
      • 13:30 Prediction of a Subsequent Strong Earthquake 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Spherical Block Model: Different Modifications. Part I
      • 14:25 Spherical Block Model: Different Modifications. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Dr. V. Rozenberg (Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Poster Session
      • 15:20 Poster Session 45'
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Wednesday, 10 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 A Rational Complex Approach of Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part I
      • 09:00 A Rational Complex Approach of Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G.F. Panza (University of Trieste; The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 A Rational Complex Approach of Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part II
      • 09:55 A Rational Complex Approach of Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G.F. Panza (University of Trieste; The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Spherical Block Model: Different Modifications. Part II
      • 11:10 Spherical Block Model: Different Modifications. Part II 50'
        Speaker: Dr. V. Rozenberg (Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences)
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Practice of Predicting Large Earthquakes on Global and Regional Scales
      • 13:30 Practice of Predicting Large Earthquakes on Global and Regional Scales 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:30 Break
      • 14:15 Break 15'
    • 14:30 - 15:15 Premonitory Long-range Activation of Seismicity; Earthquake Chains
      • 14:30 Premonitory Long-range Activation of Seismicity; Earthquake Chains 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 15:15 - 15:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 15:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 15:45 - 17:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:45 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 1h45'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 17:30 - 17:45 Break
      • 17:30 Break 15'
    • 17:45 - 19:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:45 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 1h45'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Thursday, 11 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Reverse Tracing of Precursors. Part I
      • 09:00 Reverse Tracing of Precursors. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Reverse Tracing of Precursors. Part II
      • 09:55 Reverse Tracing of Precursors. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Experiment in Prospective Earthquake Prediction Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP) Algorithm
      • 11:10 Experiment in Prospective Earthquake Prediction Using Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP) Algorithm 50'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Spherical Block Model. Numerical Experiments
      • 13:30 Spherical Block Model. Numerical Experiments 45'
        Speaker: Dr. V. Rozenberg (Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences)
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Problem of Verification
      • 14:25 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Problem of Verification 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Accuracy and Limitations
      • 15:20 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Accuracy and Limitations 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
    • 20:30 - 21:45 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 20:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 1h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
  • Friday, 12 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Earthquake Catalogs for Intermediate-term Predictions and Seismic Hazard Analysis
      • 09:00 Earthquake Catalogs for Intermediate-term Predictions and Seismic Hazard Analysis 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:45 - 09:55 Break
      • 09:45 Break 10'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Experiment in Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction in Italy and Surrounding Regions
      • 09:55 Experiment in Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction in Italy and Surrounding Regions 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 A Nonlinear Approach to Chemistry
      • 11:10 A Nonlinear Approach to Chemistry 50'
        Speaker: Prof. R. Hoffmann (Cornell University)
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Premonitory Seismicity Patterns for Moderate Size Earthquakes at Mt. Vesuvius
      • 13:30 Premonitory Seismicity Patterns for Moderate Size Earthquakes at Mt. Vesuvius 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:15 - 14:25 Break
      • 14:15 Break 10'
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes and Seismic Hazard Assessment
      • 14:25 Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes and Seismic Hazard Assessment 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 15:10 - 15:20 Break
      • 15:10 Break 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Similarity and Differences in Sequences of Earthquakes, Solar Flares, and Starquakes
      • 15:20 Similarity and Differences in Sequences of Earthquakes, Solar Flares, and Starquakes 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
    • 20:30 - 21:45 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 20:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 1h15'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
  • Saturday, 13 October 2007
    • 09:00 - 12:00 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 09:00 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software 3h0'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 16:00 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 13:30 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software 2h30'
        Speaker: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, A.Mostinski, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
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