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Conference on African Drought: Observations, Modeling, Predictability, Impacts | (smr 1945)
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  • Monday, 2 June 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Registration
      • 09:00 Registration 45'
    • 09:45 - 11:00 Registration formalities
      • 09:45 Registration formalities 1h15'
    • 11:00 - 11:40 The physical basis for interannual variability in the Sahel
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 11:00 The physical basis for interannual variability in the Sahel 40'
        Speaker: Sharon Nicholson (Florida State University, USA)
    • 11:40 - 12:00 Teleconnection between the West African monsoon and ENSO in the AR4 IPCC simulations
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 11:40 Teleconnection between the West African monsoon and ENSO in the AR4 IPCC simulations 20'
        Speaker: Fabrice Chauvin (École Nationale de la Météorologie, France)
    • 12:00 - 12:40 Simulations of African precipitation variability in the NCEP coupled forecast system
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 12:00 Simulations of African precipitation variability in the NCEP coupled forecast system 40'
        Speaker: Wassila Thiaw (Environmental Modeling Center, USA)
    • 12:40 - 14:30 Lunch
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 12:40 Lunch 1h50'
    • 14:30 - 15:10 Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 14:30 Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall 40'
        Speaker: Alessandra Giannini (International Research Institute for Climate & Society, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:30 Sensitivity of North Africa to climate variability: A diagnostic study of 2003 exceptional weather in Tunisia
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 15:10 Sensitivity of North Africa to climate variability: A diagnostic study of 2003 exceptional weather in Tunisia 20'
        Speaker: Ammar Ouali (Université de Tunis, Tunisia)
    • 15:30 - 15:50 Characterization of the West African Heat Low and its modes of variability
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 15:30 Characterization of the West African Heat Low and its modes of variability 20'
        Speaker: Fabrice Chauvin (École Nationale de la Météorologie, France)
    • 15:50 - 16:20 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 15:50 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:20 - 17:00 Monsoon onset and monsoons breaks
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 16:20 Monsoon onset and monsoons breaks 40'
        Speaker: Kerry Cook (Cornell University, USA)
    • 17:00 - 17:20 Seasonal hindcast skill for precipitation over Africa from the European multi-model ensemble system DEMETER
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 17:00 Seasonal hindcast skill for precipitation over Africa from the European multi-model ensemble system DEMETER 20'
        Speaker: Jennifer Barnes (University College London, UK)
    • 17:20 - 18:00 Simulations of Sahel rainfall & drought in an AGCM multimodel ensemble & is the Gulf of Guinea SST forcing connecting the African and Indian monsoon systems
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Kastler Lecture Hall
      • 17:20 Simulations of Sahel rainfall & drought in an AGCM multimodel ensemble & is the Gulf of Guinea SST forcing connecting the African and Indian monsoon systems 40'
        Speaker: Fred Kucharski (ICTP, Trieste)
  • Tuesday, 3 June 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:40 Predictability of African rainfall over timescales from days to years
      • 09:00 Predictability of African rainfall over timescales from days to years 40'
        Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP, Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:40 - 10:00 Trends in intraseasonal statistics of daily rainfall over East Africa
      • 09:40 Trends in intraseasonal statistics of daily rainfall over East Africa 20'
        Speaker: Wilson Gitau (Université de Bourgogne, France)
    • 10:00 - 10:40 Intraseasonal variability in the African monsoon
      • 10:00 Intraseasonal variability in the African monsoon 40'
        Speaker: Serge Janicot (Université de Paris VI)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 11:50 Variability of the seasonal cycle of rainfall and stream flow in sub-Saharan Africa during the second half of the 20th century
      • 11:10 Variability of the seasonal cycle of rainfall and stream flow in sub-Saharan Africa during the second half of the 20th century 40'
        Speaker: André Kamga (Centre Africain pour les Applications de la Météorologie au Développement, Niger)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:50 - 12:20 A revised view of the West African monsoon: is the ITCZ really necessary?
      • 11:50 A revised view of the West African monsoon: is the ITCZ really necessary? 30'
        Speaker: Sharon Nicholson (Florida State University, USA)
    • 12:20 - 14:30 Lunch
      • 12:20 Lunch 2h10'
    • 14:30 - 15:10 IPCC XX century simulations over West Africa: Intraseasonal and interannual variability, oceanic and land forcings
      • 14:30 IPCC XX century simulations over West Africa: Intraseasonal and interannual variability, oceanic and land forcings 40'
        Speaker: Paolo Ruti (ENEA, Rome)
    • 15:10 - 15:50 Impact of dust aerosol on West African Regional climate
      • 15:10 Impact of dust aerosol on West African Regional climate 40'
        Speaker: Fabien Solmon (Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, France)
    • 15:50 - 16:20 Coffee Break
      • 15:50 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:20 - 17:00 An assessment of climate change projections over Africa
      • 16:20 An assessment of climate change projections over Africa 40'
        Speaker: F. Giorgi (ICTP, Trieste)
    • 17:00 - 17:20 Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming
      • 17:00 Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming 20'
        Speaker: Mxolisi Shongwe (Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Institut, Netherlands)
    • 17:20 - 18:00 Regional climate model projections for Africa and implications for food security
      • 17:20 Regional climate model projections for Africa and implications for food security 40'
        Speaker: Kai Oliver Huer (Bonn University, Germany)
    • 19:30 - 21:00 Get Together
      • 19:30 Get Together 1h30'
  • Wednesday, 4 June 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:50 Analysis of a 30 year simulation of the sub-Saharan Africa climate with the PRECIS regional climate model: A step towards developing future regional climate scenarios for impacts studies in Africa
      • 09:00 Analysis of a 30 year simulation of the sub-Saharan Africa climate with the PRECIS regional climate model: A step towards developing future regional climate scenarios for impacts studies in Africa 50'
        Speaker: André Kamga (Centre Africain pour les Applications de la Météorologie au Développement, Niger)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:50 - 10:15 Predicting meningitis epidemics in West Africa using climate dynamics
      • 09:50 Predicting meningitis epidemics in West Africa using climate dynamics 25'
        Speaker: Dieudonne Yaka (Direction de la Météorologie Nationale, Burkina Faso)
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 11:40 Role of land surface/atmosphere interactions in abrupt climate change over Sahelian Africa
      • 10:45 Role of land surface/atmosphere interactions in abrupt climate change over Sahelian Africa 55'
        Speaker: K. Cook (Cornell University, USA)
    • 11:40 - 12:00 Simulations of extreme dry & wet rainy seasons of West Africa & their trend in future climates using a simple vegetation model within ECHAMS
      • 11:40 Simulations of extreme dry & wet rainy seasons of West Africa & their trend in future climates using a simple vegetation model within ECHAMS 20'
        Speaker: T. Bruecher (Cologne Univ. Instit. of Geophysics & Meterology/Centre for Applied Computer Sciences, Germany)
    • 12:00 - 14:30 Lunch
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h30'
    • 14:30 - 16:00 Round Table discussion on needs for global change research in Africa
      • 14:30 Round Table discussion on needs for global change research in Africa 1h30'
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:30 - 16:30 Free afternoon
      • 16:30 Free afternoon
  • Thursday, 5 June 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:40 Droughts: Global seasonal cycle, monitoring and predictions
      • 09:00 Droughts: Global seasonal cycle, monitoring and predictions 40'
        Speaker: Wassila Thiaw (Environmental Modeling Center, USA)
    • 09:40 - 10:00 Drought in Morocco: Observation and evolution
      • 09:40 Drought in Morocco: Observation and evolution 20'
        Speaker: Fatima Driouech (Centre National d'Exploitation Météorologique, Morocco)
    • 10:00 - 10:20 El Niño-related drought in the semi-arid region over southwestern Madagascar
      • 10:00 El Niño-related drought in the semi-arid region over southwestern Madagascar 20'
        Speaker: Vohanginiriana Ramiandrisoa (Direction de la Météorologie et Hydrologie Nationale, Madagascar)
    • 10:20 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      • 10:20 Coffee Break 40'
    • 11:00 - 11:40 The 2005 Record Droughts of East Africa & Anomalies in the Rest of Africa
      • 11:00 The 2005 Record Droughts of East Africa & Anomalies in the Rest of Africa 40'
        Speaker: Fred Semazzi (North Carolina State University, USA)
    • 11:40 - 12:00 Drought analysis in Tanzania
      • 11:40 Drought analysis in Tanzania 20'
        Speaker: Ladislaus B. Chang'a (Tanzania Meteorological Agency, Tanzania)
    • 12:00 - 12:20 Analysis of the recent prolonged drought over the northeastern highlands of Tanzania
      • 12:00 Analysis of the recent prolonged drought over the northeastern highlands of Tanzania 20'
        Speaker: Agnes L. Kijazi (Tanzania Meteorological Agency, Tanzania)
    • 12:20 - 14:30 Lunch Break
      • 12:20 Lunch Break 2h10'
    • 14:30 - 15:10 Some of the local and remote factors associated with recent East African droughts
      • 14:30 Some of the local and remote factors associated with recent East African droughts 40'
        Speaker: Richard Anyah (Rutgers University, USA)
    • 15:10 - 15:30 The boundary forcing mechanisms and predictability aspects of seasonal droughts and floods in the greater eastern Africa
      • 15:10 The boundary forcing mechanisms and predictability aspects of seasonal droughts and floods in the greater eastern Africa 20'
        Speaker: Joseph N.Mutemi (University of Nairobi, Kenya)
    • 15:30 - 15:50 Multi-model operational seasonal forecasts for SADC
      • 15:30 Multi-model operational seasonal forecasts for SADC 20'
        Speaker: Mxolisi Shongwe (Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Institut, Netherlands)
    • 15:50 - 16:20 Coffee Break
      • 15:50 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:20 - 17:50 Round table on drought in Africa
      • 16:20 Round table on drought in Africa 1h30'
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