Scientific Calendar Event



Description
As a sequel to successful ICTP 2002 and 2005 activities, the purpose of the 2008 Colloquium is to facilitate adoption and use of a current state-of-the-art limited area model by participants, take stock of the progress made since 2005, and address issues of active research aimed at advancing as well as understanding the predictive abilities of limited area models.

Overall purpose and specific topics:
Regional or local atmospheric models are a standard tool for prediction of weather at a region or a local area more accurately than this is done by various global models, and are accessible and useful to a wide variety of users with modest computer resources. Yet, how much and what type of improvements over the driver global models can be obtained and for how long remain questions with many unresolved issues.  
This is to be achieved through the following combination of activities:
I. A seven-day workshop on "Design and Use of Regional Weather Prediction Models".
This workshop will include tutorial lectures on the design of regional weather prediction models, emphasizing several features of active research, such as representation of
topography, the parameterization of convection and/or cloud microphysics, land-surface/ boundary layer modelling. The design of a specific model, the Eta Model, widely used by
the research and operational community, will be emphasized, and participants will receive a copy of a recently updated version of the Eta. The workshop will include lab sessions in which students will be taught to install and run the model, and will be encouraged to perform experiments relevant to a specific region or a model feature.

II. A three-day conference on "Current Efforts Toward Advancing the Skill of Regional Weather Prediction. Challenges and Outlook". 
The conference will include invited and contributed papers highlighting some of the following topics:
- Operational and data considerations: limited area systems, including limited area ensembles, current directions;
- Basic numerical design: expectations and results from various choices pursued -- grid point Eulerian/
semi-Lagrangian, conservation/finite-volume issues, nested spectral, stretched grids and variable resolution approaches, other;
- Open questions of the numerical design: nonhydrostatic, how and when; vertical
coordinate/topography, lateral boundary conditions;
- Resolution vs domain size, convergence issues; benefits from "local" vs regional models;
- Physical parameterizations: convection/ explicit cloud physics; boundary layer/subgrid-scale transports;
- Regional weather predictability: value added by a limited area model, downscaling.

"Upscaling"? Limited area ensembles. Storm-scale prediction – how successful is it? Verification issues.

Program:
- Third ICTP workshop on "The Design and Use of Regional Weather Prediction Models",
29 September – 7 October 2008;
- Third ICTP conference on "Current Efforts Toward Advancing the Skill of Regional
Weather Prediction. Challenges and Outlook", 8-10 October 2008.
Go to day
  • Monday, 29 September 2008
    • 08:30 - 10:30 Registration
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 08:30 Registration 2h0'
    • 10:30 - 10:50 Opening & Welcome by the Organizers
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:30 Opening & Welcome by the Organizers 20'
    • 10:50 - 11:30 Limited Area Modeling: some history, what can we do?
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:50 Limited Area Modeling: some history, what can we do? 40'
        Speaker: Fedor Mesinger (NOAA/NCEP, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:30 - 11:50 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 11:30 Coffee Break 20'
    • 11:50 - 12:30 Eta at INPE
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 11:50 Eta at INPE 40'
        Speaker: Sin Chan Chou (Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos/INPE, Brazil)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:30 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:00 - 16:00 Lab Sessions - Introduction & Start-up Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 17:30 - 18:30 Lab Sessions ***(Pls note: The Computer Lab. will not be available during the coffee break)
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 17:30 Lab Sessions ***(Pls note: The Computer Lab. will not be available during the coffee break) 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 30 September 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Atmospheric data assimilation
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Atmospheric data assimilation 1h15'
        Speaker: Dusanka Zupanski (Colorado State University, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Molecular sublayer and atmospheric turbulence
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Molecular sublayer and atmospheric turbulence 1h15'
        Speaker: Borivoj M. Rajkovic (University of Belgrade, Rep. Serbia)
    • 12:00 - 13:45 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 1h45'
    • 14:00 - 15:30 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Session 1h30'
        Speaker: Vladimir Djurdjevic
    • 15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:00 - 17:00 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 16:00 Lab Session 1h0'
        Speaker: Vladimir Djurdjevic
  • Wednesday, 1 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C
      • 09:00 Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I 1h15'
        Speaker: F. Mesinger
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Parameterization of convection
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C
      • 10:45 Parameterization of convection 1h15'
        Speaker: S. C. Chou
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 16:00 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Session 2h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 17:30 - 18:30 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 17:30 Lab Session 1h0'
    • 18:00 - 18:00 Reception
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 18:00 Reception
  • Thursday, 2 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C
      • 09:00 Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter 1h15'
        Speaker: D. Zupanski
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Mellor-Yamada parameterization in the Eta
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Mellor-Yamada parameterization in the Eta 1h15'
        Speaker: B. M. Rajkovic
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:30 Lab Sessions
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Sessions 1h30'
    • 15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:00 - 17:00 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 16:00 Lab Session 1h0'
  • Friday, 3 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C
      • 09:00 Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II 1h15'
        Speaker: F. Mesinger
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Physic of stable ABL and PBL ? Possible improvements of their parameterizations in atmospheric models
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Physic of stable ABL and PBL ? Possible improvements of their parameterizations in atmospheric models 1h15'
        Speaker: S. Zilitinkevich (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 16:00 Lab Sessions
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Sessions 2h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 17:30 - 18:30 Lab Sessions
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 17:30 Lab Sessions 1h0'
  • Monday, 6 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Cloud Microphysics
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 09:00 Cloud Microphysics 1h15'
        Speaker: S. C. Chou
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Land-surface modeling in numerical weather prediction models
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Land-surface modeling in numerical weather prediction models 1h15'
        Speaker: M. Ek (NOAA/NCEP, USA)
        Material: abstract lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 16:00 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Session 2h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 17:30 - 18:30 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 17:30 Lab Session 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 7 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C
      • 09:00 Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I 1h15'
        Speaker: M. Rancic (NOAA/Environmental Modeling Center, USA)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - II
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - II 1h15'
        Speaker: M. Rancic
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:30 Lab Session
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 14:00 Lab Session 1h30'
    • 15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:00 - 17:00 Lab Sessions
      Location: Computer Lab. (LB)
      • 16:00 Lab Sessions 1h0'
  • Wednesday, 8 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Attendees were transported by bus: Private Bus Company Pick-up: Grignano (below the Adriatico Guesthouse - next to bus no. 36) to Duino Castle
      • 09:00 Attendees were transported by bus: Private Bus Company Pick-up: Grignano (below the Adriatico Guesthouse - next to bus no. 36) to Duino Castle 30'
    • 09:30 - 09:40 Opening - Duino Castle: Welcome by Profs. F. Giorgi, F. Mesinger & S.C. Chou
      • 09:30 Opening - Duino Castle: Welcome by Profs. F. Giorgi, F. Mesinger & S.C. Chou 10'
        Material: Duino Castle Homepage
    • 09:40 - 10:30 Keynote Lecture
      • 09:40 Keynote Lecture 50'
    • 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:00 - 11:30 Design of atmospheric models: dynamics
      • 11:00 Design of atmospheric models: dynamics 30'
    • 11:30 - 12:00 Panel discussion on
      • 11:30 Panel discussion on 30'
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Back to ICTP & Lunch
      • 12:00 Back to ICTP & Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:30 Design of atmospheric models: dynamics, continued
      • 14:00 Design of atmospheric models: dynamics, continued 1h30'
    • 15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:00 - 17:30 Data assimilation and initialization schemes
      • 16:00 Data assimilation and initialization schemes 1h30'
    • 17:30 - 18:00 Physical parameterizations I: Land-surface
      • 17:30 Physical parameterizations I: Land-surface 30'
  • Thursday, 9 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 10:15 Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems
      • 09:00 Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems 1h15'
    • 10:15 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 10:45 - 12:00 Physical parameterizations II: Surface layer, convection, aerosol-clouds-radiation interaction
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall
      • 10:45 Physical parameterizations II: Surface layer, convection, aerosol-clouds-radiation interaction 1h15'
    • 12:00 - 14:00 Lunch
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria
      • 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
    • 14:00 - 15:15 Presentations
      • 14:00 Presentations 1h15'
    • 15:15 - 15:45 Coffee Break
      Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby
      • 15:15 Coffee Break 30'
    • 15:45 - 17:45 Applications
      • 15:45 Applications 2h0'
  • Friday, 10 October 2008
    • 09:00 - 09:30 Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example
      • 09:00 Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example 30'
        Speaker: Carlos Pérez (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain)
        Material: abstract
    • 09:30 - 10:00 The SKIRON/dust recent development and operations
      • 09:30 The SKIRON/dust recent development and operations 30'
        Speaker: George Kallos (University of Athens, Greece)
        Material: abstract
    • 10:00 - 12:30 Predictability II: Case studies, discussion
      • 10:00 Predictability II: Case studies, discussion 2h30'
    • 12:30 - 12:30 Closing
      • 12:30 Closing