Description |
As a sequel to successful ICTP 2002 and 2005 activities, the purpose of the 2008 Colloquium is to facilitate adoption and use of a current state-of-the-art limited area model by participants, take stock of the progress made since 2005, and address issues of active research aimed at advancing as well as understanding the predictive abilities of limited area models. Overall purpose and specific topics: Regional or local atmospheric models are a standard tool for prediction of weather at a region or a local area more accurately than this is done by various global models, and are accessible and useful to a wide variety of users with modest computer resources. Yet, how much and what type of improvements over the driver global models can be obtained and for how long remain questions with many unresolved issues. This is to be achieved through the following combination of activities: I. A seven-day workshop on "Design and Use of Regional Weather Prediction Models". This workshop will include tutorial lectures on the design of regional weather prediction models, emphasizing several features of active research, such as representation of topography, the parameterization of convection and/or cloud microphysics, land-surface/ boundary layer modelling. The design of a specific model, the Eta Model, widely used by the research and operational community, will be emphasized, and participants will receive a copy of a recently updated version of the Eta. The workshop will include lab sessions in which students will be taught to install and run the model, and will be encouraged to perform experiments relevant to a specific region or a model feature. II. A three-day conference on "Current Efforts Toward Advancing the Skill of Regional Weather Prediction. Challenges and Outlook". The conference will include invited and contributed papers highlighting some of the following topics: - Operational and data considerations: limited area systems, including limited area ensembles, current directions; - Basic numerical design: expectations and results from various choices pursued -- grid point Eulerian/ semi-Lagrangian, conservation/finite-volume issues, nested spectral, stretched grids and variable resolution approaches, other; - Open questions of the numerical design: nonhydrostatic, how and when; vertical coordinate/topography, lateral boundary conditions; - Resolution vs domain size, convergence issues; benefits from "local" vs regional models; - Physical parameterizations: convection/ explicit cloud physics; boundary layer/subgrid-scale transports; - Regional weather predictability: value added by a limited area model, downscaling. "Upscaling"? Limited area ensembles. Storm-scale prediction – how successful is it? Verification issues. Program: - Third ICTP workshop on "The Design and Use of Regional Weather Prediction Models", 29 September – 7 October 2008; - Third ICTP conference on "Current Efforts Toward Advancing the Skill of Regional Weather Prediction. Challenges and Outlook", 8-10 October 2008. |
Fall Colloquium on the Physics of Weather and Climate: Regional Weather Predictability and Modelling | (smr 1966)
Go to day
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08:30 - 10:30
Registration
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 08:30 Registration 2h0'
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10:30 - 10:50
Opening & Welcome by the Organizers
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall - 10:30 Opening & Welcome by the Organizers 20'
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10:50 - 11:30
Limited Area Modeling: some history, what can we do?
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:50
Limited Area Modeling: some history, what can we do?
40'
Speaker: Fedor Mesinger (NOAA/NCEP, USA) Material: lecture notes
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10:50
Limited Area Modeling: some history, what can we do?
40'
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11:30 - 11:50
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 11:30 Coffee Break 20'
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11:50 - 12:30
Eta at INPE
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
11:50
Eta at INPE
40'
Speaker: Sin Chan Chou (Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos/INPE, Brazil) Material: lecture notes
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11:50
Eta at INPE
40'
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12:30 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
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14:00 - 16:00
Lab Sessions - Introduction & Start-up Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Sessions - Introduction & Start-up Session
2h0'
Speaker: Vladimir Djurdjevic Material: Eta Guide Short Exercises
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14:00
Lab Sessions - Introduction & Start-up Session
2h0'
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16:00 - 16:30
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
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17:30 - 18:30
Lab Sessions ***(Pls note: The Computer Lab. will not be available during the coffee break)
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
17:30
Lab Sessions ***(Pls note: The Computer Lab. will not be available during the coffee break)
1h0'
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17:30
Lab Sessions ***(Pls note: The Computer Lab. will not be available during the coffee break)
1h0'
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08:30 - 10:30
Registration
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09:00 - 10:15
Atmospheric data assimilation
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
09:00
Atmospheric data assimilation
1h15'
Speaker: Dusanka Zupanski (Colorado State University, USA) Material: lecture notes
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09:00
Atmospheric data assimilation
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Molecular sublayer and atmospheric turbulence
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Molecular sublayer and atmospheric turbulence
1h15'
Speaker: Borivoj M. Rajkovic (University of Belgrade, Rep. Serbia)
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10:45
Molecular sublayer and atmospheric turbulence
1h15'
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12:00 - 13:45
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 1h45'
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14:00 - 15:30
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Session
1h30'
Speaker: Vladimir Djurdjevic
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14:00
Lab Session
1h30'
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15:30 - 16:00
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
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16:00 - 17:00
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
16:00
Lab Session
1h0'
Speaker: Vladimir Djurdjevic
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16:00
Lab Session
1h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Atmospheric data assimilation
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09:00 - 10:15
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C -
09:00
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I
1h15'
Speaker: F. Mesinger Material: lecture notes
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09:00
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Parameterization of convection
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C -
10:45
Parameterization of convection
1h15'
Speaker: S. C. Chou Material: lecture notes
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10:45
Parameterization of convection
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 16:00
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Session
2h0'
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14:00
Lab Session
2h0'
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16:00 - 16:30
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
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17:30 - 18:30
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
17:30
Lab Session
1h0'
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17:30
Lab Session
1h0'
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18:00 - 18:00
Reception
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 18:00 Reception
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09:00 - 10:15
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part I
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09:00 - 10:15
Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C -
09:00
Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter
1h15'
Speaker: D. Zupanski Material: lecture notes
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09:00
Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Mellor-Yamada parameterization in the Eta
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Mellor-Yamada parameterization in the Eta
1h15'
Speaker: B. M. Rajkovic
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10:45
Mellor-Yamada parameterization in the Eta
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 15:30
Lab Sessions
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Sessions
1h30'
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14:00
Lab Sessions
1h30'
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15:30 - 16:00
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
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16:00 - 17:00
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
16:00
Lab Session
1h0'
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16:00
Lab Session
1h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Maximim Likelihood Ensemble Filter
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09:00 - 10:15
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C -
09:00
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II
1h15'
Speaker: F. Mesinger Material: lecture notes
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09:00
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Physic of stable ABL and PBL ? Possible improvements of their parameterizations in atmospheric models
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Physic of stable ABL and PBL ? Possible improvements of their parameterizations in atmospheric models
1h15'
Speaker: S. Zilitinkevich (Finnish Meteorological Institute) Material: lecture notes
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10:45
Physic of stable ABL and PBL ? Possible improvements of their parameterizations in atmospheric models
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 16:00
Lab Sessions
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Sessions
2h0'
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14:00
Lab Sessions
2h0'
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16:00 - 16:30
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
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17:30 - 18:30
Lab Sessions
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
17:30
Lab Sessions
1h0'
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17:30
Lab Sessions
1h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Dynamics of the Eta model, Part II
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09:00 - 10:15
Cloud Microphysics
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
09:00
Cloud Microphysics
1h15'
Speaker: S. C. Chou
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09:00
Cloud Microphysics
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Land-surface modeling in numerical weather prediction models
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Land-surface modeling in numerical weather prediction models
1h15'
Speaker: M. Ek (NOAA/NCEP, USA) Material: abstract lecture notes
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10:45
Land-surface modeling in numerical weather prediction models
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 16:00
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Session
2h0'
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14:00
Lab Session
2h0'
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16:00 - 16:30
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
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17:30 - 18:30
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
17:30
Lab Session
1h0'
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17:30
Lab Session
1h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Cloud Microphysics
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09:00 - 10:15
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Lecture Room C -
09:00
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I
1h15'
Speaker: M. Rancic (NOAA/Environmental Modeling Center, USA) Material: lecture notes
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09:00
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - II
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - II
1h15'
Speaker: M. Rancic Material: lecture notes
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10:45
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - II
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 15:30
Lab Session
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
14:00
Lab Session
1h30'
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14:00
Lab Session
1h30'
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15:30 - 16:00
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
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16:00 - 17:00
Lab Sessions
Location: Computer Lab. (LB) -
16:00
Lab Sessions
1h0'
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16:00
Lab Sessions
1h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Development of a global version of the Eta model on quasi-uniform grids - I
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09:00 - 09:30
Attendees were transported by bus: Private Bus Company
Pick-up: Grignano (below the Adriatico Guesthouse - next to bus no. 36) to Duino Castle
- 09:00 Attendees were transported by bus: Private Bus Company Pick-up: Grignano (below the Adriatico Guesthouse - next to bus no. 36) to Duino Castle 30'
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09:30 - 09:40
Opening - Duino Castle: Welcome by Profs. F. Giorgi, F. Mesinger & S.C. Chou
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09:30
Opening - Duino Castle: Welcome by Profs. F. Giorgi, F. Mesinger & S.C. Chou
10'
Material: Duino Castle Homepage
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09:30
Opening - Duino Castle: Welcome by Profs. F. Giorgi, F. Mesinger & S.C. Chou
10'
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09:40 - 10:30
Keynote Lecture
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09:40
Keynote Lecture
50'
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09:40
Keynote Lecture
50'
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10:30 - 11:00
Coffee Break
- 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
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11:00 - 11:30
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics
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11:00
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics
30'
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11:00
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics
30'
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11:30 - 12:00
Panel discussion on
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11:30
Panel discussion on
30'
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11:30
Panel discussion on
30'
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12:00 - 14:00
Back to ICTP & Lunch
- 12:00 Back to ICTP & Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 15:30
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics, continued
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14:00
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics, continued
1h30'
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14:00
Design of atmospheric models: dynamics, continued
1h30'
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15:30 - 16:00
Coffee Break
- 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
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16:00 - 17:30
Data assimilation and initialization schemes
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16:00
Data assimilation and initialization schemes
1h30'
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16:00
Data assimilation and initialization schemes
1h30'
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17:30 - 18:00
Physical parameterizations I: Land-surface
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17:30
Physical parameterizations I: Land-surface
30'
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17:30
Physical parameterizations I: Land-surface
30'
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09:00 - 09:30
Attendees were transported by bus: Private Bus Company
Pick-up: Grignano (below the Adriatico Guesthouse - next to bus no. 36) to Duino Castle
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09:00 - 10:15
Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems
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09:00
Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems
1h15'
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09:00
Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems
1h15'
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10:15 - 10:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:15 Coffee Break 30'
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10:45 - 12:00
Physical parameterizations II: Surface layer, convection, aerosol-clouds-radiation interaction
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Main Lecture Hall -
10:45
Physical parameterizations II: Surface layer, convection, aerosol-clouds-radiation interaction
1h15'
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10:45
Physical parameterizations II: Surface layer, convection, aerosol-clouds-radiation interaction
1h15'
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12:00 - 14:00
Lunch
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:00 Lunch 2h0'
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14:00 - 15:15
Presentations
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14:00
Presentations
1h15'
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14:00
Presentations
1h15'
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15:15 - 15:45
Coffee Break
Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 15:15 Coffee Break 30'
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15:45 - 17:45
Applications
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15:45
Applications
2h0'
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15:45
Applications
2h0'
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09:00 - 10:15
Predictability I: Limited area ensemble systems
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09:00 - 09:30
Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example
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09:00
Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example
30'
Speaker: Carlos Pérez (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain) Material: abstract
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09:00
Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example
30'
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09:30 - 10:00
The SKIRON/dust recent development and operations
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09:30
The SKIRON/dust recent development and operations
30'
Speaker: George Kallos (University of Athens, Greece) Material: abstract
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09:30
The SKIRON/dust recent development and operations
30'
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10:00 - 12:30
Predictability II: Case studies, discussion
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10:00
Predictability II: Case studies, discussion
2h30'
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10:00
Predictability II: Case studies, discussion
2h30'
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12:30 - 12:30
Closing
- 12:30 Closing
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09:00 - 09:30
Understanding aerosol feedbacks on atmospheric dynamics and impacts on NWP: A mineral dust example