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Advanced School on Non-linear Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction | (smr 2060)
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  • Monday, 28 September 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:40 OPENING
      • 09:00 OPENING 40'
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part I. State of the Art
      • 09:55 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part I. State of the Art 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 12:00 REGISTRATION
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 REGISTRATION 1h20'
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 What do we know about Earthquakes and their Sequences?
      • 13:30 What do we know about Earthquakes and their Sequences? 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part I
      • 14:25 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 16:05 We Need Diversified and More Accurate Data
      • 15:20 We Need Diversified and More Accurate Data 45'
        Speaker: Prof. M. Caputo (Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza")
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 18:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 16:30 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E. Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 18:00 - 19:30 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 18:00 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E. Zuccolo
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 29 September 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Premonitory Long-range Activation of Seismicity
      • 09:00 Premonitory Long-range Activation of Seismicity 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Reverse Tracing of Precursors within Earthquake Chains
      • 09:55 Reverse Tracing of Precursors within Earthquake Chains 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Measuring Variability of an Earthquake Sequence
      • 11:10 Measuring Variability of an Earthquake Sequence 50'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 16:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 13:30 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 2h30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:30 - 17:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises
      • 16:30 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises 30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 17:00 - 18:30 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:00 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 19:00 - 21:00 Get Together
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace)
      • 19:00 Get Together 2h0'
  • Wednesday, 30 September 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part II
      • 09:00 A Limited Power-law for the Aftershock Decay Rate. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Numerical Techniques. Part I
      • 09:55 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Numerical Techniques. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Numerical Techniques. Part II
      • 11:10 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Numerical Techniques. Part II 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Morphodynamics of Dune-fields
      • 13:30 Morphodynamics of Dune-fields 45'
        Speaker: Dr. C. Narteau (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris)
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Early Aftershock STatistics (EAST) Helping to Reveal High-stressed Areas
      • 14:25 Early Aftershock STatistics (EAST) Helping to Reveal High-stressed Areas 45'
        Speaker: Prof. P. Shebalin (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 16:05 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:20 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 45'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 17:30 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 17:45 - 19:30 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:45 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises 1h45'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Thursday, 1 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part I: Characterization of Observations
      • 09:00 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part I: Characterization of Observations 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part II: Quantification of Observations
      • 09:55 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part II: Quantification of Observations 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part III: Statistical Inferences
      • 11:10 Phenomenology of Earthquake Occurrence. Part III: Statistical Inferences 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Applications. Part I
      • 13:30 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Applications. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Applications. Part II
      • 14:25 Inverse Retrospective Problems of Thermal Evolution of the Earth Interior: Applications. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Ismail-Zadeh (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Pattern Recognition Methods and Algorithms
      • 15:20 Pattern Recognition Methods and Algorithms 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 Pattern Recognition - Exercises
      • 16:30 Pattern Recognition - Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, P. Shebalin, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Friday, 2 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 On the Power Law Statistical Distribution of Observations. A Tutorial
      • 09:00 On the Power Law Statistical Distribution of Observations. A Tutorial 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Precursory Activity. A Physical Approach
      • 09:55 Precursory Activity. A Physical Approach 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Correig (Universitat de Barcelona)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Lake Sediments: Recorders of Historic and Pre-historic Earthquakes
      • 11:10 Lake Sediments: Recorders of Historic and Pre-historic Earthquakes 50'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Agnon (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes and Seismic Hazard Assessment
      • 13:30 Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes and Seismic Hazard Assessment 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Lessons From Katrina and the Mumbai Flood: How Human Systems Affect Resilience, for Better and for Worse
      • 14:25 Lessons From Katrina and the Mumbai Flood: How Human Systems Affect Resilience, for Better and for Worse 45'
        Speaker: Prof. C. Paskal (The Royal Institute of International Affairs, London; The School of Communications and Management, K)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Application of the Pattern Recognition Techniques to Earthquake-prone Areas Determination
      • 15:20 Application of the Pattern Recognition Techniques to Earthquake-prone Areas Determination 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Saturday, 3 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 12:00 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises
      • 09:00 GROUP B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 10:30 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 15'
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Modeling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity
      • 13:30 Modeling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Soloviev (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:30 - 18:45 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises
      • 14:30 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises 4h15'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
    • 16:30 - 16:45 Coffee Break
      • 16:30 Coffee Break 15'
  • Monday, 5 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Archaeoseism: Earthquakes of the Past Recorded by Man-made Structures
      • 09:00 Archaeoseism: Earthquakes of the Past Recorded by Man-made Structures 45'
        Speaker: Prof. A. Agnon (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part II. Yet Untapped Possibilities
      • 09:55 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part II. Yet Untapped Possibilities 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Disaster Prediction and Civil Preparedness
      • 11:10 Disaster Prediction and Civil Preparedness 50'
        Speaker: Prof. E. Laor (University of Haifa)
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Spherical Block-and-Fault Model: Description of Different Modifications
      • 13:30 Spherical Block-and-Fault Model: Description of Different Modifications 45'
        Speaker: Dr. V. Rozenberg (Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences)
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Spherical Block-and-Fault Model: Application to Simulation of Global Seismicity
      • 14:25 Spherical Block-and-Fault Model: Application to Simulation of Global Seismicity 45'
        Speaker: Dr. V. Rozenberg (Institute of Mathematics and Mechanics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Earthquake Prediction: Problem and Practical Solutions
      • 15:20 Earthquake Prediction: Problem and Practical Solutions 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Tuesday, 6 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs for Intermediate-term Predictions and Seismic Hazard Assesment (Catalogs and Catalog errors; Randomization; Systematic Error in the Current Italian Catalog)
      • 09:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs for Intermediate-term Predictions and Seismic Hazard Assesment (Catalogs and Catalog errors; Randomization; Systematic Error in the Current Italian Catalog) 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction: Real-time Testing in Italy and Surrounding Regions (Including ASI-SISMA Project, CSEP Testing and Analysis of Predictions for l?Aquila Earthquake)
      • 09:55 Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction: Real-time Testing in Italy and Surrounding Regions (Including ASI-SISMA Project, CSEP Testing and Analysis of Predictions for l?Aquila Earthquake) 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Plate Motions and Tectonic Asymmetry: Insights for Seismicity. Part I
      • 11:10 Plate Motions and Tectonic Asymmetry: Insights for Seismicity. Part I 50'
        Speaker: Prof. C. Doglioni (Universita\' degli Studi di Roma \'La Sapienza\')
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:20 Plate Motions and Tectonic Asymmetry: Insights for Seismicity. Part II
      • 13:30 Plate Motions and Tectonic Asymmetry: Insights for Seismicity. Part II 50'
        Speaker: Prof. C. Doglioni (Universita\' degli Studi di Roma \'La Sapienza\')
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:30 - 15:15 Disaster Manager\'s Priority: First Shock or Last Aftershock?
      • 14:30 Disaster Manager\'s Priority: First Shock or Last Aftershock? 45'
        Speaker: Prof. E. Laor (University of Haifa)
    • 15:30 - 16:00 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 30'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Wednesday, 7 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Towards a Society Resilient to Earthquake: Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part I
      • 09:00 Towards a Society Resilient to Earthquake: Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G.F. Panza (University of Trieste; The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 Towards a Society Resilient to Earthquake: Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part II
      • 09:55 Towards a Society Resilient to Earthquake: Neo-deterministic Time-variable Seismic Hazard Assessment. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G.F. Panza (University of Trieste; The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 A Model of Earthquake Clustering Based on Structural Relaxation
      • 11:10 A Model of Earthquake Clustering Based on Structural Relaxation 50'
        Speaker: Dr. E. Jagla (Centro Atomico Bariloche, Argentina)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part III. Analysis of the Outcome of Presidential and Mid-Term Senatorial Elections in the U.S.
      • 13:30 Predictive Understanding of Extreme Events in Nature and Society. Part III. Analysis of the Outcome of Presidential and Mid-Term Senatorial Elections in the U.S. 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Practice of Predicting Large Earthquakes on Global and Regional Scales
      • 14:25 Practice of Predicting Large Earthquakes on Global and Regional Scales 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Application of the Block Structure Modeling to Study Relation between Geodynamics and Seismicity
      • 15:20 Application of the Block Structure Modeling to Study Relation between Geodynamics and Seismicity 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 19:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 3h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Thursday, 8 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 Premonitory Seismicity Patterns for Moderate Size Volcanic Earthquakes (Analysis of Seismicity Patterns and CN Application at MT. Vesuvius)
      • 09:00 Premonitory Seismicity Patterns for Moderate Size Volcanic Earthquakes (Analysis of Seismicity Patterns and CN Application at MT. Vesuvius) 45'
        Speaker: Dr. A. Peresan (University of Trieste)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 The Error Diagrams in Space-time Earthquake Prediction
      • 09:55 The Error Diagrams in Space-time Earthquake Prediction 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G. Molchan (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Problem of Verification
      • 11:10 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Problem of Verification 50'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Study of Seismic Regime in the Alps and Dinarides Junction Zone: Block Structure Modeling and Historical Observations
      • 13:30 Study of Seismic Regime in the Alps and Dinarides Junction Zone: Block Structure Modeling and Historical Observations 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 From Large-Scale-Sudden-Disasters Planner\'s Desktop: For the Foreseen Future - Nothing but Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis
      • 14:25 From Large-Scale-Sudden-Disasters Planner\'s Desktop: For the Foreseen Future - Nothing but Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis 45'
        Speaker: Prof. E. Laor (University of Haifa)
    • 15:20 - 16:05 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Accuracy and Limitations
      • 15:20 Earthquake Forecast/Prediction: Accuracy and Limitations 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:05 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:05 Coffee Break 25'
    • 16:30 - 17:30 Poster Session
      • 16:30 Poster Session 1h0'
    • 17:30 - 19:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 2h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Friday, 9 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 09:45 The Fractal/Multifractal Description of Seismicity. Part I
      • 09:00 The Fractal/Multifractal Description of Seismicity. Part I 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G. Molchan (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 09:55 - 10:40 The Fractal/Multifractal Description of Seismicity. Part II
      • 09:55 The Fractal/Multifractal Description of Seismicity. Part II 45'
        Speaker: Prof. G. Molchan (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
    • 10:40 - 11:10 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 10:40 Coffee Break 30'
    • 11:10 - 12:00 Structural Relaxation and its Relation with Non-trivial Frictional Properties
      • 11:10 Structural Relaxation and its Relation with Non-trivial Frictional Properties 50'
        Speaker: Dr. E. Jagla (Centro Atomico Bariloche, Argentina)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:00 LUNCH 1h30'
    • 13:30 - 14:15 Similarity and Differences in Sequences of Earthquakes, Solar Flares, and Starquakes
      • 13:30 Similarity and Differences in Sequences of Earthquakes, Solar Flares, and Starquakes 45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Kossobokov (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 14:25 - 15:10 Prediction of a Subsequent Strong Earthquake
      • 14:25 Prediction of a Subsequent Strong Earthquake 45'
        Speaker: Dr. I. Vorobieva (International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy)
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:10 - 15:20 -
      • 15:10 - 10'
    • 15:20 - 16:00 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 15:20 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 40'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break
      Location: Adriatico Guest House (Lower Level 1)
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 30'
    • 16:30 - 17:05 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 16:30 GROUP A - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 35'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 17:15 - 19:30 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 17:15 GROUP B - The Algorithms M8 and Mendocino Scenario - Computer Exercises 2h15'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Exercises Manual
    • 19:30 - 20:30 DINNER
      • 19:30 DINNER 1h0'
  • Saturday, 10 October 2009
    • 09:00 - 12:15 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 09:00 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software 3h15'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Other material
    • 10:30 - 10:45 Coffee Break
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 15'
    • 12:15 - 13:30 LUNCH
      • 12:15 LUNCH 1h15'
    • 13:30 - 15:30 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab.
      • 13:30 Final Consultations, Distribution of the Software 2h0'
        Speaker: V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A.Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva, E.Zuccolo
        Material: Other material
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