Description |
The Western Tropical Pacific (WTP) is a region where sea surface temperatures reach their highest values. Its warm waters are the source of intense convective systems, and the associated latent heat release acts as an important forcing for planetary waves across the whole globe. SST variability in the WTP, although weaker in amplitude than the variability in the central and eastern part of the tropical Pacific, has the potential to affect atmospheric teleconnection on a variety of scales. On the sub-seasonal scale, WTP SST affects the intensity and propagation of organized convection within the MJO and other modes of tropical low-frequency variability. On the interannual time-scale, the monsoon systems of East and South Asia are affected by WTP anomalies, as well as the planetary waves propagating into the northern extra-tropics. On the interannual time scales, variations in zonal and meridional gradients of SST in the WTP region affect long-term changes in the Walker and Hadley circulations, and links with decadal variability in the North Pacific and the North Atlantic have been explored by many scientists. The aims of the proposed five-day workshop are to review the current knowledge on the origins and consequences of variability in the WTP, and discuss the ability of the latest generation of coupled GCMs to simulate such variability and teleconnections. |
Workshop on Variability in the Western Tropical Pacific: Mechanisms, Teleconnections and Impacts on Sub-Seasonal, Inter-Annual and Inter-Decadal Time Scales | (smr 2341)
Go to day
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08:15 - 09:15
Registration / Administrative Formalities
Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1) -
08:15
Registration / Administrative Formalities
1h0'
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08:15
Registration / Administrative Formalities
1h0'
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09:15 - 09:30
Welcome and Introduction
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:15
Welcome and Introduction
15'
Speaker: F. Molteni and F. Kucharski (ECMWF, United Kingdom, and ICTP, Italy) Material: slides
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09:15
Welcome and Introduction
15'
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09:30 - 10:10
Progress in Modelling the MJO
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:30
Progress in Modelling the MJO
40'
Speaker: S. Woolnough (University of Reading, United Kingdom) Material: slides
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09:30
Progress in Modelling the MJO
40'
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10:10 - 10:50
MJO and ENSO prediction and predictability
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
10:10
MJO and ENSO prediction and predictability
40'
Speaker: I. S. Kang (Seoul National University, Republic of Korea) Material: slides
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10:10
MJO and ENSO prediction and predictability
40'
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10:50 - 11:20
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 10:50 Coffee Break 30'
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11:20 - 12:00
Variability and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones in the Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:20
Variability and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones in the Pacific
40'
Speaker: F. Vitart - presented by F. Molteni (ECMWF) Material: slides
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11:20
Variability and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones in the Pacific
40'
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12:00 - 12:20
Abhik Santra - A possible new mechanism of boreal summer ISO over the Indian region using TRMM and MERRA reanalysis
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
12:00
Abhik Santra - A possible new mechanism of boreal summer ISO over the Indian region using TRMM and MERRA reanalysis
20'
Material: slides
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12:00
Abhik Santra - A possible new mechanism of boreal summer ISO over the Indian region using TRMM and MERRA reanalysis
20'
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12:20 - 12:40
Trismidianto -A Study of Mesoscale Convective Complexes Activities in Indian Ocean and Their Effects on Convections Over Sumatera Island
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
12:20
Trismidianto -A Study of Mesoscale Convective Complexes Activities in Indian Ocean and Their Effects on Convections Over Sumatera Island
20'
Material: slides
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12:20
Trismidianto -A Study of Mesoscale Convective Complexes Activities in Indian Ocean and Their Effects on Convections Over Sumatera Island
20'
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12:40 - 14:00
Lunch Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 12:40 Lunch Break 1h20'
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14:00 - 15:00
Poster session
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:00
Poster session
1h0'
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14:00
Poster session
1h0'
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15:00 - 15:30
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
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15:30 - 15:50
Ahn, Min-Seop - Role of SST structure on convectively coupled Kelvin-Rossby waves
and its implication on MJO formation
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
15:30
Ahn, Min-Seop - Role of SST structure on convectively coupled Kelvin-Rossby waves
and its implication on MJO formation
20'
Material: slides
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15:30
Ahn, Min-Seop - Role of SST structure on convectively coupled Kelvin-Rossby waves
and its implication on MJO formation
20'
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15:50 - 16:10
Chiodi, Andrew - Subseasonal atmospheric variability and El Niño waveguide warming;
observed effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Westerly Wind Events
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
15:50
Chiodi, Andrew - Subseasonal atmospheric variability and El Niño waveguide warming;
observed effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Westerly Wind Events
20'
Material: slides
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15:50
Chiodi, Andrew - Subseasonal atmospheric variability and El Niño waveguide warming;
observed effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Westerly Wind Events
20'
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16:10 - 16:50
REMOTE Presentation: Sub-seasonal variability in the ocean
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
16:10
REMOTE Presentation: Sub-seasonal variability in the ocean
40'
Speaker: Toshiaki Shinoda (U.S. Navy Res. Lab., Stennis, USA)
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16:10
REMOTE Presentation: Sub-seasonal variability in the ocean
40'
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08:15 - 09:15
Registration / Administrative Formalities
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09:15 - 09:55
ENSO Theories and the West Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:15
ENSO Theories and the West Pacific
40'
Speaker: C. Wang (NOAA, USA)
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09:15
ENSO Theories and the West Pacific
40'
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09:55 - 10:35
Observing ENSO in the West Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:55
Observing ENSO in the West Pacific
40'
Speaker: T. Delcroix (LEGOS OMP, France)
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09:55
Observing ENSO in the West Pacific
40'
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10:35 - 11:00
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 10:35 Coffee Break 25'
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11:00 - 11:40
REMOTE Presentation - ENSO, decadal climate variability and climate change in the Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:00
REMOTE Presentation - ENSO, decadal climate variability and climate change in the Pacific
40'
Speaker: S. Power (Bureau of Meteorology, Australia) Material: slides
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11:00
REMOTE Presentation - ENSO, decadal climate variability and climate change in the Pacific
40'
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11:40 - 12:20
Modelling ENSO and the West Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:40
Modelling ENSO and the West Pacific
40'
Speaker: E. Guilyardi (CNRS, France / University of Reading, United Kingdom)
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11:40
Modelling ENSO and the West Pacific
40'
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12:20 - 14:00
Lunch Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 12:20 Lunch Break 1h40'
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14:00 - 14:20
Stephanie Bush - Separating local and regional sources of tropical summer precipitationbiases in the Met Office Unified Model
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:00
Stephanie Bush - Separating local and regional sources of tropical summer precipitationbiases in the Met Office Unified Model
20'
Material: slides
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14:00
Stephanie Bush - Separating local and regional sources of tropical summer precipitationbiases in the Met Office Unified Model
20'
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14:20 - 14:40
Chiodi, Andrew - La Niña impacts on global seasonal weather anomalies: The OLR perspective
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:20
Chiodi, Andrew - La Niña impacts on global seasonal weather anomalies: The OLR perspective
20'
Material: slides
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14:20
Chiodi, Andrew - La Niña impacts on global seasonal weather anomalies: The OLR perspective
20'
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14:40 - 15:00
Elaine Miles - Seasonal Prediction of Sea-Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:40
Elaine Miles - Seasonal Prediction of Sea-Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific
20'
Material: slides
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14:40
Elaine Miles - Seasonal Prediction of Sea-Level Anomalies in the Western Pacific
20'
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15:00 - 15:30
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
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15:30 - 15:30
Poster session
Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1) -
15:30
Poster session
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15:30
Poster session
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19:30 - 19:30
Reception
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 19:30 Reception
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09:15 - 09:55
ENSO Theories and the West Pacific
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09:15 - 09:55
Understanding Indo-Pacific teleconnections on seasonal to decadal scales
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:15
Understanding Indo-Pacific teleconnections on seasonal to decadal scales
40'
Speaker: F. Molteni (ECMWF) Material: slides
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09:15
Understanding Indo-Pacific teleconnections on seasonal to decadal scales
40'
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09:55 - 10:35
Decadal predictability and prediction: where do we stand?
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:55
Decadal predictability and prediction: where do we stand?
40'
Speaker: M. Latif (GEOMAR, Germany) Material: slides
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09:55
Decadal predictability and prediction: where do we stand?
40'
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10:35 - 11:00
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 10:35 Coffee Break 25'
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11:00 - 11:40
Decadal Prediction: A First-Round Report
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:00
Decadal Prediction: A First-Round Report
40'
Speaker: M. Kimoto (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, Japan) Material: slides
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11:00
Decadal Prediction: A First-Round Report
40'
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11:40 - 12:20
Inter-decadal modulations in ENSO teleconnection to Northwest Pacific region: Role of the tropical Indian Ocean.
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:40
Inter-decadal modulations in ENSO teleconnection to Northwest Pacific region: Role of the tropical Indian Ocean.
40'
Speaker: J. Chowdary (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology) Material: slides
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11:40
Inter-decadal modulations in ENSO teleconnection to Northwest Pacific region: Role of the tropical Indian Ocean.
40'
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12:20 - 14:00
Lunch Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 12:20 Lunch Break 1h40'
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14:20 - 14:40
Rameshan Kallummal- The most dominant response of sea surface temperature in a warming world
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:20
Rameshan Kallummal- The most dominant response of sea surface temperature in a warming world
20'
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14:20
Rameshan Kallummal- The most dominant response of sea surface temperature in a warming world
20'
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14:40 - 15:00
Riccardo Farneti - Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical-subtropical interactions
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:40
Riccardo Farneti - Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical-subtropical interactions
20'
Material: slides
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14:40
Riccardo Farneti - Pacific interdecadal variability driven by tropical-subtropical interactions
20'
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15:00 - 15:20
Fred Kucharski - Tropical Atlantic influence on Pacific mean state
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
15:00
Fred Kucharski - Tropical Atlantic influence on Pacific mean state
20'
Material: slides
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15:00
Fred Kucharski - Tropical Atlantic influence on Pacific mean state
20'
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15:20 - 15:50
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 15:20 Coffee Break 30'
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15:50 - 16:50
Poster session
Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1) -
15:50
Poster session
1h0'
-
15:50
Poster session
1h0'
-
09:15 - 09:55
Understanding Indo-Pacific teleconnections on seasonal to decadal scales
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-
09:15 - 09:55
Role of the western Pacific on Monsoon circulation and Pacific response to Atlantic SSTA
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:15
Role of the western Pacific on Monsoon circulation and Pacific response to Atlantic SSTA
40'
Speaker: I. S. Kang (Seoul National University) Material: slides
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09:15
Role of the western Pacific on Monsoon circulation and Pacific response to Atlantic SSTA
40'
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09:55 - 10:35
Convection Oscillation over the Indo-Western Pacific and Its Relationship with the East Asian Summer Monsoon
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:55
Convection Oscillation over the Indo-Western Pacific and Its Relationship with the East Asian Summer Monsoon
40'
Speaker: J. Li (Chinese Academy of Sciences) Material: slides
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09:55
Convection Oscillation over the Indo-Western Pacific and Its Relationship with the East Asian Summer Monsoon
40'
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10:35 - 11:00
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 10:35 Coffee Break 25'
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11:00 - 11:40
A Tripolar Variability of East Asian Monsoon
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:00
A Tripolar Variability of East Asian Monsoon
40'
Speaker: M. Kimoto (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, Japan) Material: slides
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11:00
A Tripolar Variability of East Asian Monsoon
40'
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11:40 - 12:20
Influences of ENSO teleconnection on the persistence of sea surface temperature in the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
11:40
Influences of ENSO teleconnection on the persistence of sea surface temperature in the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans
40'
Speaker: R. Ding (Chinese Academy of Sciences) Material: slides
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11:40
Influences of ENSO teleconnection on the persistence of sea surface temperature in the tropical Indian and Atlantic oceans
40'
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12:20 - 14:00
Lunch Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 12:20 Lunch Break 1h40'
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14:00 - 14:20
Gang Hung - Decadal change in the impact of summer Indian Ocean SST anomaly on the western North Pacific summer monsoons in the late 1970s
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:00
Gang Hung - Decadal change in the impact of summer Indian Ocean SST anomaly on the western North Pacific summer monsoons in the late 1970s
20'
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14:00
Gang Hung - Decadal change in the impact of summer Indian Ocean SST anomaly on the western North Pacific summer monsoons in the late 1970s
20'
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14:20 - 14:40
Martin Jacques Coper - On the summertime temperature variability in southern South America: interannual and interdecadal patterns during the 20th century
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:20
Martin Jacques Coper - On the summertime temperature variability in southern South America: interannual and interdecadal patterns during the 20th century
20'
Material: slides
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14:20
Martin Jacques Coper - On the summertime temperature variability in southern South America: interannual and interdecadal patterns during the 20th century
20'
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14:40 - 15:00
TBA
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
14:40
TBA
20'
-
14:40
TBA
20'
-
15:00 - 15:30
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
-
15:30 - 16:30
Poster session
Location: Adriatico Guest House - Giambiagi Lecture Hall Area (Lower Level 1) -
15:30
Poster session
1h0'
-
15:30
Poster session
1h0'
-
09:15 - 09:55
Role of the western Pacific on Monsoon circulation and Pacific response to Atlantic SSTA
-
-
09:15 - 10:00
Panel Kang, Kucharski, Molteni, Woolnough
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
09:15
Panel Kang, Kucharski, Molteni, Woolnough
45'
-
09:15
Panel Kang, Kucharski, Molteni, Woolnough
45'
-
10:00 - 10:30
Coffee Break
Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria - 10:00 Coffee Break 30'
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10:30 - 12:00
Plans for future coordinated actions - CLOSE
Location: Adriatico Guest House Giambiagi Lecture Hall -
10:30
Plans for future coordinated actions - CLOSE
1h30'
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10:30
Plans for future coordinated actions - CLOSE
1h30'
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09:15 - 10:00
Panel Kang, Kucharski, Molteni, Woolnough