| Description | ASSOCIATED ACTIVITIES: The workshop will be run in collaboration with the preceding School on Modelling Tools and Capacity Building in Climate and Public Health (15 April - 1 May, smr2453). Participants can also apply to attend this earlier School. Attendance at both workshops is not mandatory, each workshop is designed to be self-contained. However, during the first three days, the School and this Workshop will integrate by focusing the lectures on topics of common interest. The Workshop is co-sponsored by IUGG | 
Material
Workshop on Mathematical Models of Climate Variability, Environmental Change and Infectious Diseases | (smr 2450)
    Go to day
    
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            08:30 - 09:00
        
        
        
            Registration
        
        
    
    
        After you have Registered: Administrative Formalities (daily living allowances/travel reimbursements, bank transactions, etc.) at the E. Fermi Building - just above the Leonardo Da Vinci Bldg. - Meal coupons: balance will be issued by the Guesthouse Receptions one day after the on-line registration is completed according to the following timetables: GALILEO Guesthouse: Tuesday to Friday 10.00-12.00 & 13.00-15.00 ADRIATICO Guesthouse: Tuesday To Friday 13.00-15.00 Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 08:30 Registration 30'
 
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            09:00 - 09:30
        
        
        
            Welcome
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Welcome
            30'        
    
    
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Welcome
            30'        
    
    
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            09:30 - 10:30
        
        
        
            Setting the stage: Climate & diseases 
        
        
    
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        09:30
    
    
        Setting the stage: Climate & diseases
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Mercedes Pascual (University of Michigan Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, USA) 
 
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        09:30
    
    
        Setting the stage: Climate & diseases
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:30 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building, Lobby - 10:30 Break 30'
 
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            11:00 - 12:00
        
        
        
            Introduction to epidemiological models - I
        
        
    
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        11:00
    
    
        Introduction to epidemiological models - I
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Pej ROHANI (University of Michigan King Laboratory of Theoretical Ecology & Evolution, USA) 
 
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        11:00
    
    
        Introduction to epidemiological models - I
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:00 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Introduction to core group
        
        
    
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        12:00
    
    
        Introduction to core group
            30'        
    
    
 
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        12:00
    
    
        Introduction to core group
            30'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            Local stability and bifurcations 
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Local stability and bifurcations
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Jorge VELASCO-HERNANDEZ (Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo, Mexico) 
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Local stability and bifurcations
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
        
        
    
    Location: Computer Lab. (LB) - 
        
    
        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King (University of Michigan, USA) 
 
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        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
        
        
    
    Location: Computer Lab. (LB) - 
        
    
        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB introduction to simulations of ODE
        
    
    
 
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            08:30 - 09:00
        
        
        
            Registration
        
        
    
    
        
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Introduction to epidemiological models - II 
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Introduction to epidemiological models - II
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Pej Rohani 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Introduction to epidemiological models - II
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Applications of climate science to public health 
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Applications of climate science to public health
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: M. Thomson 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Applications of climate science to public health
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Basic tools for modelling epidemics with differential equations: seasonality and diseases  
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Basic tools for modelling epidemics with differential equations: seasonality and diseases
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Giulio De Leo (Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, CA, USA) 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Basic tools for modelling epidemics with differential equations: seasonality and diseases
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            Modeling dengue epidemics: data, movement and dynamics
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Modeling dengue epidemics: data, movement and dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez 
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Modeling dengue epidemics: data, movement and dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
        
        
    
    Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab. - 
        
    
        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
        
        
    
    Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab. - 
        
    
        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB and introduction to stochastic simulations
        
    
    
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            19:00 - 19:00
        
        
        
            OFFICIAL RECEPTION
        
        
    
    Location: Adriatico Guest House (Terrace) - 19:00 OFFICIAL RECEPTION
 
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Introduction to epidemiological models - II 
        
        
    
    
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Research talk 
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Research talk
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Pej Rohani 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Research talk
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Host-macroparasite dynamics  
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Host-macroparasite dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Andrew Dobson (Princeton University, NJ, USA) 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Host-macroparasite dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Stochastic dynamic systems
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Stochastic dynamic systems
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Matteo Marsili (ICTP, Trieste) 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Stochastic dynamic systems
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            Core groups discussion 
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Core groups discussion
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Core groups discussion
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            R-LAB stochastic simulations
        
        
    
    Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab. - 
        
    
        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB stochastic simulations
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        15:00
    
    
        R-LAB stochastic simulations
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            R-LAB stochastic simulations
        
        
    
    Location: Adriatico Guest House Informatics Lab. - 
        
    
        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB stochastic simulations
        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        R-LAB stochastic simulations
        
    
    
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Research talk 
        
        
    
    
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            The relationship between biodiversity and diseases 
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        The relationship between biodiversity and diseases
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Giulio De Leo 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        The relationship between biodiversity and diseases
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Parasites and climate change in the Arctic
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Parasites and climate change in the Arctic
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Andrew Dobson 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Parasites and climate change in the Arctic
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Participants’ talks
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Participants’ talks
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Participants’ talks
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            Core groups discussion
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Core groups discussion
            2h0'        
    
    
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Core groups discussion
            2h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Genetic diversity of influenza viruses and the role of transmission ecology and host demography
        
        
    
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        16:30
    
    
        Genetic diversity of influenza viruses and the role of transmission ecology and host demography
        
    
    Speaker: Pej Rohani 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        Genetic diversity of influenza viruses and the role of transmission ecology and host demography
        
    
    
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            The relationship between biodiversity and diseases 
        
        
    
    
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Malaria and climate variability
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Malaria and climate variability
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Mercedes Pascual Spada (University of Michigan, USA) 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Malaria and climate variability
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Malaria model  
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Malaria model
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Adrian Tompkins (ICTP-Earth Systems Physics) 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Malaria model
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Spatio-temporl modelling of vector borne diseases
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Spatio-temporl modelling of vector borne diseases
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Rachel Lowe (Catalan Institute for Climate Scences, Spain) 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Spatio-temporl modelling of vector borne diseases
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            Core Groups Discussion
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            Core groups Presentation
        
        
    
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        15:00
    
    
        Core groups Presentation
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        15:00
    
    
        Core groups Presentation
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            The honeymoon is over: sorting out the causes of pertussis’ resurgence
        
        
    
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        16:30
    
    
        The honeymoon is over: sorting out the causes of pertussis’ resurgence
        
    
    Speaker: Aaron A. King 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        The honeymoon is over: sorting out the causes of pertussis’ resurgence
        
    
    
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Malaria and climate variability
        
        
    
    
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease of marine organisms 
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease of marine organisms
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Giulio De Leo 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease of marine organisms
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Multi-host disease dynamics 
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Multi-host disease dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Andrew Dobson 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Multi-host disease dynamics
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Nematodes and climate
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Nematodes and climate
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Graciela Canziani (Universidad Nacional del Centro de La Provincia de Buenos Aires, Argentina) 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Nematodes and climate
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            HIV infection and interactions with other oportunistic co-infections
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        HIV infection and interactions with other oportunistic co-infections
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Gisela Garcia Ramos (University of Kentucky, USA) 
 
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        14:00
    
    
        HIV infection and interactions with other oportunistic co-infections
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            Core Group Discussions
        
        
    
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        15:00
    
    
        Core Group Discussions
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        15:00
    
    
        Core Group Discussions
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Modeling data patterns in Acute Respiratory Infections 
        
        
    
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        16:30
    
    
        Modeling data patterns in Acute Respiratory Infections
        
    
    Speaker: Jorge Velasco-Hernandez 
 
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        16:30
    
    
        Modeling data patterns in Acute Respiratory Infections
        
    
    
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease of marine organisms 
        
        
    
    
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                - 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Cholera and climate variability  
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Cholera and climate variability
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Mercedes Pascual Spada 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Cholera and climate variability
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Hydro-epidemiology - I
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        Hydro-epidemiology - I
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Marino Gatto (Politecnico di Milano, Italy) 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Hydro-epidemiology - I
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Hydro-epidemiology - II
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Hydro-epidemiology - II
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Enrico Bertuzzo (Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne ENAC, Switzerland) 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Hydro-epidemiology - II
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 15:00
        
        
        
            Participant talks
        
        
    
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        14:00
    
    
        Participant talks
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Participant talks
            1h0'        
    
    
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            15:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            Core Groups Discussions
        
        
    
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        15:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussions
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        15:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussions
            1h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
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            16:30 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Core Groups Presentation
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        16:30
    
    
        Core Groups Presentation
        
    
    
 
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        16:30
    
    
        Core Groups Presentation
        
    
    
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Cholera and climate variability  
        
        
    
    
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                - 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease Ecology and poverty traps 
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease Ecology and poverty traps
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Matt Bonds (Harvard University, USA) 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease Ecology and poverty traps
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            An introduction to fuzzy inference systems
        
        
    
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        10:00
    
    
        An introduction to fuzzy inference systems
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Graciela Canziani 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        An introduction to fuzzy inference systems
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Core Groups Discussion
        
        
    
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        11:30
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Matteo Marsili 
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            1h0'        
    
    
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            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 16:00
        
        
        
            Core Groups Discussion
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        14:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            2h0'        
    
    
 
- 
        
    
        14:00
    
    
        Core Groups Discussion
            2h0'        
    
    
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            16:00 - 16:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 16:00 Break 30'
 
 
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            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease Ecology and poverty traps 
        
        
    
    
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                - 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease ecology,  biodiversity and the latitudinal gradient in income   
        
        
    
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease ecology,  biodiversity and the latitudinal gradient in income
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Matthew Bonds (Harvard University, USA) 
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Disease ecology,  biodiversity and the latitudinal gradient in income
            1h0'        
    
    
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            10:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Nematodes, climate and control
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        10:00
    
    
        Nematodes, climate and control
            1h0'        
    
    Speaker: Graciela Canziani 
 
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        10:00
    
    
        Nematodes, climate and control
            1h0'        
    
    
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            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
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            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Work on projects
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        11:30
    
    
        Work on projects
            1h0'        
    
    
 
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        11:30
    
    
        Work on projects
            1h0'        
    
    
- 
    
        
        
        
            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 17:00
        
        
        
            Work on projects
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        14:00
    
    
        Work on projects
            3h0'        
    
    
 
- 
        
    
        14:00
    
    
        Work on projects
            3h0'        
    
    
 
- 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 10:00
        
        
        
            Disease ecology,  biodiversity and the latitudinal gradient in income   
        
        
    
    
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                - 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Student Presentations
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        09:00
    
    
        Student Presentations
            2h0'        
    
    
 
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        09:00
    
    
        Student Presentations
            2h0'        
    
    
- 
    
        
        
        
            11:00 - 11:30
        
        
        
            Break
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Terrace - 11:00 Break 30'
 
- 
    
        
        
        
            11:30 - 12:30
        
        
        
            Student Presentations
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        11:30
    
    
        Student Presentations
            1h0'        
    
    
 
- 
        
    
        11:30
    
    
        Student Presentations
            1h0'        
    
    
- 
    
        
        
        
            12:30 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Lunch
        
        
    
    Location: Leonardo da Vinci Building Cafeteria - 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
 
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            14:00 - 14:00
        
        
        
            Certificates of participations
        
        
    
    - 
        
    
        14:00
    
    
        Certificates of participations
        
    
    Material:  Course material Course material
 
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        14:00
    
    
        Certificates of participations
        
    
    
 
- 
    
        
        
        
            09:00 - 11:00
        
        
        
            Student Presentations
        
        
    
    
 announcement
    
    
        
        announcement