5th Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modelling of Climate Dynamics: Convection and Clouds

Administration

Description

An ICTP hybrid meeting

In the tropics the majority of precipitation is provided by organised systems of convection, which are often responsible for precipitation extremes. New tools to understand these systems include km-resolution (k-scale) global and regional convection-permitting models and latest generation satellite observations, while machine learning tools supplement our dynamical and thermodynamic understanding.

The school will summarise our current understanding of convection using these tools and address How does deep and shallow convection organise in k-scale models? Can energy budgets help understand their precipitation biases? What are the recent advances in convective parameterization? The school will involve a combination of introductory and advanced lecture material and a week of hands-on data analysis in participant projects, with the opportunity to attend the 4th edition of the established conference on convective organisation (WCO4) in the 2nd week.

Structure:
Week 1: Introduction to convection, radiation, RCE, overview on stochastic parameterization, observations…
Week 2: Stochastic cloud models/machine learning. WCO4 conference.
Week 3: Specialist lecture and hands on projects.

Call for Contributed Abstracts: All applicants are encouraged to submit an abstract for a poster presentation and a contributed talk during WCO4. Abstract templates are available below for download.

Grants: A limited number of ICTP grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants from developing countries. In addition, the Pacific Institute for the Mathematical Sciences (PIMS) have made co-funding available to support participant attendance from all countries, but with priority given to PhD students and junior scientists from PIMS-member universities. There is no registration fee.

You can submit your application only to the WCO4 conference (week 2) at the following link:

4th Workshop on convective organization and precipitation extremes (WCO4)

Material

Abstract templates Group photo Poster Preliminary list of participants Time zones

5th Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modelling of Climate Dynamics: Convection and Clouds | (smr 3952)

Go to day

Monday, 1 July 2024

08:30 - 09:15

08:30 Registration formalities 45'

REGISTRATION: Upon arrival, Visitors not staying in the ICTP Guest Houses, are kindly requested to complete registration formalities at the Adriatico Guesthouse - Registration Desk (Lower level) from 08:30 to 9:00.

09:15 - 17:15

09:15 Welcome and intro to clouds 1h15'

Speaker: Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP, Italy)
10:30 Break 30'

11:00 Introduction to thermodynamics 1h15'

Speaker:	Simona BORDONI (University of Trento, Italy)
Material:	Slides Video

12:15 Lunch break 2h15'

14:30 Introduction to convection 1h15'

Speaker:	Allison WING (Florida State University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

15:45 Break 15'

16:00 Introduction to radiation transfer 1h15'

Speaker:	Robert PINCUS (Columbia University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

Tuesday, 2 July 2024

09:00 - 17:30

09:00 Climate and the general circulation 1h30'

Speaker:	Simona BORDONI (University of Trento, Italy)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'

11:00 Cloud observations from space 1h30'

Speaker:	Courtney SCHUMACHER (TAMU, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

12:30 Lunch break 2h0'

14:30 Radiation 2 1h15'

Speaker:	Robert PINCUS (Columbia University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

15:45 Break 15'

16:00 Introduction to cloud observations: hands on 1h15' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )

Speaker:	Courtney SCHUMACHER (TAMU, USA)
Material:	Slides

Wednesday, 3 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Theory of tropical waves 1h30'

Speaker:	Juliana DIAS (NOAA, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Group photo 10'
10:40 Break 20'

11:00 Observations of tropical waves 1h30'

Speaker:	Juliana DIAS (NOAA, USA)
Material:	Video

12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
14:30 Introduction to Data Analysis of Tropical OLR: hands on 1h15' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )

Speaker: Maria GEHNE (CIRES CU Boulder and NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, USA)
15:45 Break 15'
16:00 Data Analysis of Tropical Dynamical Variables: hands on cont. 1h15' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )

Speaker: Maria GEHNE (CIRES CU Boulder and NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, USA)

Thursday, 4 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Stochastic Modeling 1h30'

Speaker:	Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'

11:00 Introduction to convective parametrizations 45'

Speaker:	Parthasarathi MUKHOPADHYAY (IITM, Pune, India)
Material:	Slides Video

11:45 Stochastic multicloud model 45'

Speaker:	Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada)
Material:	Slides Video

12:30 Lunch break 2h0'

14:30 SMCM: hands on 1h15' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )

Speaker:	Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada)
Material:	Slides

15:45 Break 15'

16:00 Waves and convection organization in SMCM 1h15'

Speaker:	Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada)
Material:	Slides Video

18:00 - 20:00

18:00 Get-together drink 2h0' ( Adriatico Terrace )

All participants are cordially invited to the Get-together drink.

Friday, 5 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Mesoscale convective systems 1h30'

Speaker:	Courtney SCHUMACHER (TAMU, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'

11:00 Introduction to convective parametrizations (cont) 1h30'

Speaker:	Parthasarathi MUKHOPADHYAY (IITM, Pune, India)
Material:	Slides Video

12:30 Lunch break 1h30'

14:00 Introduction to the parameterization concept 30'

Speaker:	Adrian Tompkins (ICTP, Italy)
Material:	Slides

14:30 Deterministic convective closure: hands on 1h15' ( Adriatico Guest House - Informatics Laboratory )

Speaker:	Parthasarathi MUKHOPADHYAY (IITM, Pune, India)
Material:	Slides

15:45 Break 15'

16:00 Coastal convection 1h15'

Speaker:	Courtney SCHUMACHER (TAMU, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

Monday, 8 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Intro to project datasources: Nextgems, Observations, RCEMIP, ERA5 1h30'

Speaker:	Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP, Italy), Allison WING (Florida State University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'

11:00 Introduction to the machine learning class 30'

Speaker:	Leif Christopher DENBY (Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark)
Material:	Slides Video

11:30 Introduction to the parcel model class 30'

Speaker:	Steven BOEING (University of Leeds, UK)
Material:	Slides Video

12:00 Introduction to the water vapour stochastic model class 30'

Speaker:	Giovanni BIAGIOLI (ICTP, Italy)
Material:	Video

12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
14:30 Parallel session 1: Training session on SMCM-ZM convective parameterization in single-column CAM 1h15'
14:30 Parallel session 2: Convective Parcel Model 1h15'
14:30 Parallel session 3: Machine learning for climate 1h15'
14:30 Parallel session 4: Stochastic water vapour model 1h15'

Speaker: Giovanni BIAGIOLI (ICTP, Italy), Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP, Italy)
15:45 Break 15'

16:00 Parallel session 1 : Training session on SMCM-ZM convective parameterization in single-column CAM (cont.) 1h15'

Speaker:	Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada) et al.
Material:	Video

16:00 Parallel session 2: Convective Parcel Model (cont.) 1h15'

Speaker:	Steven BOEING (University of Leeds, UK) et al.
Material:	Video

16:00 Parallel session 3: Machine learning for climate (cont.) 1h15'

Speaker:	Leif Christopher DENBY (Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark), Sara SHAMEKH (NYU)
Material:	Video

16:00 Parallel session 4: Stochastic water vapour model (cont.) 1h15'

Speaker:	Giovanni BIAGIOLI (ICTP, Italy), Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP, Italy)
Material:	Video

Tuesday, 9 July 2024
- 09:00 - 14:30
  - 09:00 Parallel sessions continue / optional data hackathon 1h30'
  - 10:30 Break 30'
  - 11:00 Group formation and breakouts to discuss projects, Q&A on datasets 1h30'
  - 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
- 14:00 - 14:30
  - 14:00 Registration formalities 30'
```
REGISTRATION: Upon arrival, Visitors not staying in the ICTP Guest Houses and attending the workshop only are kindly requested to complete registration formalities at the Adriatico Guesthouse - Registration Desk (Lower level) from 14:00 to 14:30.
```
- 14:30 - 16:30 Cloud-resolving models at large scale
```
Chairperson:  Jan HAERTER (University of Potsdam, Germany)
```
  - 14:30 Opening remarks 15'
  - 14:45 Relationships between clouds, circulation, and radiation in long-channel radiative convective equilibrium simulations 30'
    
    Speaker: Christopher Earl HOLLOWAY (University of Reading, UK)
  - 15:15 Changes in clouds and the tropical circulation in global kilometer-scale simulations under different warming patterns 15'
    
    Speaker: Lorenzo Franco TOMASSINI (UK Met Office, UK)
  - 15:30 Convective systems in a global kilometer-scale model 15'
    
    Speaker: Emma Anne-Marie Ombeline CHAUVIN (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), France)
  - 15:45 Discussion 15'
  - 16:00 Break 30'
- 16:30 - 18:00 Conceptual models/shallow cumulus
```
Chairperson: Ben MAYBEE (University of Leeds, UK)
```
  - 16:30 Progress in convection parameterization using multiscale and multicloud modeling constrained by observations 30'
    
    Speaker: Boualem KHOUIDER (University of Victoria, Canada)
  - 17:00 Formation of Shallow Cumulus Patterns Using a Warm Cloud- Precipitation Competition Model 15'
    
    Speaker: Michelle KANIPE (Colorado State University, USA)
  - 17:15 Cold Pools Mediate the Response of Trade Cumulus Fields to Cloud-Droplet Number Perturbations 15'
    
    Speaker: Pouriya ALINAGHI (Delft University of Technology, Netherlands)
  - 17:30 Organisation in parcel-based simulations of cumulus clouds 15'
    
    Speaker: Steven BOEING (University of Leeds, UK)
  - 17:45 Discussion 15'
Wednesday, 10 July 2024
- 09:00 - 11:00 Self-aggregration and RCEMIP
```
Chairperson: Florence Joanna GREAVES (University of Leeds, UK)
```
  - 09:00 Impact of Organization of Convection on Cloud Feedbacks in RCEMIP 30'
    
    Speaker: Allison WING (Florida State University, USA)
  - 09:30 Can Lorg and other organization indices explain shallow cloud organisation? 15'
    
    Speaker: Giulio MANDORLI (Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL) / Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique (LMD), France)
  - 09:45 Aggregation-disaggregation cycles in ERA5 15'
    
    Speaker: Larissa Elisabeth BACK (University of Wisconsin, USA)
  - 10:00 Tropical precipitation extremes and their modulation by convective organization in RCEMIP 15'
    
    Speaker: Graham O'DONNELL (Florida State University, USA)
  - 10:15 Discussion 15'
  - 10:30 Group photo 10'
  - 10:40 Coffee break 20'
- 11:00 - 12:30 Poster session
  - 11:00 Poster pitches 1 15'
```
last names A-I
```
  - 11:15 Poster session 1 1h15'
- 12:30 - 14:30
  - 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
- 14:30 - 16:30 Convection buffet
```
Chairperson: Pouriya ALINAGHI (Delft University of Technology, Netherlands)
```
  - 14:30 Exploiting AI methods to get the most out of multiscale observations 30'
    
    Speaker: Claudia ACQUISTAPACE (University of Cologne, Germany)
  - 15:00 Revisiting the Weak Temperature Gradient Approximation in Cloud-Resolving Models 15'
    
    Speaker: Nathanael WONG (Harvard University, USA)
  - 15:15 Radiative feedbacks in the observed Madden-Julian oscillation 15'
    
    Speaker: Wei-Ting HSIAO (Colorado State University, USA)
  - 15:30 The Stirring Tropics 15'
    
    Speaker: Victor Raul CHAVEZ MAYTA (University of Wisconsin, USA)
  - 15:45 Discussion 15'
  - 16:00 Break 30'
- 16:30 - 18:00 Observations of convective building blocks
```
Chairperson: Anna Rose MACKIE (University of St Andrews, UK)
```
  - 16:30 Global Diurnal Rain Types in 3-D 30'
    
    Speaker: Courtney SCHUMACHER (Texas A&M University, USA)
  - 17:00 Organization of deep convection and morphology of tropical convective systems: insights from satellite observations 15'
    
    Speaker: Rémy Dominique ROCA (CNRS, France)
  - 17:15 Multiscale Controls on Oceanic Tropical Precipitation in Observations and Models 15'
    
    Speaker: Pedro ANGULO UMANA (University of Washington, USA)
  - 17:30 Deep convection over Northwestern South America 15'
    
    Speaker: Daniel HERNANDEZ DECKERS (Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia)
  - 17:45 Discussion 15'
Thursday, 11 July 2024
- 09:00 - 11:00 Deep convection: patterns and interactions
```
Chairperson: Thomas BASSFORD (University of Leeds, UK)
```
  - 09:00 Impact of a Mixed Ocean Layer and the Diurnal Cycle on Convective Aggregation 30'
    
    Speaker: Addisu Gezahegn SEMIE (Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia)
  - 09:30 More extreme Indian monsoon daily rainfall in El Niño summers 15'
    
    Speaker: Spencer Alan HILL (City College of New York, USA)
  - 09:45 Circulation and Cloud Response to Patterned Warming 15'
    
    Speaker: Anna Rose MACKIE (University of St Andrews, UK)
  - 10:00 Variability of Offshore Propagation of Convection from Maritime Continent Islands 15'
    
    Speaker: Simon Christopher PEATMAN (University of Leeds, UK)
  - 10:15 Discussion 15'
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
- 11:00 - 12:30 Poster session
  - 11:00 Poster pitches 2 15'
```
last names J-Z
```
  - 11:15 Poster session 2 1h15'
- 12:30 - 14:30
  - 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
- 14:30 - 15:45 MCSs and local circulations
```
Chairperson: Steven BOEING (University of Leeds, UK)
```
  - 14:30 Improved dynamics of deep-convective storms influences forcing of tropical circulation 15'
    
    Speaker: Ben Wickham MAYBEE (University of Leeds, UK)
  - 14:45 Role of cloud-radiation interactions in controlling mesoscale convective lifecycles in the East Pacific 15'
    
    Speaker: Laura Giulianna PACCINI PENA (University of Virginia, USA)
  - 15:00 Effect of orography on deep convective events over an inter-Andean tropical valley 15'
    
    Speaker: Sebastian GOMEZ RIOS (Institucion Universitaria Colegio Mayor de Antioquia, Colombia)
  - 15:15 Near-Surface atmospheric circulation around the Furnas Lake in Brazil simulated with RegCM5-CP 15'
    
    Speaker: Michelle SIMOES REBOITA (IRN - UNIFEI, Brazil)
  - 15:30 Discussion 15'
- 17:30 - 19:00
  - 17:30 Welcome Reception 1h30'
```
All participants are cordially invited to the Welcome Reception
```
Friday, 12 July 2024
- 09:00 - 11:00 Machine learning and statistical methods
```
Chairperson: Leif Christopher DENBY (Danish Meteorological Institut, Denmark)
```
  - 09:00 Data-Driven Interpretable Equation for Predicting Convective Precipitation 30'
    
    Speaker: Sara SHAMEKH (NYU, USA)
  - 09:30 Variational Bayes Inference for Stochastic Convection Parametrizations 15'
    
    Speaker: Carlos Gabriel SEVILLA (University of Victoria, Canada)
  - 09:45 Predicting the Frequency of Low Cloud Mesoscale Morphologies in Extratropical Cyclones Using Cloud Controlling Factors 15'
    
    Speaker: Shuoyun TONG (University of Washington, USA)
  - 10:00 Can convection permitting forecasts solve the tropical African precipitation forecasting problem? 15'
    
    Speaker: Felix Michael REIN (Karlsruher Institut für Technologie, Germany)
  - 10:15 Discussion 15'
  - 10:30 Coffee break 30'
- 11:00 - 12:45 Conceptual models (part 2)
```
Chairperson: Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP, Italy)
```
  - 11:00 Interaction of diurnal convection with a large-scale overturning circulation 15'
    
    Speaker: Jan HAERTER (University of Potsdam, Germany)
  - 11:15 Autocorrelation – A Simple Diagnostic for Tropical Precipitation in Global Kilometer-Scale Climate Models 15'
    
    Speaker: Michela BIASUTTI (Columbia University, USA)
  - 11:30 A Predator-Prey Model for Nonlinear Precipitation Oscillations in Warm Climates 15'
    
    Speaker: Da YANG (University of Chicago, USA)
  - 11:45 Shallow-to-deep transition of atmospheric convection in analogy to the organization in a predator-prey system 15'
    
    Speaker: Cristian-Valer VRACIU (University of Bucharest, Romania)
  - 12:00 Evolutionary ecology of convective organization 15'
    
    Speaker: Brian Earle MAPES (University of Miami, USA)
  - 12:15 Discussion 15'
  - 12:30 Closing remarks 15'
Monday, 15 July 2024
- 09:00 - 17:15
  - 09:00 Convection in Tropical Precipitation Biases in Storm-Resolving NEXTGEMS Earth System Models 45'
    
    Speaker: Simona BORDONI (University of Trento, Italy)
  - 09:45 Project ideas 45'
```
2 minutes each group
```
  - 10:30 Break 30'
  - 11:00 Projects 1h30'
  - 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
  - 14:30 Projects 1h15'
  - 15:45 Break 15'
  - 16:00 Student feedback and progress 1h15'

Tuesday, 16 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Energetic view of hydrologic sensitivity 45'

Speaker:	Robert PINCUS (Columbia University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

09:45 The physical basis of precipitation extremes, their changes with warming, and influence of convective organization 45'

Speaker:	Caroline MULLER (IST, Austria)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'
11:00 Projects 1h30'
12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
14:30 Projects 1h15'
15:45 Break 15'
16:00 Projects 1h15'

Wednesday, 17 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 What do observations reveal about the influence of convective organization on climate? 45'

Speaker:	Christopher Earl HOLLOWAY (University of Reading, UK)
Material:	Slides Video

09:45 Cloud-radiative interactions in organized tropical convection 45'

Speaker:	Allison WING (Florida State University, USA)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'
11:00 Projects 1h30'
12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
14:30 Projects 1h15'
15:45 Break 15'
16:00 Student feedback and progress 1h15'

Thursday, 18 July 2024

09:00 - 17:15

09:00 Scale interactions in the tropics 45'

Speaker:	Christopher Earl HOLLOWAY (University of Reading, UK)
Material:	Slides Video

09:45 Studying cloud organisation through unsupervised learning 45'

Speaker:	Leif Christopher DENBY (Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark)
Material:	Slides Video

10:30 Break 30'
11:00 Projects 1h30'
12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
14:30 Projects 1h15'
15:45 Break 15'
16:00 Projects 1h15'

Friday, 19 July 2024
- 09:00 - 17:15
  - 09:00 Participant presentations 45'
  - 09:45 Participant presentations 45'
  - 10:30 Break 30'
  - 11:00 Participant presentations 1h30'
  - 12:30 Lunch break 2h0'
  - 14:30 Paper writing session 1h15'
  - 15:45 Break 15'
  - 16:00 Paper writing session 1h15'