Scientific Calendar Event



Description
An ICTP Hybrid meeting


Applications of ML/AI to weather and climate modelling have experienced an exponential growth. Weather forecasts based on AI models trained on re-analysis data are now possible with forecasting skills comparable to those of physical numerical models.
 
However, to what extent the AI approach can be extended to longer time scales is a research topic of increasing importance. At the same time, traditional atmospheric and ocean models based on numerical solutions of PDEs have increased their resolution to a few kilometers, which makes their application on climate time scale very challenging. In order to test the validity of these methodologies on climate time scales in a statistically sound way, experiments on several multi-decadal simulations are required. In this context, intermediate-complexity climate models provide convenient 'numerical laboratories'. The goal of this workshop is to present state-of-the-art applications of AI/ML, advanced numerical methods and innovative hardware/software solutions tested on intermediate-complexity models, such as the SPEEDY global model developed at ICTP. The workshop will also review the state-of-the-art of AI development.
 
Topics: 
  • General introduction to AI/ML techniques
  • Review of state-of-the art of AI developments in global and regional Weather and Climate Modelling
  • AI/ML applications in Climate Modelling
  • Can AI be used to generate larger ensembles from physical simulations with just few members?
  • Uncertaincy estimation from numerical models and AI
  • Can AI replace physical numerical models on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal time scales for climate applications?
  • AI for physical parametezations: parameter calibration or full-AI modules?
  • AI models and convection-peremitting physical models: Complementary or contradictory?
  • Testing AI methods in an intermediate complexity modelling framework

Speakers and Panelists include:
Tom Beucler, University of Lausanne, Switzerland
Matthew Chantry, ECMWF, UK
Erika Coppola, ICTP, Italy
Alban Farchi, ECMWF, UK
Pierre Gentine, Columbia University, USA
Scott Martin, University of Washington, USA
Shruti Nath, University of Oxford, UK
Tim Palmer, University of Oxford, UK
Erik van Sebille, Utrecht University, Netherlands
Jakob Schloer, ECMWF, UK
 

Research abstracts: In the application form, all applicants are requested to submit a brief research abstract for a poster presentation and/or contributed talk. A limited number of abstracts will be selected for the poster session or to give a talk. Please use ICTP templates available for download here and below under 'Material'.

Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee.
Go to day
  • Monday, 5 May 2025
    • 08:30 - 09:00 Registration and administrative formalities
    • 09:00 - 17:30
      • 09:00 Opening 1h0'
        Speaker: Fred Kucharski (ICTP), Serafina Di Gioia (ICTP), Riccardo Farneti (ICTP), Franco Molteni (Agenzia Italia Meteo), Adrian Tompkins (ICTP)
      • 10:00 Intro to Machine Learning Part I 30'
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Intro to Machine Learning Part II 1h30'
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Introduction to Ocean Modelling 1h0'
        Speaker: Erik van Sebille (Utrecht University, Netherlands)
      • 15:00 Introduction to Atmospheric Modelling 1h0'
        Speaker: Franco Molteni (Agenzia Italiana Meteo, Italy)
      • 16:00 Introduction to Deep Learning 1h30'
        Speaker: Serafina Di Gioia (ICTP, Italy)
  • Tuesday, 6 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 17:30
      • 09:00 Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for Classification and Regression 1h30'
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 1h0'
      • 11:30 Deep Learning for Time Series (E.G. RNN, Long-Short Term Memory NN) 1h0'
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Typical Structure and Input-Output of Climate Data 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 16:00 Simple Deep Learning Model to Have Temperature Forecast from Other Input Fields 1h30'
  • Wednesday, 7 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 19:00
      • 09:00 Introduction To Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINN) 1h30'
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Comparison Between Traditional Numerical Schemes For Climate Simulations (PINN) 1h30'
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Comparison Between Traditional Numerical Schemes For Climate Simulations (PINN) 1h30'
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 16:00 Comparison Between Traditional Numerical Schemes For Climate Simulations (PINN) 1h30'
      • 17:30 Poster session 1h30'
        Poster presenters P01 - P26
        Material: Booklet
  • Thursday, 8 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 17:30
      • 09:00 Introduction to Regional Climate Modelling and the Need of AI 1h30'
        Speaker: Erika Coppola (ICTP, Italy)
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Introduction to Graph NN (GNN; Difference between Static and Dynamic GNN)) 1h30'
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Lab Activity On GNN 1h30'
        only for participants 'in person'
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 16:00 Lab Activity On GNN 1h30'
        only for participants 'in person'
  • Friday, 9 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 17:30
      • 09:00 Review of State-of-the Art of AI Developments In Weather and Climate Modelling 1h30'
        Remote talk
        Speaker: Matthew Chantry (ECMWF, UK)
      • 10:30 Group photo 2'
        for remote participants
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 10:50 Group photo 5'
        for participants 'in person
      • 11:00 AI Physical Routines in Physical Numerical Models 1h30'
        Remote talk
        Speaker: Pierre Gentine (Columbia University, USA)
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 AI and Hybrid Modelling: Parameter Calibration or Full-AI Modules 1h30'
        Speaker: Tom Beucler (University of Lausanne, Switzerland)
      • 15:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 16:00 Lab Activity 1h30'
        only for participants 'in person'
        Speaker: Tom Beucler (University of Lausanne, Switzerland)
  • Monday, 12 May 2025
    • 09:30 - 19:00
      • 09:30 Internal Variability in Decadal Ensemble Simulations 30'
        Speaker: Franco Molteni (Agenzia Italiana Meteo, Italy)
      • 10:00 Round Table Discussion on Uncertainty Evaluation 1h0'
        Speaker: Tom Beucler (University of Lausanne, Switzerland), Franco Molteni (Agenzia Italiana Meteo, Italy)
      • 11:00 Integrating AI, Ocean Models, and Satellite Observations for Eddy-Resolving Surface Ocean State Estimation 1h30'
        Speaker: Scott Martin (University of Washington, USA)
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Fine-Tuning of the Prithvi Foundational Model 1h0'
        Speaker: Shruti Nath (University of Oxford, UK)
      • 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 15:30 Open Problem Description for Hackathon, and Creating Groups to Resolve Them 1h30'
        Speaker: Shruti Nath (University of Oxford, UK)
      • 17:00 Poster session 2h0'
        Poster presenters P27 - P51
        Material: Booklet
  • Tuesday, 13 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 16:30
      • 09:00 Hybrid models at ECMWF, from spectral nudging to online trained model error corrections 1h30'
        Speaker: Alban Farchi (ECMWF, UK)
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Sub-seasonal forecasting with the AIFS 1h0'
        Remote talk
        Speaker: Jakob Schloer (ECMWF, UK)
      • 12:00 ENSO forecast with AI 30'
        Remote talk
        Speaker: Jakob Schloer (ECMWF, UK)
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Investigating Extreme Precipitation Event Attribution Through Deep-Learning Approaches 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Jeremy Malcom Corner
      • 14:15 Enhancing Seasonal Predictions with Machine Learning: A Global Perspective on SST Influence in Early Winter 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Victor Galvan Fraile
      • 14:30 Retrieving tropical cyclone intensity from climate output: AI approaches and challenges 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Chanh Quoc Kieu
      • 14:45 Coffee Break 30'
      • 15:15 Enhancing Local Climate Zone Classification in Jakarta Using AI: Machine Learning Approach with Landsat 9 and Land Surface Temperature Integration 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Rezky Yunita
      • 15:30 On the application of generative modelling for seasonal climate predictions 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Lluis Palma I Garcia
      • 15:45 CNN-based forecasting of early winter NAO using sea surface temperature 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Elena Provenzano
      • 16:00 Fine-tuning a global weather model for superior subseasonal forecasting 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Vateanui Francois Ernest Sansine
      • 16:15 Climate projections in the Euro-Mediterranean region: atmospheric circulation patterns and temperature and rainfall future changes 15'
        Speaker: Matias Ezequiel Olmo
  • Wednesday, 14 May 2025
    • 09:30 - 16:15
      • 09:30 Linking Research to Action: Exploring the Value of AI-Driven Rainfall Forecasts over the Greater Horn of Africa 1h30'
        Speaker: Shruti Nath (University of Oxford, UK)
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:30 AI And Regional Climate Downscaling 1h0'
        Speaker: Valentina Blasone (University of Trieste, Italy)
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 AI-Driven reconstruction of oxygen profiles in the North Atlantic Oxygen Minimum Zone 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Domitille Tihaine Coron
      • 14:15 Towards a Physics-Informed Neural Network for Ocean Circulation Modelling 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Iuri Gorenstein
      • 14:30 Learning the Ocean: Leveraging AI to Improve Ocean Data Assimilation 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Davide Grande
      • 14:45 Reconstruction of the Surface Geostrophic Current in the Mediterranean Sea from Absolute Dynamic Topography Generated by Generative Adversarial Network (Adtgan) 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Gasana Elysee Manimpire
      • 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 15:30 A machine learning method is used to identify sources of long-term ENSO predictability in the ocean (sea surface temperature (SST) and heat content) and the atmosphere (near-surface zonal wind (U10)). Tropical 10m wind sseem to represents an inreresting source of ENSO predictability 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Ioana Colfescu
      • 15:45 Data-Informed Inversion Model (DIIM): a framework to retrieve marine optical constituents in the BOUSSOLE site using a three-stream irradiance model 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Carlos Enmanuel Soto Lopez
      • 16:00 A Probabilistic Forecast for Multi-year ENSO Using Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Balaji Baduru
  • Thursday, 15 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 17:00
      • 09:15 From observations to realistic simulations, the mechanisms that develop and prevent convective organization 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Alejandro Casallas Garcia
      • 09:30 Investigating deep convective systems with Machine Learning and causal inference across a hierarchy of datasets 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Andrea Polesello
      • 09:45 Improving Global Wildfire Simulations Using Machine Learning 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Florence Abiodun Kayode
      • 10:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 10:30 Data-Driven Equation Discovery of In-Cloud Vertical Velocity 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Alzbeta Pechacova
      • 10:45 Exploring windows of opportunity at sub-seasonal time scales for extreme precipitation events: the Valencia DANA case study 15'
        Specialized Talk
        Speaker: Nuria Perez Zanon
      • 11:00 Circulation Regimes and The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in AI Prediction Models 30'
        Speaker: Tim Palmer (University of Oxford, UK)
      • 11:30 Round Table Discussion: Can AI Models Fully Replace Physical Models for Long-Range Forecasting and Climate Simulations 1h0'
        Speaker: Tim Palmer (University of Oxford, UK), Jakob Schloer (ECMWF, UK), Franco Molteni (Agenzia Italiana Meteo, Italy), Erika Coppola (ICTP, Italy)
      • 12:30 Lunch 1h30'
      • 14:00 Hackathon 1h0'
      • 15:00 Coffee Break 30'
      • 15:30 Hackathon 1h30'
  • Friday, 16 May 2025
    • 09:00 - 12:45
      • 09:00 Hackathon Presentations 1h20'
      • 10:20 Group photo 5'
        for participants 'in person'
      • 10:30 Coffee Break 30'
      • 11:00 Hackathon Presentations 1h30'
      • 12:30 Closing 15'