WCRP-WGSIP Climate Prediction Across Timescales | (smr 4188) (23-27 February 2026)

Administration

Description

The call for application is closed.

The WCRP School on Climate Prediction Across Timescales is designed for early career researchers and advanced students interested in climate prediction science and its applications. It will address the key challenges of producing, assessing, and integrating forecasts from sub-seasonal to inter-decadal timescales.

The School will host 30 graduate students, postdocs, and early-career professionals in climate-related fields who have a basic background in climate science or statistics, some programming experience (ideally in Python), and an interest in climate services or operational prediction. The school will be taught in English.

Topics

Preprocessing forecasts
Understanding and measuring predictability
Predictions across timescales
Novel methods in climate forecasting
Forecast evaluation
Climate prediction in practice

Speakers
C. Ardilouze, CNRM (Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS), France
L. Diaz, DCAO-CIMA-IFAECI (UBA-CONICET-CNRS-IRD), Argentina
L. DiSera, ICTP, Italy
L. Hermanso Met Office, UK
D. Hudson, Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
K. Mayer, NSF NCAR, USA William Merryfield ECCC, Canada
A. Molod, NASA, USA Ángel G. Muñoz ICTP, Italy
M. Osman, DCAO-CIMA-IFAECI (UBA-CONICET-CNRS-IRD), Argentina
Y. Takaya, Meteorological Research Institute, Japan
B. Niraula, ESMO IPO, Germany
S. Pasqualetto, ESMO IPO, Germany

Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee.

Material

Abstract Templates Booklet Poster Preliminary List of Participants

WCRP-WGSIP Climate Prediction Across Timescales | (smr 4188)

Go to day

Monday, 23 February 2026

13:00 - 22:00

13:00 Welcome Notes 10'

13:10 Introduction to Prediction Across Timescales: what, why and how Seamless predictions and modelling: state of the art Introduction to S2S prediction 1h20'

Speaker:

Ángel MUÑOZ, Andrea MOLOD, Marisol OSMAN, Bill MERRYFIELD, Leon HERMANSON (ICTP, Italy, NASA, USA, UBA, Argentina, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada)

14:30 Coffee Break 30'
15:00 Systematic errors, errors correction 45'

Speaker: Andrea MOLOD (NASA, USA)
15:45 Model calibration 45'

Speaker: Marisol OSMAN (UBA, Argentina)
16:30 Lunch Break 1h30'

18:00 Hands-on session 1h30'

The first hands-on session introduces participants to key datasets and tools, providing a practical complement to the morning’s theoretical foundations.

19:30 Coffee Break 30'

20:00 Poster & connect session 2h0'

Participants are invited to bring a poster on their research
and they will receive feedback from WGSIP members and peers

Tuesday, 24 February 2026
- 13:00 - 21:00
  - 13:00 Sources of predictability across timescales 45'
    
    Speaker: Constantin ARDILOUZE (Météo France, France)
  - 13:45 Identifying Sources of Predictability via Causality and Information Theory 45'
    
    Speaker: Yuhei TAKAYA (Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan)
  - 14:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 15:00 Cross-timescale Interference: Theory, Mechanisms, and Implications 45'
    
    Speaker: Laurel DiSERA (ICTP, Italy)
  - 15:45 Bridges of Opportunity to Merge Predictions Across Timescales 45'
    
    Speaker: Ángel MUÑOZ (ICTP, Italy)
  - 16:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
  - 18:00 Hands-on session 1h30'
```
Applied exercises related to predictability diagnostics and strategies for merging forecast information from multiple timescales.
```
  - 19:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 20:00 Hands-on session 1h0'
```
Applied exercises related to predictability diagnostics and strategies for merging forecast information from multiple timescales.
```
Wednesday, 25 February 2026
- 13:00 - 21:00
  - 13:00 The ML/AI Renaissance: Data-Driven Models for Forecasting 45'
    
    Speaker: Debbie HUDSON (Bureau of Meteorology, UK)
  - 13:45 Explainable AI and Forecasts of Opportunity 45'
    
    Speaker: Kirsten MAYER (NSF NCAR, France)
  - 14:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 15:00 Verification of forecasts 45'
    
    Speaker: Marisol OSMAN, Ángel MUÑOZ (ICTP, Italy, UBA, Argentina)
  - 15:45 Probabilistic predictability assessment 45'
    
    Speaker: Yuhei TAKAYA (Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan)
  - 16:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
  - 18:00 Hands-on session 1h30'
```
Practical implementation of ML algorithms, verification tools and probabilistic assessment using real-world forecast data.
```
  - 19:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 20:00 Hands-on session 1h0'
```
Practical implementation of ML algorithms, verification tools and probabilistic assessment using real-world forecast data.
```
Thursday, 26 February 2026
- 13:00 - 21:00
  - 13:00 Coordination for Climate Prediction (WMO/WIPPS) 45'
    
    Speaker: Yuhei TAKAYA (Japan meteorological Agency, Japan)
  - 13:45 Co-production of Climate Information 45'
    
    Speaker: Leandro DIAZ (UBA, Argentina)
  - 14:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 15:00 Science communication for climate prediction 1h30'
```
Discusses best practices for communicating forecasts and uncertainty to diverse audiences, from policymakers to the general public.
```
    Speaker: Bimochan NIRAULA (ESMO, IPO, DKRZ, Germany)
  - 16:30 Lunch Break 1h30'
  - 18:00 Hands-on session 1h30'
```
Participants engage in exercises focused on designing communication strategies and co-developing forecast products with end users.
```
  - 19:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 20:00 Hands-on session 1h0'
```
Participants engage in exercises focused on designing communication strategies and co-developing forecast products with end users.
```
Friday, 27 February 2026
- 13:00 - 18:00
  - 13:00 Participants' presentations 1h30'
  - 14:30 Coffee Break 30'
  - 15:00 Participant’s presentations Closing remarks 1h30'
  - 16:30 Lunch Break 1h30'