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Description The Workshop follows the ICTP Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modelling of Climate Dynamics: Multiple Equilibria in the Climate System.

Reliable projections of tropical rainfall changes are key to any climate adaption efforts in a warming world. Yet, our global climate models are a subpar tool for the task: their spatial resolution is too coarse to reproduce the deep convection that produces most rainfall in the tropics, and current parametrizations are inadequate – as signified by persistent biases in the simulation of the annual and diurnal cycles of rainfall in large areas of the oceans and continents, as well as the response to forcing of the past. Nonetheless, tropical rainfall is organized in the large-scale structures of the monsoons and the ITCZ whose dynamics are shaped by large-scale energetic and momentum constraints that involve the global circulation of both the ocean and the atmosphere. This suggests that building a coherent understanding of tropical rainfall can benefit from an understanding of these large-scale influences and their coupling with small scale cloud and precipitation processes.

Making this link across scales to improve our understanding and our ability to anticipate future tropical rainfall changes is a key question in climate science.
The workshop, building on the knowledge and practical skills acquired during the school, aims to bring together expertise on large-scale atmospheric and oceanic dynamics, small scale cloud and precipitation processes, hierarchical climate modeling and observation. The aim is to both review recent progress on tropical rainfall dynamics and to identify areas where progress is most amenable in the future given the existing and emerging modelling tools and theoretical frameworks.


For the ICTP Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modelling of Climate Dynamics: Multiple Equilibria in the Climate System, 25 June - 5 July 2018, go to link:
http://indico.ictp.it/event/8318/



Confirmed speakers:
  • William Boos, U.Cal Berkeley, USA
  • Christian Jakob, Monash U., Australia
  • John Marshall, MIT, USA
  • Mahyar Mohtadi , Marum, Bremen, Germany
  • Sonia Seneviratne, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
  • Hui Su, JPL, USA
  • Andrew Turner, U. Reading, UK
  • Tianjun Zhou, IAP China

ATTENTION:

THE APPLICATION HERE IS FOR THE 2nd WEEK WORKSHOP ONLY.
DEADLINE 1 MARCH 2018

SHOULD YOU WISH TO ATTEND THE SCHOOL, PLEASE VISIT THE RELEVANT PAGE  http://indico.ictp.it/event/8318/
AND APPLY THERE

APPLICANTS WHO HAVE ALREADY APPLIED FOR THE SCHOOl ARE NOT REQUESTED TO APPLY AGAIN FOR THE WORKSHOP

Material

WCRP Grand Challenge on Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity: 2nd Meeting on Monsoons and Tropical Rain Belts | (smr 3252)
Go to day
  • Monday, 2 July 2018
    • 08:30 - 18:00 Theory and Large Scale Dynamics
      • 08:30 Registration - admin formalities 50' 
        Registration and payment formalities: Registration at venue - ATTENTION ONLY for ALL Faculty and for those participants who are NOT staying in the ICTP Guest Houses- 
Paid participants registered in the guest houses need to go DIRECTLY (with passport!) 1st to Operations office FERMI Building: Monday, Tuesday, Friday 8:30-12:00 and 13:30 - 14:30 to receive a check and 2nd to UNICREDIT BANK branch next to operations office to receive the cash, ATTENTION open ONLY on Mondays 8:20 to 13:20 and from 14:30 to 16:00
      • 09:20 Welcome 10'
        Speaker: M. Biasutti, M. Byrne, A. Voigt
      • 09:30 Climatology and Variability of Tropical Rain Belts: Theory & Hierarchical Modeling 40'
        Speaker: William Boos (U. Cal Berkeley, USA)
      • 10:10 The omega-governor 20'
        Speaker: Jonathan Mitchell (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:30 coffee break 30'
      • 11:00 Controls on the Onset Rate of ‘Aquaplanet Monsoons’ 20'
        Speaker: Ruth Geen (U.K.)
      • 11:20 Constraints on the poleward extent of tropical rain belts in planetary 20'
        Speaker: Martin Singh (Australia)
      • 11:40 Whether the Continental ITCZ Follows the “Sun” with Extreme Obliquity 20'
        Speaker: Larissa Back (USA)
      • 12:00 Poster Intros for poster session on Day 3 45'
      • 12:45 lunch break 1h30' ( cafeteria )
      • 14:15 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 14:20 Ocean Dynamics’ effect on Tropical Rain Belts: Theory & Hierarchical Modeling 40'
        Speaker: John Marshall (MIT, USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:00 Role of ocean circulation in the climate response to meridional energy imbalances 20'
        Speaker: Francis Codron (France)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:20 How ocean dynamics modulate the climate response to one hemispheric subpolar cooling? 20'
        Speaker: Sarah Kang (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:40 coffee break 30'
      • 16:10 Influence of continental geometry on the onset and spatial distribution of monsoonal precipitation 20'
        Speaker: Katrina Hui (USA)
      • 16:30 Convectively Coupled Waves and Double ITCZs: An Angular Momentum Perspective 20'
        Speaker: Da Yang (USA)
      • 16:50 Moisture Vortex Instability 20'
        Speaker: Angel Adames-Corraliza (USA)
      • 17:10 Essential elements of the Indian Monsoon 20'
        Speaker: David Battisti (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 17:30 Take home messages (including TRACMIP) 30'
  • Tuesday, 3 July 2018
    • 08:30 - 18:00 Convection & Surface Processes
      • 08:30 Science for all: Harassment & Diversity in the Geosciences 25'
      • 08:55 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 09:00 Convective Rainfall: Progress and Challenges in Observations and Modeling 40'
        Speaker: Christian Jakob (Monash U., Australia)
        Material: Slides
      • 09:40 The role of tropical upper tropospheric cloud systems in climate: building observational metrics for Process Evaluation Studies (GEWEX UTCC PROES) 20'
        Speaker: Claudia Stubenrauch (France)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:00 Tropical wave response and double ICTZ bias in GCMs without parameterised convection 20'
        Speaker: Penelope Maher (U.K.)
      • 10:20 Land-sea contrasts and rainfall in the Western Ghats region 20'
        Speaker: Jennifer Fletcher (U.K.)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:40 coffee break 30'
      • 11:10 Horizontal transports of latent energy in monsoons and rain belts 20'
        Speaker: Brian Mapes (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 11:30 The effect of air-sea interactions on the Indian summer monsoon: Results from BoBBLE 20'
        Speaker: Nicholas Klingaman (U.K.)
      • 11:50 Poster Intros for poster session on Day 4 55'
      • 12:45 lunch break 1h30' ( cafeteria )
      • 14:15 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 14:20 Land Surface and Vegetation: Progress and Challenges in Observations and Modeling 40'
        Speaker: Sonia Seneviratne (ETH, Switzerland)
      • 15:00 Local and regional controls on rainfall within African Mesoscale Convective Systems 20'
        Speaker: Chris Taylor (U.K.)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:20 Different hydrologic impacts respond very differently to warming 20'
        Speaker: Jacob Scheff (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:40 coffee break 30'
      • 16:10 Analysis of spatial and temporal variability of rainfall in the Australian Monsoon 20'
        Speaker: Aurel Moise (Australia)
      • 16:30 The uneven nature of precipitation 20'
        Speaker: Angeline Pendergrass (USA)
      • 16:50 Role of land-sea thermal contrast on the rainfall pattern in the tropical Pacific 20'
        Speaker: Sang-Wook Yeh (South Korea)
      • 17:10 Sources of skill in decadal predictions of Sahel precipitation 20'
        Speaker: Elizabeth Maroon (USA)
      • 17:30 Take home messages 30'
  • Wednesday, 4 July 2018
    • 08:30 - 21:00 Current & Paleo Monsoons
      • 08:30 Science for all: Implicit bias and the leaky pipeline 25'
      • 08:55 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 09:00 Paleo Monsoons: Progress and Challenges in Observations and Modeling 40'
        Speaker: Mahyar Mohtadi (Marum, Bremen, Germany)
      • 09:40 Orbital controls on western Pacific hydrology - from paleo to modern times 20'
        Speaker: Kim Cobb (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:00 Impact of Tibetan Glacier Change on the Asian Climate during the Last Glacial Maximum 20'
        Speaker: Yonggang Liu (China)
      • 10:20 Monsoon behaviours in past and future climates: a comparative study from mid-Holocene and RCP8.5 simulations 20'
        Speaker: Roberta D'Agostino (Germany)
      • 10:40 coffee break 30'
      • 11:10 Poster Viewing 1h35' ( ICTP ( Leonardo building Terrace ) )
        Material: poster titles
      • 12:45 lunch break 1h30' ( cafeteria )
      • 14:15 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 14:20 Can local scale changes in precipitation be used to understand the global scale: potential for lessons from the past 20'
        Speaker: William Roberts (U.K.)
      • 14:40 Characterizing zonal variations in the tropical precipitation response to external forcing 20'
        Speaker: Alyssa Atwood (USA)
      • 15:00 Modern Monsoons: Progress and Challenges in Observations and Modeling 40'
        Speaker: Andrew Turner (U. Reading, U.K.)
      • 15:40 coffee break 30'
      • 16:10 The Role of Low-Level Clouds over Southern West Africa for the Regional Monsoon System 20'
        Speaker: Peter Knippertz (Germany)
      • 16:30 The Ocean-Mediated Influence of Asian Orography on Tropical Precipitation and Cyclones 20'
        Speaker: Jane Baldwin (USA)
      • 16:50 Mechanisms controlling position of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone 20'
        Speaker: Pedro Di Nezio (Macedonia)
      • 17:10 Take home messages 20'
      • 19:00 Reception at Caffe' degli Specchi - Piazza Unita', town center 2h0' ( )
  • Thursday, 5 July 2018
    • 08:30 - 17:00 Future ITCZ & Monsoons
      • 08:30 Science for all: Next steps for individuals & institutions 25'
      • 08:55 Call to order & announcements 5'
      • 09:00 Future Changes in Tropical Rain Belts: Cloud & Aerosol Processes 40'
        Speaker: Hui Su (JPL, USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 09:40 The effect of Asian aerosols on the East Asian monsoon 20'
        Speaker: Laura Wilcox (U. Reading)
      • 10:00 Changes in the ITCZ under combined greenhouse gas and solar forcings: insights from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project 20'
        Speaker: Rick Russotto (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:20 Understanding the drivers of regional tropical rainfall changes 20'
        Speaker: Rob Chadwick (U.K.)
        Material: Slides
      • 10:40 coffee break 30'
      • 11:10 Poster Viewing 1h35' ( Leonardo building terrace )
        Material: poster titles
      • 12:45 lunch break 1h35' ( cafeteria )
      • 14:20 Future Changes in Global Monsoons: the latest from comprehensive models 40'
        Speaker: Tianjun Zhou (IAP, China)
        Material: Slides
      • 15:00 Projections of the West African Monsoon using an idealized 2D model 20'
        Speaker: Ross Dixon (France)
      • 15:20 Poleward shift and weakening of Indian summer monsoon synoptic activity in a warming climate 20'
        Speaker: Sandeep Sukumaran (India)
      • 15:40 Future changes in mean and extreme precipitation projected by 20-km and 60-km mesh MRI-AGCM ensemble simulations 20'
        Speaker: Akio Kitoh (Japan)
        Material: Slides
      • 16:00 Understanding historical and future change in tropical rainfall 20'
        Speaker: Shang-Ping Xie (USA)
        Material: Slides
      • 16:20 Take home messages 40'
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