Conference on Monsoon Environments: Agricultural and Hydrological Impacts of Seasonal Variability and Climate Change

A. CHALLINOR (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

Crop modelling for interface with general circulation models

A. GIANNINI (NCAR, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Colorado, U.S.A.)

A climate model's trend in Sahel rainfall

A. HAMID SHEIKH (International Water Management Institute, Lahore, Pakistan)

Impact of climate change on hydrology, agriculture and natural vegetation: A case study in an irrigation sub-division Buchiana, Punjab, Pakistan

A. MORSE (University of Liverpool, Dept. of Geography, U.K.)

Infectious disease and monsoon environments: Working towards forecasting epidemics in Africa

B. GARANGANGA (Drought Monitoring Centre, Dept. of Meteorological Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe)

Predominant regional circulation patterns during wetter than normal rainfall season in southern Africa

B. RUDOLF (Global Precipitation Climatology Centre, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany)

Analysis of global precipitation patterns with regard to annual cycle and anomalies

B. SULTAN (Meteo-France, Laboratoire de la Meteorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France)

The West African monsoon dynamics: Agricultural impacts in Sahelian area

C. BARON (Centre de Cooperation Intl. en Recherche Agronomique pour le Dev. (CIRAD), Montpellier, France)

SARRA vs. SARRAH: From a simple crop water balance model to a simple crop water and carbon balance model in water limited environments

C. BARON (FOR B. SARR) (Centre de Cooperation Intl. en Recherche Agronomique pour le Dev. (CIRAD), Montpellier, France)

Analysis of the SARRAH crop model's sensitivity to scale: from plot to degree-size pixel

C. BRANKOVIC (Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Zagreb, Croatia)

Sensitivity experiments with locally modified land surface

C. TAYLOR (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Wallingford, U.K.)

Land surface feedbacks on rainfall in semi-arid Africa

D. LAWRENCE (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

The impact of a realistic vegetation annual cycle on climate and hydrology

D. STEPHENSON (Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading, U.K.)

Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Baysean combination with empirical forecasts

E. BLACK (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

The influence of Indian Ocean SST on tropical East African rainfall: Insights from observations and general circulation models

F. MOLTENI (ICTP, Trieste, Italy)

Understanding the systematic errors of GCMs in tropical regions

DATA ARCHIVE DEMONSTRATION

F.J. DOBLAS-REYES (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, U.K.)

DEMETER: A multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to interannual forecasting

F.P. LANSIGAN (INSTAT, Univ. of the Philippines Los Banos, Laguna, Phillipines)

Coping with seasonal climate variability in crop production: Applying systems research tools in agribusiness enterprise

F.T. MUGABE (Midlands State University, Dept. of Land & Water Resources Management, Gweru, Zimbabwe)

Effect of rainfall variability on surface water resources: A case study from semi-arid Zimbabwe

G. MARTIN (U.K. Met Office, Bracknell, U.K.)

Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon in the unified model

H. DOUVILLE (Meteo-France, Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, Toulouse, France)

Response of the Monsoon climates to enhanced greenhouse effect

J. BADER (Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany)

Simulation of Monsoon rainfall variability in the Tropical Atlantic region

J. INGRAM (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, U.K.)

Climate variability, crop yield and food provision

J. MEIGH (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Wallingford, U.K.)

The impact of climate change on water resources – Problems and prospects for a more realistic assessment

J. POLCHER (Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique du CNRS, Paris, France)

The river routing scheme of ORCHIDEE and it's interactions with climates

J. SHUKLA (COLA / IGES, Maryland, U.S.A.)

Ocean-atmosphere variability in the Indian Ocean: ENSO, Monsoon, Coupled Internal Dynamics

J. SLINGO (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

Opening Remarks - Introduction to PROMISE

J. SLINGO (FOR P. WEBSTER) (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

Regional extensions of CFAB: Climate forecasting applications in South Asia (CFASA)

J. SLINGO, F. MOLTENI

CLOSING REMARKS

J.-F. ROYER (Meteo-France, Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, Toulouse, France)

Impact of anthropogenic vegetation changes on the African climate in a B2 scenario for 2050

J.-Y. LEE (Seoul National University, School of Environmental & Earth Science, Rep. of Korea)

Potential predictability of Boreal Summer Monsoon precipitation in a dynamical seasonal prediction system with systematic error correction

J.P. BRIQUET (IWMI SEA, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand)

Soil erosion under land use change from two catchments in Laos and Thailand

K. KUMAR KANIKICHARLA (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India)

The climatic impacts on Indian agriculture

K. LAVAL (C.N.R.S., Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Paris, France)

Hydrological balance and its variation over Monsoon areas

K. RAGHAVAN (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India)

Role of Indian Ocean SST forcing on the interannual variability of the South Asian Monsoon

K.K. SINGH (National Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting, New Delhi, India)

Economic impact assessment of Agrometeorological Advisory Service on agriculture in India

L. MEARNS (NCAR, Environmental & Societal Impacts Group, Colorado, U.S.A.)

The uncertainty due to spatial scale of climate scenarios in integrated assessments: An example from U.S. Agriculture

L. MIRAFZAL (University of Tehran, Institute of Geophysics, Iran)

Climatic anomalies of Iran's weather duriing El Nino 1997-98

M. DINGKUHN (Centre de Cooperation Intl. en Recherche Agronomique pour le Dev. (CIRAD), Montpellier, France)

From climate to crop: Conceptual and technical problems

M. KIGUCHI (University of Tokyo, Dept. of Earth and Planetary Science, Japan)

The rainfall in the pre-monsoon over the Indochina peninsula

M.E. RUIZ (Universidad Agraria de La Habana, Cuba)

Models for predicting water use and crop yields in Cuba

M.M. TANU (Meteorological Services Department, Accra, Ghana)

Prediction of rainfall in two agro ecological zones in Ghana

N. CHAPPELL (University of Lancaster, Dept. of Environmental Sciences, U.K.)

Identification of land-use change impacts on tropical hydrological processes

N. PHILIPPON (Universite' de Bourgogne, Centre de Recherches de Climatologie, Dijon, France)

CRC contribution to the West African Monsoon variability and predictability study in PROMISE EU program framework

P. KUMAR (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India)

Interannual variability of Northeast Monsoon rainfall over south peninsular India: Teleconnections and long range prediction

P. TERRAY (LOYDC / Universite' Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France)

Indian Monsoon, Indian Ocean Dipoles and ENSO

P.C.L. DE ROSNAY (Centre d'Etudes Spatiales de la Biosphere, CESBIO/CNRS, Toulouse, France)

Impact of irrigation over India on the land-surface fluxes

R. BOER (Bogor Agricultural University, Dept. Geophysics & Meteorology, Indonesia)

Assessing the vulnerability of Indonesian rice-based cropping system to climate variability

R. KUMAR (Jawaharlal Nehru University, School of Environmental Sciences, New Delhi, India)

Management of water resources for rainfed farming of soybean crop in central India

R. KUMAR MALL (Central Ground Board, Ministry of Water Resources, New Delhi, India)

Impact assessment of climate change on rice crop in India: Uncertainties due to scenarios and crop models

R.A. OJALA (Kenya Meteorological Department, Institute for Meteorological Training & Research, Nairobi, Kenya)

Review and update of the water balance models for Lake Victoria

RUPAKUMAR KOLLI (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India)

Empirical approach to seasonal forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon: problems and prospects

S. CORTI (Instituto per le Scienze dell'Atmosfera e del Clima (ISAC/CNR), Bologna, Italy)

Global wind patterns and associated snow anomalies over Eurasia: predictability and influence on large scale monsoon circulation

S. FOLWELL (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Wallingford, U.K.)

Water resources impact of climate and land-use change in West Africa

S. JANICOT (Meteo-France, Laboratoire de la Meteorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France)

The West African Monsoon dynamics: Intra-seasonal variability

AMMA: An international research project and field campaign

S. MENEGUZZO (Institute for Biometeorology, National Research Council, Florence, Italy)

Teleconnection of the West African Monsoon to the Mediterranean summer climate: statistical and dynamical analysis

S. PEZZULI (C.G.A.M., University of Reading, U.K.)

The variability of seasonality

S. RAMASAMY (Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, India)

Impact of ENSO on Indian food grain and oilseed production

S. RAO POPURI (Ministry of Science & Technology, Earth System Science Div., New Delhi, India)

Indian Climate Research Programme

S. TRAORE (Centre Regional AGRHYMET, Niamey, Niger)

A methodological note on crop yield forecasting in the Sahel

S.B. KAKADE (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India)

Use of the tendency of simultaneous impact of NAO and SO for the prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall

T. HAYASHI (Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Japan)

Various time-scale variation of meteorological elements in Bangladesh

T. WHEELER (University of Reading, Dept. of Agriculture, U.K.)

Impact of change in mean temperature and variability on annual crops

T.M. OSBORNE (University of Reading, Dept. of Meteorology, U.K.)

A modeling study of the climatic importance of vegetation in the tropics: Sensitivity to the specification of soil characteristics

V. REDDY GUDIMETLA (National Institute of Oceanography, Indian Oceanographic Data Centre, Goa, India)

Oceanographic data and information management system for monsoon study for Indian Ocean

V.N. CHENNU (Andhra University, Dept. Meteorology-Oceanography, Visakhapatnam, India)

Anomaly circulation patterns for active and poor southwest Monsoon seasons over different regions of India

W. TYCH (University of Lancaster, Dept. Environmental Science, U.K.)

New modelling techniques in the analysis of tropical climate data

W.H. MAY (Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark)

The characteristics of daily rainfall events during the the Indian Summer Monsoon simulated in a global time-slice experiment, Part I

The characteristics of daily rainfall events during the the Indian Summer Monsoon simulated in a global time-slice experiment, Part II

Y. WAGATSUMA (Centre for Health & Population Res., Bangladesh / Johns Hopkins Univ., U.S.A.)

Relationship between seasonal anomalies of meteorological elements and diarrheal disease in Bangladesh

Y. XU (Agrometeorology Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, P.R. China)

Validating PRECIS with ECMWF reanalysis data over China

Z. DUPE (Bandung Institute of Technology, Climatology Lab, Indonesia)

Using El Nino/La Nina forecasting to predict Indonesian wet season

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