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Description 
Supported by the European Commission, Research DG,
Human Potential Programme, High Level Scientific Conferences
Seventh Workshop on Non-linear Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction Supported by the European Commission, Research DG,Human Potential Programme, High Level Scientific Conferences | (smr 1519)
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  • Monday, 29 September 2003
    • 08:30 - 10:00 REGISTRATION
      • 08:30 REGISTRATION 1h30'
    • 10:00 - 11:00 OPENING
      • 10:00 OPENING 1h0'
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 13:00 Fundamentals of Earthquake Prediction
      • 11:15 Fundamentals of Earthquake Prediction 1h45'
        Speaker: Prof. V. Keilis-Borok
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 What Can we Learn from a Catalog of Earthquakes?
      • 14:15 What Can we Learn from a Catalog of Earthquakes? 1h45'
        Speaker: V. Kossobokov
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 17:15 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 16:15 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h0'
    • 17:15 - 19:00 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 17:15 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 20:00 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Tuesday, 30 September 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 1. Fractal Properties of Earthquakes 2. Non-Linear Properties of Earthquakes
      • 09:00 1. Fractal Properties of Earthquakes 2. Non-Linear Properties of Earthquakes 2h0'
        Speaker: C. Goltz
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:00 Integrals over Seismic Sequences
      • 11:15 Integrals over Seismic Sequences 45'
        Speaker: V. Kossobokov
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:00 Earthquake Prediction by Monitoring the Loading Process of Plate-driving Forces at the Brittle-Ductile Transition Zone
      • 12:00 Earthquake Prediction by Monitoring the Loading Process of Plate-driving Forces at the Brittle-Ductile Transition Zone 1h0'
        Speaker: K. Aki
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 15:00 A Damage Model for the Brittle-Ductile Transition
      • 14:15 A Damage Model for the Brittle-Ductile Transition 45'
        Speaker: A. Agnon
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:00 - 16:00 Evidence for Electromagnetic Emission During Rock Loading and Fracture: A Way Towards an Earthquake Precursor
      • 15:00 Evidence for Electromagnetic Emission During Rock Loading and Fracture: A Way Towards an Earthquake Precursor 1h0'
        Speaker: M. Caputo
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 19:00 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 16:15 Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 2h45'
    • 19:30 - 21:30 GET TOGETHER
      Location: Adriatico Guest House Cafeteria
      • 19:30 GET TOGETHER 2h0'
  • Wednesday, 1 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 Experiments with Intermediate-term Medium-Range Earthquake Prediction Algorithms in Italy. Integrated Deterministic Hazard
      • 09:00 Experiments with Intermediate-term Medium-Range Earthquake Prediction Algorithms in Italy. Integrated Deterministic Hazard 2h0'
        Speaker: G.F. Panza
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 13:00 1. Non-linear Time Series Analysis 2. Microseismic and Volcanic Tremors; Two Examples of Non-linear Resonances
      • 11:15 1. Non-linear Time Series Analysis 2. Microseismic and Volcanic Tremors; Two Examples of Non-linear Resonances 1h45'
        Speaker: A. Correig
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch
      • 13:00 Lunch 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 15:00 Seismicity Pattern Decomposition
      • 14:15 Seismicity Pattern Decomposition 45'
        Speaker: C. Goltz
    • 15:00 - 17:00 1. Plate-scale Coupling Suggested by Sedimetary & Historical Records of Earthquakes 2. Poroelastodynamic Liquefaction and Non-linear Dynamic Waves
      • 15:00 1. Plate-scale Coupling Suggested by Sedimetary & Historical Records of Earthquakes 2. Poroelastodynamic Liquefaction and Non-linear Dynamic Waves 2h0'
        Speaker: A. Agnon
    • 17:00 - 17:15 Coffee Break
      • 17:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 17:15 - 19:00 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 17:15 GROUP B - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva.
      • 20:00 GROUP A - Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva. 1h45'
  • Thursday, 2 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 1. Seismological Observations on the Interaction between the Brittle and Ductile Part of the Lithosphere 2. Lessons Learned from an Active Volcano about Earthquake Prediction
      • 09:00 1. Seismological Observations on the Interaction between the Brittle and Ductile Part of the Lithosphere 2. Lessons Learned from an Active Volcano about Earthquake Prediction 2h0'
        Speaker: K. Aki
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:15 A Practical Approach to Prediction of Geomagnetic Series
      • 11:15 A Practical Approach to Prediction of Geomagnetic Series 1h0'
        Speaker: V. Kossobokov
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:15 - 13:00 Experimental and Theoretical Memory Diffusion of Water in Sand
      • 12:15 Experimental and Theoretical Memory Diffusion of Water in Sand 45'
        Speaker: M. Caputo
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 1. Earthquake Dynamics 2. Earthquake Occurrence
      • 14:15 1. Earthquake Dynamics 2. Earthquake Occurrence 1h45'
        Speaker: A. Correig
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 17:00 Models of Dynamics of Block-and-Fault Systems
      • 16:15 Models of Dynamics of Block-and-Fault Systems 45'
        Speaker: A. Soloviev
        Material: lecture notes
    • 17:00 - 19:00 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 17:00 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 2h0'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 Group A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Excercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 20:00 Group A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Excercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Friday, 3 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 10:00 A Physical Scenario for Earthquake Prediction
      • 09:00 A Physical Scenario for Earthquake Prediction 1h0'
        Speaker: A. Correig
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:00 - 11:00 Boolean Delay Equations (BDEs) as Succinct Models for Climate, Evolution, Earthquakes, and other Complex Stuff. Theory of BDEs
      • 10:00 Boolean Delay Equations (BDEs) as Succinct Models for Climate, Evolution, Earthquakes, and other Complex Stuff. Theory of BDEs 1h0'
        Speaker: M. Ghil
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:15 Earthquake & Volcano Prediction at the Contact Point of Non-linear Dynamics & Geodynamics
      • 11:15 Earthquake & Volcano Prediction at the Contact Point of Non-linear Dynamics & Geodynamics 1h0'
        Speaker: K. Aki
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:15 - 13:00 Testing Earthquake Prediction Methods: verified "Precursors" and Verisimilar "Predjudices"
      • 12:15 Testing Earthquake Prediction Methods: verified "Precursors" and Verisimilar "Predjudices" 45'
        Speaker: V. Kossobokov
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 1. Pattern Recognition Methods 2. Geophysical Applications of Pattern Recognition
      • 14:15 1. Pattern Recognition Methods 2. Geophysical Applications of Pattern Recognition 1h45'
        Speaker: A. Soloviev
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 19:00 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 16:15 Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 2h45'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 Group B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 20:00 Group B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Saturday, 4 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 Group A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 09:00 Group A - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 2h0'
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:45 Group B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 11:15 Group B - Numerical Simulation of Block Structure Dynamics - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h30'
    • 12:45 - 14:15 Lunch
      • 12:45 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:15 - 18:00 Pattern Recognition - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 14:15 Pattern Recognition - Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 3h45'
  • Monday, 6 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 Short-term Earthquake Prediction: "Tail Wags the Dog" Approach
      • 09:00 Short-term Earthquake Prediction: "Tail Wags the Dog" Approach 2h0'
        Speaker: V. Keilis-Borok
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Break
      • 10:45 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:00 - 13:00 Boolean Delay Equations (BDEs) as Succinct Models for Climate, Evolution, Earthquakes, and other Complex Stuff 1. Climate Applications 2. Earthquake Applications
      • 11:00 Boolean Delay Equations (BDEs) as Succinct Models for Climate, Evolution, Earthquakes, and other Complex Stuff 1. Climate Applications 2. Earthquake Applications 2h0'
        Speaker: M. Ghil
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 Are Fractality and Self-organized Criticality Relevant to the Problems of Seismicity?
      • 14:15 Are Fractality and Self-organized Criticality Relevant to the Problems of Seismicity? 1h45'
        Speaker: L. Knopoff
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 19:00 1. IAEA Safety Guide on Seismic Hazard Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants 2. Case Histories in the Implementation of the IAEA Safety Guide on Seismic Hazard Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants I&II
      • 16:15 1. IAEA Safety Guide on Seismic Hazard Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants 2. Case Histories in the Implementation of the IAEA Safety Guide on Seismic Hazard Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants I&II 2h45'
        Speaker: A. Guerpinar
        Material: lecture notes
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 20:00 GROUP A - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Tuesday, 7 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 1. Fundamentals of Damage Mechanics 2. Applications of Damage Mechanics to Seismicity
      • 09:00 1. Fundamentals of Damage Mechanics 2. Applications of Damage Mechanics to Seismicity 2h0'
        Speaker: D. Turcotte
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 13:00 Physics of Foreshocks and Aftershocks
      • 11:15 Physics of Foreshocks and Aftershocks 1h45'
        Speaker: L. Knopoff
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 15:15 International Programs of US National Science Foundation
      • 14:15 International Programs of US National Science Foundation 1h0'
        Speaker: J. Whitcomb
    • 15:15 - 16:00 Prediction of Crime Surges
      • 15:15 Prediction of Crime Surges 45'
        Speaker: V. Keilis-Borok
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 18:00 1. Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction Algorithm M8 2. How to Reduce Earthquake Prediction Uncertainty from Middle-range to Narrow? Algorithm MSc (Mendocino Scenario)
      • 16:15 1. Intermediate-term Middle-range Earthquake Prediction Algorithm M8 2. How to Reduce Earthquake Prediction Uncertainty from Middle-range to Narrow? Algorithm MSc (Mendocino Scenario) 1h45'
        Speaker: V. Kossobokov
        Material: lecture notes
    • 18:00 - 19:00 Modelling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity for Italy
      • 18:00 Modelling of Block Structure Dynamics and Seismicity for Italy 1h0'
        Speaker: I. Vorobieva
        Material: lecture notes
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 Group B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva
      • 20:00 Group B - Pattern Recognition - Computer Exercises: A. Egorkin, V. Keilis-Borok, V. Kossobokov, O. Novikova, A. Peresan, V. Rozenberg, A. Soloviev, I. Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Wednesday, 8 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 Models of Earthquakes as a Self-Organizing Process
      • 09:00 Models of Earthquakes as a Self-Organizing Process 2h0'
        Speaker: L. Knopoff
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 13:00 Uncertainties in Physics: Measuring Errors, Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
      • 11:15 Uncertainties in Physics: Measuring Errors, Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle 1h45'
        Speaker: H. Moritz
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 15:15 Understanding Aftershocks
      • 14:15 Understanding Aftershocks 1h0'
        Speaker: D. Turcotte
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:15 - 17:00 The Spherical Block Model: Dynamics of the Global System of Tectonic Plates and Seismicity
      • 15:15 The Spherical Block Model: Dynamics of the Global System of Tectonic Plates and Seismicity 1h45'
        Speaker: V. Rozenberg
        Material: lecture notes
    • 17:00 - 17:15 Coffee Break
      • 17:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 17:15 - 19:00 1. Dependence of Seismicity and Faulting on Dynamics of Fluids 2. The Strength of Seismogenic Faults and Seismicity
      • 17:15 1. Dependence of Seismicity and Faulting on Dynamics of Fluids 2. The Strength of Seismogenic Faults and Seismicity 1h45'
        Speaker: S. Miller
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 GROUP A - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 20:00 GROUP A - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Thursday, 9 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 1. Uncertainties in Mathematics: Improvability 2. Uncertainties and in Logic: Goedel's Theorems, Fuzzy Logic
      • 09:00 1. Uncertainties in Mathematics: Improvability 2. Uncertainties and in Logic: Goedel's Theorems, Fuzzy Logic 2h0'
        Speaker: H. Moritz
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 13:00 1. Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs for Earthquake Prediction purposes: the Case of Italy 2. Multiscale Seismicity Model and Intermediate-term Medium-range Earthquake Prediction in Italy
      • 11:15 1. Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs for Earthquake Prediction purposes: the Case of Italy 2. Multiscale Seismicity Model and Intermediate-term Medium-range Earthquake Prediction in Italy 1h45'
        Speaker: A. Peresan
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 Stress and Seismicity in Areas of Descending Relic Slabs: The Southeastern Carpathians
      • 14:15 Stress and Seismicity in Areas of Descending Relic Slabs: The Southeastern Carpathians 1h45'
        Speaker: A. Ismail-Zadeh
        Material: lecture notes
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 17:00 Seismicity of Complex Fault Systems
      • 16:15 Seismicity of Complex Fault Systems 45'
        Speaker: S. Miller
    • 17:00 - 19:00 GROUP A - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 17:00 GROUP A - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 2h0'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 20:00 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Friday, 10 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 10:00 Stress and Seismicity in Areas of Descending Relic Slabs: The Central Apennines
      • 09:00 Stress and Seismicity in Areas of Descending Relic Slabs: The Central Apennines 1h0'
        Speaker: A. Ismail-Zadeh
        Material: lecture notes
    • 10:00 - 11:00 On the Forward Modeling of Mantle Dynamics
      • 10:00 On the Forward Modeling of Mantle Dynamics 1h0'
        Speaker: A. Ismail-Zadeh
        Material: lecture notes
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:00 On the Backward Modeling of Mantle Dynamics
      • 11:15 On the Backward Modeling of Mantle Dynamics 45'
        Speaker: A. Ismail-Zadeh
        Material: lecture notes
    • 12:00 - 13:00 Algorithm for Prediction of the Subsequent Strong Earthquake (SSE)
      • 12:00 Algorithm for Prediction of the Subsequent Strong Earthquake (SSE) 1h0'
        Speaker: I. Vorobieva
        Material: lecture notes
    • 13:00 - 14:15 Lunch Break
      • 13:00 Lunch Break 1h15'
    • 14:15 - 15:00 Prediction of the Subsequent Strong Earthquake in Nine Regions of the World: Results of Monitoring 1989-2003
      • 14:15 Prediction of the Subsequent Strong Earthquake in Nine Regions of the World: Results of Monitoring 1989-2003 45'
        Speaker: I. Vorobieva
        Material: lecture notes
    • 15:00 - 16:00 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 15:00 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h0'
    • 16:00 - 16:15 Coffee Break
      • 16:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 16:15 - 19:00 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 16:15 GROUP B - The Algorithms "M8" and "Mendocino Scenario" - Computer Exercises: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 2h45'
    • 19:00 - 20:00 Dinner
      • 19:00 Dinner 1h0'
    • 20:00 - 21:45 Consultations: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 20:00 Consultations: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h45'
  • Saturday, 11 October 2003
    • 09:00 - 11:00 Final Consultations: Distribution of Software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 09:00 Final Consultations: Distribution of Software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 2h0'
    • 11:00 - 11:15 Coffee Break
      • 11:00 Coffee Break 15'
    • 11:15 - 12:45 Final Consultations, Distribution of the software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 11:15 Final Consultations, Distribution of the software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h30'
    • 12:45 - 14:15 Lunch
      • 12:45 Lunch 1h30'
    • 14:15 - 16:00 Final Consultations: Distribution of Software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva
      • 14:15 Final Consultations: Distribution of Software: A.Egorkin, V.Keilis-Borok, V.Kossobokov, O.Novikova, A. Peresan, V.Rozenberg, A.Soloviev, I.Vorobieva 1h45'
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